TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9712…0c47

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
346
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: NHL, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 53 out of 100; worst NBA at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT10240.2%41 W · 61 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 102 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.42
Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Minnesota Twins vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Cleveland Guardians vs. Athleticsbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.6
Atlanta Braves vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+88.2%+$145.29
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+81.2%+$112
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)backed Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Houston Astros vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.7
Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankeesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.04
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+58.3%+$38.65
San Francisco Giants vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+129%+$112.67
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$198.49
Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.1
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.5
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)backed New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+97.6%+$68.72
Houston Astros vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$900Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$1,100
Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$622Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$397.8
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$450
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$616Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$616
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
San Francisco Giants vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$85
Detroit Tigers vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Detroit Tigers vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$224Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$285.6
Colorado Rockies vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Miami Marlins vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$85
Showing 25 of 102 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT8344.6%37 W · 46 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 83 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$132.44
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Jaime Fariabacked Jaime Faria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$24.5
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's Singles tournament at the Madrid Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,277Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+44.7%+$571.22
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's Singles tournament at the Madrid Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.92
Set Handicap: Andreeva (-1.5) vs Kostyuk (+1.5)backed Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$176.6
Madrid Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Marta Kostyukbacked Mirra Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,180Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,180
Jiujiang: Alex Bolt vs Adam Waltonbacked Adam Walton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$39
Will Arthur Fils win the 2026 Men's Singles tournament at the Madrid Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.84
Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Arthur Filsbacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Jiujiang: Adam Walton vs Alexis Galarneaubacked Adam Walton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$419Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+57.2%+$239.83
Madrid Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Anastasia Potapovabacked Anastasia Potapova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Madrid Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverevbacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.9
Madrid Open: Hailey Baptiste vs Mirra Andreevabacked Hailey Baptiste · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.3
Madrid Open: Casper Ruud vs Alexander Blockxbacked Alexander Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$151.2
Jiujiang: Fajing Sun vs Tristan Schoolkatebacked Tristan Schoolkate · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$258Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$258
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women's Singles tournament at the Madrid Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,031Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,030.83
Madrid Open: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$170
Set 1 Winner: Mensik vs Zverevbacked Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.05
Madrid Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Flavio Cobollibacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+119.5%+$239.37
Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey Baptistebacked Hailey Baptiste · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$661Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+374.3%+$2,473.69
Madrid Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Alexander Blockxbacked Alexander Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$821Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+42.1%+$345.86
Set 1 Winner: Cerundolo vs Blockxbacked Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$134.2
Ostrava: Carlos Sanchez Jover vs Frederico Ferreira Silvabacked Carlos Sanchez Jover · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$133.67
Madrid Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Casper Ruudbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.99
Madrid Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Lorenzo Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.15
Showing 25 of 83 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT6934.8%24 W · 45 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-31.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 69 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$260
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$219.88
Spread: Cavaliers (-7.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$200.9
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$725Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$1,775
Will the Boston Celtics win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.36
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$59
Spread: Celtics (-7.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$237Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+115.6%+$273.4
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$518Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+150%+$777
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$679Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$679.41
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$399Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$399
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,289Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+90%+$1,160.7
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$853Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$852.8
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.22
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.6
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$115
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.3
1H Spread: Spurs (-7.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.3
Spread: Celtics (-10.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$209.05
Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.5
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$258Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$258.27
Spread: Thunder (-10.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$213Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$212.78
Thunder vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.94
Showing 25 of 69 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT5246.2%24 W · 28 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 52 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+365.1%+$314
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.3
Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.49
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.9
Wild vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$639Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+56.5%+$361
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$287Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$413
Golden Knights vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$235.2
Sabres vs. Bruinsbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$543Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$481.75
Lightning vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$499.8
Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Oilers vs. Ducksbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,033Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,033
Stars vs. Wildbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$530Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$529.5
Utah vs. Golden Knightsbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$295
Ducks vs. Oilersbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Wild vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$282Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$281.54
Bruins vs. Sabresbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$223.2
Golden Knights vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$138.29
Flyers vs. Penguinsbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$129.5
Spread: Penguins (-1.5)backed Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+84.2%+$184.96
Spread: Oilers (-1.5)backed Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+93.2%+$190.71
Oilers vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$262Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+184.3%+$482.74
Lightning vs. Canadiensbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+77.5%+$85.02
Avalanche vs. Kingsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$53.2
Stars vs. Wildbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$211Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$210.85
Showing 25 of 52 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT3336.4%12 W · 21 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-20.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$420Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$1,580
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$189.12
Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$270.92
Will UConn win the 2026 Women's NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$2,088Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,087.61
Will Duke win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-4.5)backed Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$270
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-5.5)backed Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$437Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+89.7%+$392.25
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-7.5)backed Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$379Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+98.1%+$371.5
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-5.5)backed Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$131.68
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-6.5)backed Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$165
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$151.88
Will Iowa win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.89
Will Illinois advance to the Final Four?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+220.6%+$145.17
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$68.57
Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-7.5)backed Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$264Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$264.4
Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-6.5)backed Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$525Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$465.9
Will Michigan State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Iowa State Cyclonesbacked Iowa State Cyclones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$141.3
Spread: Connecticut Huskies (-2.5)backed Michigan State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$517Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$516.66
Spread: Connecticut Huskies (-1.5)backed Michigan State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.57
Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskies: O/U 135.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$256Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$255.55
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-9.5)backed Alabama Crimson Tide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$510Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$510
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-8.5)backed Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$311Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+86.3%+$268.62
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-8.5)backed Arkansas Razorbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$170.1
Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Arkansas Razorbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.43
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Egypt vs. Spain end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$242Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$241.5
Will Netherlands vs. Ecuador end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.34
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Galions vs Solary (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffsbacked Solary · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.38
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CF Cruz Azul vs. Club Necaxa end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Aug 29, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nebraska vs. Cincinnatibacked Cincinnati · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$21
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #2 Playoffsbacked Wanted Goons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.88
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.