TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Thunder vs. Suns: O/U 213.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$85,692
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$96,222

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,692 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 145 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd48a…6e90backed Under49c14,734$7,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,219.641,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9eca…5a59backed Over51c11,894$6,066 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,828.05757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+14%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf559…f462backed Under51c7,645$3,882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,881.8611654.3%63 W · 53 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x85f0…3f67backed Over54c5,910$3,195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,714.864546.7%21 W · 24 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6947…296dbacked Over51c3,806$1,941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,865.071741.2%7 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-31.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under44c3,124$1,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,374.774,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Over49c3,000$1,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,53030448.4%147 W · 157 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Over53c2,901$1,528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,372.7917553.7%94 W · 81 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under46c2,598$1,194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,193.984,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Under47c2,189$1,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,028.8945146.1%208 W · 243 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Under44c2,000$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$879.9931046.8%145 W · 165 L+1.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73ff…0facbacked Over56c1,785$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785.476357.1%36 W · 27 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Under44c1,783$785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$784.5825641.4%106 W · 150 L-13.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc6c3…1ab9backed Over55c1,498$822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$676.451643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-28.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Under44c1,388$606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605.7338947.6%185 W · 204 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Under28c1,348$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.9225840.7%105 W · 153 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x081a…66d0backed Over49c1,020$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.25330.2%16 W · 37 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-22.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb3d2…ac71backed Over49c1,017$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518.7475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+50.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a91…0776backed Over49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5101450%7 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Over51c970.6$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.5944345.1%200 W · 243 L+2.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7595…50ffbacked Under50c970$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48511156.8%63 W · 48 L+8.9wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+18.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4946…4004backed Over57c952.18$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.0321957.1%125 W · 94 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c87…bb1abacked Over55c937.62$516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.932759.3%16 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Over50c893.02$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.1815545.8%71 W · 84 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x40b4…1483backed Over57c856.05$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.9814045.7%64 W · 76 L-8.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-10.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x12ec…41aebacked Under43c721.05$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.0516039.4%63 W · 97 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over52c692.22$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.021,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Over57c683.65$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.9795452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over52c680$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32462051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2018…dfc5backed Over55c619.18$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.633737.8%14 W · 23 L-6.1wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-30.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Under44c618.18$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2721,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53e9…5ef8backed Under21c599.98$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1234748.9%23 W · 24 L+7.3wins+0.16per pick33cpaid+82%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under46c585.84$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.4264948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0437…30f4backed Under46c575.86$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.9633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-33.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under44c523.8$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.471,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe33f…e413backed Under45c491.61$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.2311437.7%43 W · 71 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa55…e024backed Over53c485.9$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.374461.4%27 W · 17 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+16.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7305…1cb7backed Over51c485.3$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.81827.8%5 W · 13 L-4.8wins-0.26per pick54cpaid-55.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xe7c0…24eebacked Under44c483.2$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.618451.2%43 W · 41 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x689c…6b1ebacked Over57c467.75$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.1312451.6%64 W · 60 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Under50c388$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1941,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under44c384.51$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.8532045.3%145 W · 175 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Under48c312.5$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under45c287.68$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.611,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over67c281.51$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.93,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Over56c278.67$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.6124955.8%139 W · 110 L+0.7wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0204…0e31backed Over55c265.36$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.4128949.1%142 W · 147 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc58c…8b7fbacked Over56c254.54$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1124738.3%18 W · 29 L-4.2wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-23.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5d95…82e8backed Under45c249.02$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.162152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5782…8ce5backed Over55c243.25$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.469652.1%50 W · 46 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee62…bc6abacked Under49c223.93$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.7126745.3%121 W · 146 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Under45c220$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.156043.9%246 W · 314 L-31.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Over52c218.52$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.8942853%227 W · 201 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad88…3c1ebacked Under46c212.87$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.9211043.6%48 W · 62 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+20.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cbb…5503backed Under46c212.45$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.739653.1%51 W · 45 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+16.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd8…eecabacked Under50c203.7$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.8510552.4%55 W · 50 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0bfd…a4bbbacked Under48c201.51$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.723357.6%19 W · 14 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+20.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe5ca…df8abacked Over51c200.89$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.571546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e33…bf4dbacked Over54c196.88$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.561942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.11per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe062…4907backed Under50c193.03$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.527451.4%38 W · 36 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Under44c190.9$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.9185449.4%422 W · 432 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9950…1432backed Over51c184$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.163551.4%18 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under43c183.08$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.456,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb2e…cc6bbacked Over55c176.91$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.615253.8%28 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+12.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cee…dfadbacked Over55c176.91$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.6113655.9%76 W · 60 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under44c174$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.5656843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x079b…7263backed Over56c172.95$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.13100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+94.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3763…2632backed Over57c153.82$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.14560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+24.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0dad…4855backed Over54c151.25$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.578951.7%46 W · 43 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under33c149.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.663,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ac8…9e67backed Under50c145.5$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.7518543.2%80 W · 105 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Under46c136.3$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.745251.1%231 W · 221 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x641f…049abacked Under50c131.92$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.9618054.4%98 W · 82 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b71…80ecbacked Under44c120.8$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.158545.9%39 W · 46 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4d3…4b1fbacked Under46c111.27$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.197751.9%40 W · 37 L+4.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under26c105.87$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.2865630.2%198 W · 458 L-86.7wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-42.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x5df4…4eacbacked Under47c103$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4115154.3%82 W · 69 L+0.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86f3…685cbacked Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5012558.4%73 W · 52 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbda3…ef65backed Over57c97.42$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.8937253.5%199 W · 173 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Over51c97.06$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.5659650.3%300 W · 296 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f8a…1cb9backed Over50c97$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.58154.3%44 W · 37 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc789…7972backed Over51c95.16$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.6316146.6%75 W · 86 L+8.0wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd52f…88fabacked Over51c95.16$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.635850%29 W · 29 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe10b…29cabacked Over51c95.16$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3259…6e3fbacked Over51c95.16$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.633231.3%10 W · 22 L-4.1wins-0.13per pick44cpaid+1.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x724c…1521backed Over55c88.45$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.87856.4%44 W · 34 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4e4…4a19backed Over69c80.67$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.354470.5%31 W · 13 L+5.1wins+0.12per pick59cpaid+21%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Over50c77.98$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.9965045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2784…e60abacked Under45c72.2$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.491553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c80…9564backed Over55c68.11$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.6512159.5%72 W · 49 L-0.5wins0.00per pick60cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Over53c61.61$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.021,32249.9%660 W · 662 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under46c61.41$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.051,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0043…a525backed Over56c60.85$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.777047.1%33 W · 37 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under49c59.13$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.011,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Over51c59$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.911,66150.3%836 W · 825 L-14.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb58…4acebacked Under50c58.2$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.19451.1%48 W · 46 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64c0…eaa0backed Over51c57.09$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.981850%9 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbaf9…3a59backed Over54c55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.38651.2%44 W · 42 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc0b…4db0backed Over55c53.07$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.8818459.2%109 W · 75 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6495…6cd7backed Over57c51.27$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.055257.7%30 W · 22 L+4.7wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.