TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Celtics vs. Hawks: O/U 222.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$64,791
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$64,703

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,791 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 141 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb07…017fbacked Under49c10,000$4,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,099.98475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+53.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbedb…3b26backed Over55c9,328$5,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,130.4816346.6%76 W · 87 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over50c8,108$4,054 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,053.981,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under47c7,109$3,308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,801.433,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over51c4,748$2,422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,421.732,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d69…00c0backed Over49c4,374$2,143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,143.03425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-49.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under48c3,136$1,501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,635.564,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea32…8870backed Over54c3,010$1,625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,625.244744.7%21 W · 26 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under50c2,898$1,449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,449.231,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Under47c2,099$983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,115.1770246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Under50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00025641.4%106 W · 150 L-13.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over51c1,579$808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$808.092,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Under49c1,301$642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$659.1421443.9%94 W · 120 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under44c1,271$554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716.211,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5351…9b3cbacked Under45c1,269$571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$697.9520355.2%112 W · 91 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7669…f58cbacked Over21c1,235$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.3152052.3%272 W · 248 L+31.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+19%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xde79…2a1bbacked Under51c1,116$569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$546.6817349.7%86 W · 87 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Under51c1,084$553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.9287049.3%429 W · 441 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under47c1,033$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$546.32,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under45c1,018$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5605,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3704…0e84backed Over50c994.85$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.4325951.4%133 W · 126 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8d…01debacked Over51c965.69$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.54332.6%14 W · 29 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-32.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb10d…4ba0backed Under43c890$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.33100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+115.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over53c857.31$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.431,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6292…d254backed Under51c772.55$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.5520846.6%97 W · 111 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe403…3d50backed Under45c659.34$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.6454747.5%260 W · 287 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under46c621.6$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.666,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95ef…ff92backed Over40c608.66$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.496817.6%12 W · 56 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-32.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x82c1…c2c6backed Under45c600$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3301154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+23.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9271…a28abacked Over53c596.94$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.389657.3%55 W · 41 L+6.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x006a…14edbacked Over50c591$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.516159.6%96 W · 65 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under42c575.3$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.222,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under51c526.9$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.538,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb628…fd2bbacked Over41c480.72$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.111873.7%87 W · 31 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1489…9924backed Under50c476.74$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.3719348.2%93 W · 100 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Under46c470.63$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.6638947.6%185 W · 204 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under46c462.71$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.764,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over51c458.79$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.984,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under46c458.08$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.546547.7%31 W · 34 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf90…8e17backed Under46c419.15$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.6547436.7%174 W · 300 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x622b…5a4abacked Under44c394.09$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.6910940.4%44 W · 65 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Under52c368.59$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.741,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under46c354$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.164,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under50c326.12$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.061,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Under46c321.23$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.4615543.2%67 W · 88 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over56c320.12$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.1962047.3%293 W · 327 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under64c309.97$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.312,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Over51c294.53$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.981,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under50c270.5$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.433,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x993b…ecfbbacked Under43c261.93$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.737142.3%30 W · 41 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Over53c251.49$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.5581349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under51c242.1$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.143,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Under45c235.54$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.5555347.9%265 W · 288 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under43c231.11$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.732,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9348…8cfbbacked Under43c223.24$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.5414243%61 W · 81 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x010f…6c1abacked Over51c193.14$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.52846.4%13 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x87fa…12d0backed Under51c193.13$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.6315357.5%88 W · 65 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over51c183.65$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.663,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x59ce…6f07backed Under45c180$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9921347.9%102 W · 111 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under48c179.24$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.811,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Under45c166.67$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.671,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Under43c164$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.4831046.8%145 W · 165 L+1.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x556c…93cebacked Under46c157.62$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1124949%122 W · 127 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over47c154.49$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.335,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under44c150.66$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.071,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Over35c148.62$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.6760049.8%299 W · 301 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc798…a8e9backed Under44c135.01$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.9424841.9%104 W · 144 L-9.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Under51c128.05$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.7442853%227 W · 201 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Under45c125.59$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.0760945.8%279 W · 330 L-17.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under50c119.4$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.1459250.2%297 W · 295 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Under50c119.31$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.8756447.9%270 W · 294 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17a9…c488backed Under45c109.46$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.21346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under52c106.84$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.11,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Under50c104.41$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.2144747%210 W · 237 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…2022backed Under45c103.94$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.17862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.17per pick45cpaid+21.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5410…dcc7backed Under56c102.25$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.993033.3%10 W · 20 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-17%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Under45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5568645.5%312 W · 374 L-22.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed Under50c98.5$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.258840.9%36 W · 52 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-27.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b8c…31c3backed Under47c97.53$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.8413541.5%56 W · 79 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaf16…65a6backed Over51c96.57$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.2525753.7%138 W · 119 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa04…796bbacked Over52c94.71$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.255651.8%29 W · 27 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Over51c93.94$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.11,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Under47c92.18$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.2144551.2%228 W · 217 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fb4…d080backed Under44c90.24$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.5316242.6%69 W · 93 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Under47c89.18$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.8841449.3%204 W · 210 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dab…029dbacked Under46c85.66$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.266435.9%23 W · 41 L-6.2wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-23.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x28ad…9805backed Under49c80$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.822942.8%98 W · 131 L-9.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Under72c77.63$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.561939.6%245 W · 374 L-17.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa616…b8ffbacked Under51c77.26$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.863177.4%24 W · 7 L+5.3wins+0.17per pick60cpaid+33.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Under51c77.26$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.861,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1bb…6cc9backed Over57c70.87$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.47454.1%40 W · 34 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Under46c68.14$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.5952552%273 W · 252 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9209…b4d5backed Over43c67.32$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9527646.7%129 W · 147 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under45c65.51$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.0351647.5%245 W · 271 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf421…2e3abacked Under55c61.89$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.637248.6%35 W · 37 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under68c60.07$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.463,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d6f…7135backed Over50c59.73$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.876144.3%27 W · 34 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a66…48c7backed Over51c57.94$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under49c54.11$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.761,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Under45c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.565855.6%366 W · 292 L+27.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.