NBA · resolved market
Spread: Hawks (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xccd854a82a3f1314bb05840f97efad49af45b1f7ae9374c207fc43d619f007d5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hawksof Hawks, Celtics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,126,882
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,154,380
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,126,882 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 311 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Celtics | 49c | 598,845$294,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294,473.01 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Hawks | 51c | 577,651$295,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282,282.61 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Hawks | 50c | 123,125$61,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61,562.5 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Hawks | 51c | 115,775$59,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56,638.96 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Celtics | 48c | 100,000$48,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,999.85 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x033d…fd1ebacked Celtics | 53c | 76,350$40,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,447.64 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Celtics | 48c | 59,028$28,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,333.62 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Celtics | 50c | 49,985$24,973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,972.69 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Celtics | 50c | 33,333$16,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,666.5 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Hawks | 51c | 32,025$16,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,701.03 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Hawks | 47c | 11,995$5,638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,357.51 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Hawks | 52c | 11,593$6,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,564.63 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x816e…b215backed Hawks | 48c | 11,256$5,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,885.08 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -4.3wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Hawks | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,500 | 375 | 39.5%148 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Celtics | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,900 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Hawks | 51c | 9,919$5,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,860.32 | 359 | 42.1%151 W · 208 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5db5…1a50backed Hawks | 51c | 9,657$4,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,731.89 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Celtics | 48c | 9,319$4,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,492.99 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x410d…d831backed Hawks | 50c | 8,512$4,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,256.19 | 113 | 35.4%40 W · 73 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…9b3cbacked Celtics | 49c | 8,000$3,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,920 | 203 | 55.2%112 W · 91 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0258…06d0backed Celtics | 49c | 7,704$3,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,758.81 | 110 | 33.6%37 W · 73 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe49d…ff91backed Hawks | 50c | 7,470$3,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,756.19 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Hawks | 52c | 7,251$3,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,480.55 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3d…3165backed Celtics | 49c | 7,070$3,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,464.3 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -6.7wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Celtics | 47c | 6,763$3,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,175.11 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55e4…c3c6backed Hawks | 53c | 6,186$3,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,889.32 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…a0d9backed Hawks | 51c | 5,774$2,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,818.25 | 274 | 55.5%152 W · 122 L | +15.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Hawks | 51c | 4,672$2,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,270.42 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b78…9992backed Hawks | 50c | 4,064$2,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,017.56 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Celtics | 48c | 4,011$1,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,925.37 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Celtics | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960 | 136 | 42.6%58 W · 78 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca40…83f6backed Celtics | 48c | 3,563$1,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,710.06 | 129 | 45.7%59 W · 70 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9712…0c47backed Celtics | 41c | 3,339$1,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,357 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Celtics | 49c | 2,743$1,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,343.98 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae84…fd9dbacked Celtics | 49c | 2,535$1,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,242.25 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Celtics | 48c | 2,326$1,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,116.44 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3edb…aa1ebacked Hawks | 52c | 2,300$1,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,101.01 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Celtics | 47c | 2,183$1,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,018.89 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Celtics | 49c | 2,100$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025.44 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Celtics | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Hawks | 52c | 1,970$1,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945.62 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Celtics | 50c | 1,970$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Hawks | 51c | 1,891$964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926.89 | 216 | 53.7%116 W · 100 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Hawks | 49c | 1,726$853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$873.52 | 256 | 41.4%106 W · 150 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Celtics | 50c | 1,711$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.41 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6557…0999backed Hawks | 51c | 1,552$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.66 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4880…5626backed Hawks | 63c | 1,308$827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.87 | 186 | 48.9%91 W · 95 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca5…73bcbacked Celtics | 51c | 1,226$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.48 | 404 | 51.5%208 W · 196 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Hawks | 42c | 1,202$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.29 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Hawks | 49c | 1,191$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.28 | 620 | 47.3%293 W · 327 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabde…d41fbacked Hawks | 51c | 1,141$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.63 | 419 | 47.7%200 W · 219 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9510…16dfbacked Hawks | 52c | 1,138$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.75 | 304 | 53.3%162 W · 142 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94c4…2a41backed Hawks | 52c | 1,100$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.32 | 229 | 53.3%122 W · 107 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…01b9backed Hawks | 