NBA · resolved market

Thunder vs. Suns

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7490d6f46e7cb2d5135f2ec16bc3ba6a2806e87a8724aef63e1f52e41732e9fe

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Thunderof Thunder, Suns
Resolved: Apr 28, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $2,729,148
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $2,909,935

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,729,148 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 654 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x5375…aeeabacked Suns	16c	188,318$29,559 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29,558.56	857	42.6%365 W · 492 L	-15.6wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f2f…2ca8backed Suns	18c	161,220$29,020 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29,019.53	97	45.4%44 W · 53 L	+4.7wins	+0.05per pick	41cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c15…9a45backed Suns	19c	126,762$24,085 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24,084.84	111	37.8%42 W · 69 L	-5.0wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0159…db47backed Suns	0c	103,971$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300.09	61	4.9%3 W · 58 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	7cpaid	-76.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ec…e8f1backed Suns	21c	68,600$14,288 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,287.6	248	31.9%79 W · 169 L	+7.3wins	+0.03per pick	29cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Suns	19c	53,727$10,329 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,329.11	649	48.2%313 W · 336 L	-3.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Suns	3c	42,659$1,126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,126.48	1,096	40.9%448 W · 648 L	+34.3wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	-17%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x011f…1122backed Suns	1c	41,239$325 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$325.38	464	26.1%121 W · 343 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Suns	11c	32,985$3,778 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,778.26	1,226	37.4%458 W · 768 L	+7.6wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27cb…169ebacked Suns	18c	29,999$5,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,399.88	274	24.5%67 W · 207 L	-10.0wins	-0.04per pick	28cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb45d…a406backed Suns	0c	29,402$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.8	279	17.9%50 W · 229 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-44.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Suns	0c	27,209$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.42	521	3.8%20 W · 501 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x37d3…709abacked Suns	19c	25,037$4,757 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,757	26	42.3%11 W · 15 L	+2.1wins	+0.08per pick	34cpaid	+64.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3625…1187backed Suns	20c	23,800$4,760 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,760	72	43.1%31 W · 41 L	-3.7wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2061…8ec9backed Suns	2c	22,564$409 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$409.02	60	28.3%17 W · 43 L	-2.9wins	-0.05per pick	33cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Suns	3c	20,287$519 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$518.75	110	34.5%38 W · 72 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Thunder	78c	19,250$14,998 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,251.94	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x844d…780bbacked Suns	0c	18,801$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.8	32	53.1%17 W · 15 L	+6.7wins	+0.21per pick	32cpaid	+70.1%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0x3450…6793backed Suns	13c	17,684$2,287 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,286.64	174	41.4%72 W · 102 L	-4.2wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd38a…8d26backed Suns	13c	17,368$2,254 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,253.52	52	53.8%28 W · 24 L	+2.5wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8180…f4dabacked Thunder	80c	15,000$12,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,000	433	52.2%226 W · 207 L	+19.3wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4b0d…90c0backed Suns	19c	12,724$2,418 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,417.51	88	34.1%30 W · 58 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Thunder	70c	12,544$8,842 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,701.16	423	48%203 W · 220 L	-5.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-15%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Suns	19c	11,000$2,055 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,054.95	237	42.6%101 W · 136 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Suns	13c	10,959$1,437 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,437.41	1,341	29.9%401 W · 940 L	-53.8wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Suns	22c	10,930$2,392 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,392.01	931	48.4%451 W · 480 L	+34.1wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Suns	17c	10,600$1,828 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,827.99	205	37.1%76 W · 129 L	+6.3wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4517…f700backed Suns	12c	10,534$1,263 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,262.71	171	47.4%81 W · 90 L	+13.7wins	+0.08per pick	39cpaid	+36.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa1e4…4f8abacked Suns	19c	10,015$1,903 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,902.8	62	40.3%25 W · 37 L	+2.8wins	+0.04per pick	36cpaid	+21%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3eeb…c387backed Thunder	80c	10,000$8,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,000	204	54.9%112 W · 92 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked Suns	19c	9,999$1,900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,899.88	242	52.5%127 W · 115 L	+18.7wins	+0.08per pick	45cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf472…a262backed Suns	14c	9,811$1,327 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,327.36	141	7.8%11 W · 130 L	-7.8wins	-0.06per pick	13cpaid	-46.