TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Onyeka Okongwu: Points O/U 11.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,779
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,014

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,779 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6dd9…bfe8backed Yes61c817.57$496 inWon+$321.1165762.3%409 W · 248 L+27.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed No38c578.03$222 inLost-$222.415,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x949e…20afbacked No40c372.16$148 inLost-$148.186240.3%25 W · 37 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick44cpaid+5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed No37c200$74 inLost-$7479650.9%405 W · 391 L+63.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+21.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc8d9…df36backed Yes63c100$63 inWon+$3740053.5%214 W · 186 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked No37c98.6$36 inLost-$36.4893145.8%426 W · 505 L-25.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed Yes62c98.59$61 inWon+$37.4695260.2%573 W · 379 L+37.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc202…8488backed Yes64c70.88$45 inWon+$25.526741.8%28 W · 39 L-6.6wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-22.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbfc7…7f02backed Yes64c69.03$44 inWon+$24.857557.3%43 W · 32 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x61e4…fb60backed Yes61c48.99$30 inWon+$19.1122044.5%98 W · 122 L-14.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-12.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x35aa…ba97backed Yes65c45.52$30 inWon+$15.9312257.4%70 W · 52 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-1.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9867…bc76backed Yes62c20$12 inWon+$7.61442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.16per pick59cpaid-29.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe9a9…7876backed Yes63c19.16$12 inWon+$7.096043.3%26 W · 34 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-17.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.