52c | 1,097$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.29 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…976abacked Hawks | 54c | 1,096$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.76 | 209 | 63.2%132 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Celtics | 43c | 1,090$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.12 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Hawks | 51c | 1,072$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.13 | 206 | 47.6%98 W · 108 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Hawks | 50c | 993.2$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.6 | 629 | 48.6%306 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf05d…ac5ebacked Hawks | 52c | 988.6$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.63 | 251 | 55%138 W · 113 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Celtics | 47c | 953.28$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.04 | 286 | 43%123 W · 163 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x563d…0f60backed Celtics | 49c | 937.33$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.29 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd8…9908backed Hawks | 51c | 926.55$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.23 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…3760backed Hawks | 52c | 914.95$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.18 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x891d…b19fbacked Hawks | 52c | 898.35$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.32 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x128f…db9dbacked Hawks | 56c | 882.69$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.09 | 206 | 51.5%106 W · 100 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Hawks | 52c | 832.46$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.17 | 487 | 51.7%252 W · 235 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Hawks | 50c | 811.76$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.91 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Celtics | 52c | 791.96$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.82 | 478 | 56.5%270 W · 208 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1c…debbbacked Hawks | 52c | 703.02$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.55 | 204 | 43.6%89 W · 115 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Celtics | 51c | 689.5$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.65 | 493 | 45.2%223 W · 270 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc42f…9390backed Celtics | 50c | 689.5$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.75 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Hawks | 52c | 678.17$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.52 | 423 | 52.5%222 W · 201 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Hawks | 43c | 642.5$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.18 | 200 | 49%98 W · 102 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Celtics | 42c | 639.25$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.39 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Celtics | 48c | 615.89$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.51 | 656 | 49.2%323 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Hawks | 52c | 588.31$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.96 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18d5…2bb6backed Celtics | 49c | 580.95$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.65 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ea…1b1abacked Hawks | 51c | 579.42$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.91 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c8…44f7backed Celtics | 51c | 579.42$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.5 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4630…1968backed Hawks | 52c | 558.9$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.73 | 126 | 50%63 W · 63 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Hawks | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 228 | 46.1%105 W · 123 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Hawks | 51c | 495.77$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.11 | 890 | 48.8%434 W · 456 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Celtics | 3c | 456.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 263 | 37.3%98 W · 165 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…463dbacked Celtics | 48c | 456.39$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.64 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4e…e935backed Celtics | 49c | 449.74$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.84 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Celtics | 47c | 420.45$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.01 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Celtics | 48c | 412.41$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0556…132abacked Celtics | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…44c1backed Hawks | 52c | 399.99$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 114 | 51.8%59 W · 55 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef3…0547backed Hawks | 49c | 398.02$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.02 | 255 | 50.2%128 W · 127 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5157…942bbacked Hawks | 50c | 397.98$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.99 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd7…eac9backed Celtics | 51c | 394$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.94 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Hawks | 40c | 389.96$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.98 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Celtics | 50c | 388.29$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.14 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x092c…c0b8backed Celtics | 50c | 382.14$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.07 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6abc…bd1bbacked Hawks | 52c | 380.34$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.34 | 145 | 49%71 W · 74 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fc…a7c1backed Hawks | 52c | 378.86$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.85 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe226…95a5backed Hawks | 53c | 371.72$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.71 | 98 | 53.1%52 W · 46 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Hawks | 51c | 358.73$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.87 | 917 | 46.9%430 W · 487 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e9…6d8ebacked Celtics | 49c | 350$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.5 | 154 | 46.1%71 W · 83 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Hawks (-2.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Hawks (-0.5)Celtics won
- Celtics vs. HawksHawks won
- Celtics vs. Hawks: 1H O/U 114.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Hawks: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Hawks: O/U 218.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Hawks: O/U 220.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Hawks: O/U 221.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Hawks: O/U 222.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Hawks: O/U 224.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Hawks: O/U 225.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Hawks: O/U 226.5Under won
- Derrick White: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Derrick White: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Derrick White: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Jalen Johnson: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Jaylen Brown: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 27.5Yes won
- Jayson Tatum: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Jayson Tatum: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
- Neemias Queta: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Onyeka Okongwu: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Spread: Celtics (-1.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Hawks (-3.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Hawks (-4.5)Hawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.