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Suns	24c	9,765$2,384 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,384.1	1,190	32%381 W · 809 L	-58.1wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Suns	19c	9,500$1,765 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,764.98	866	41.5%359 W · 507 L	-2.2wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Suns	10c	9,459$930 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$929.7	722	41.4%299 W · 423 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x089b…2193backed Suns	11c	9,000$990 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$989.99	277	31.4%87 W · 190 L	-7.7wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Suns	19c	9,000$1,680 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,679.99	434	38.5%167 W · 267 L	-1.9wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0f14…425bbacked Suns	17c	8,478$1,468 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,468.47	21	33.3%7 W · 14 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf12f…0505backed Suns	5c	8,189$395 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$394.56	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	-1.8wins	-0.09per pick	46cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Suns	17c	8,094$1,381 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,381.46	552	51.3%283 W · 269 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked Suns	11c	8,033$884 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$883.67	352	51.1%180 W · 172 L	+8.7wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5f6…a659backed Suns	18c	8,000$1,440 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,440	272	41.9%114 W · 158 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Suns	19c	8,000$1,495 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,494.98	659	39.5%260 W · 399 L	-13.1wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed Suns	10c	7,764$775 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$774.89	286	43%123 W · 163 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Suns	13c	7,684$979 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$978.57	616	38.5%237 W · 379 L	-8.1wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc741…a270backed Suns	19c	7,349$1,396 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,396.26	38	34.2%13 W · 25 L	+4.1wins	+0.11per pick	23cpaid	+36.5%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Suns	0c	7,063$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.93	550	2.5%14 W · 536 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	2cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Thunder	79c	6,756$5,359 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,396.32	2,169	40.8%885 W · 1,284 L	-8.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6815…9edbbacked Thunder	80c	6,583$5,241 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,341.17	209	46.9%98 W · 111 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e94…7f1ebacked Suns	19c	6,310$1,199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,198.9	77	42.9%33 W · 44 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Thunder	66c	5,873$3,876 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,996.97	328	46.6%153 W · 175 L	-7.6wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Suns	17c	5,698$994 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$994.34	698	48.6%339 W · 359 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4bb5…1d5bbacked Suns	26c	5,634$1,481 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,481.36	18	61.1%11 W · 7 L	+2.2wins	+0.12per pick	49cpaid	+20%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5f0e…7397backed Thunder	80c	5,201$4,150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,051.02	118	43.2%51 W · 67 L	-3.5wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x751b…73fdbacked Thunder	67c	5,120$3,431 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,689.75	51	43.1%22 W · 29 L	-4.3wins	-0.08per pick	51cpaid	-21%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4e47…3475backed Thunder	80c	5,101$4,081 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,020.2	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+1.4wins	+0.24per pick	59cpaid	+32.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7802…e646backed Suns	19c	5,100$969 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$969	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.6wins	-0.08per pick	22cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9438…ad81backed Suns	1c	5,056$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.66	317	9.5%30 W · 287 L	-4.0wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-59.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1208…0160backed Suns	3c	5,009$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	667	32.4%216 W · 451 L	+41.8wins	+0.06per pick	26cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbedd…7605backed Suns	8c	5,000$379 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$379.12	106	30.2%32 W · 74 L	+7.3wins	+0.07per pick	23cpaid	+43.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed Thunder	80c	5,000$4,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,000	131	48.1%63 W · 68 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Suns	19c	4,900$931 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$930.94	1,782	28%499 W · 1,283 L	+11.5wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3887…4b9bbacked Suns	19c	4,857$923 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$922.82	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.19per pick	39cpaid	-69.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Suns	19c	4,757$904 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$903.83	1,752	40.6%712 W · 1,040 L	-3.3wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Thunder	78c	4,657$3,632 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,024.51	3,341	53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L	+108.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e83…00aabacked Suns	22c	4,587$992 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$991.81	17	23.5%4 W · 13 L	-1.6wins	-0.09per pick	33cpaid	-38.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Suns	18c	4,200$756 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$756	402	43.8%176 W · 226 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe3d4…884ebacked Suns	7c	4,131$283 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$283.23	82	25.6%21 W · 61 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	28cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf405…9df2backed Thunder	72c	4,097$2,950 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,147.07	432	69.2%299 W · 133 L	+10.7wins	+0.02per pick	67cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Thunder	80c	4,000$3,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$800	564	53.9%304 W · 260 L	+6.7wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe471…c87cbacked Suns	6c	4,000$228 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$228	173	26.6%46 W · 127 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Suns	3c	3,737$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.1	251	38.6%97 W · 154 L	-11.4wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Suns	19c	3,593$673 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$672.62	689	44%303 W · 386 L	+16.8wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Thunder	80c	3,473$2,778 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$694.52	1,374	50.1%689 W · 685 L	+34.9wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Thunder	77c	3,387$2,598 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$788.25	898	50.9%457 W · 441 L	+19.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Suns	27c	3,380$914 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$913.82	894	44.4%397 W · 497 L	+8.6wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Suns	16c	3,350$549 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$549.4	249	37.3%93 W · 156 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-35%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d43…ce68backed Suns	29c	3,341$957 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$957.19	172	47.7%82 W · 90 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6d4…34dbbacked Suns	1c	3,292$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.77	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	24cpaid	-56.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3636…4a00backed Suns	3c	3,276$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.17	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	+0.6wins	+0.06per pick	22cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4db9…14f5backed Suns	5c	3,159$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152.3	102	35.3%36 W · 66 L	+5.2wins	+0.05per pick	30cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e05…f435backed Suns	19c	3,100$589 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$589	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	-1.9wins	-0.13per pick	49cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc2c4…0734backed Suns	19c	3,032$571 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$570.78	30	16.7%5 W · 25 L	-6.5wins	-0.22per pick	38cpaid	-66.8%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Suns	19c	3,000$570 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$570	587	40%235 W · 352 L	+24.3wins	+0.04per pick	36cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7634…600dbacked Suns	20c	2,955$589 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$588.74	280	56.8%159 W · 121 L	+22.2wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	+50.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x17d6…f1e2backed Suns	18c	2,888$520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$519.83	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	+0.5wins	+0.04per pick	37cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x851c…dafdbacked Suns	11c	2,846$322 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$322.31	76	34.2%26 W · 50 L	+6.3wins	+0.08per pick	26cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd52d…412dbacked Suns	24c	2,581$619 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$619.37	535	39.6%212 W · 323 L	-11.9wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad5f…c909backed Suns	20c	2,568$514 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$513.51	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Thunder	78c	2,517$1,963 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$553.7	2,507	48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L	+19.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaaa8…7ea2backed Thunder	80c	2,471$1,976 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$495.47	345	54.8%189 W · 156 L	-5.7wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20f6…0f69backed Thunder	69c	2,441$1,681 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$759.75	93	47.3%44 W · 49 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3335…3656backed Suns	19c	2,437$463 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$463.12	87	59.8%52 W · 35 L	+10.8wins	+0.12per pick	47cpaid	+33.5%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x24d5…9e7cbacked Suns	19c	2,424$460 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$460.48	38	34.2%13 W · 25 L	+1.7wins	+0.05per pick	30cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Suns	2c	2,360$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.33	721	1%7 W · 714 L	-2.6wins	0.00per pick	1cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Suns	7c	2,093$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153.1	679	11%75 W · 604 L	+7.6wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	-11%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x338c…bef7backed Suns	7c	2,087$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147.45	146	26.7%39 W · 107 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	25cpaid	-7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Thunder	80c	2,020$1,616 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$404.04	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x59e5…7a2bbacked Thunder	80c	2,000$1,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$400	61	52.5%32 W · 29 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Suns	19c	2,000$380 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$380	898	53.1%477 W · 421 L	+21.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Thunder vs. Sunsthis page
1H Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Thunder won
Ajay Mitchell: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
Ajay Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
Devin Booker: Points O/U 22.5Yes won
Dillon Brooks: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
Jalen Green: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
Mark Williams: Points O/U 1.5No won
Mark Williams: Rebounds O/U 1.5No won
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 32.5No won
Spread: Thunder (-10.5)Suns won
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)Suns won
Thunder vs. Suns: 1H O/U 103.5Over won
Thunder vs. Suns: 1H O/U 104.5Over won
Thunder vs. Suns: 1H O/U 105.5Over won
Thunder vs. Suns: O/U 213.5Over won
Thunder vs. Suns: O/U 214.5Over won
Thunder vs. Suns: O/U 215.5Over won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Thunder vs. Suns

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event