NBA · resolved market
Thunder vs. Suns: O/U 213.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf0597e698dcd1dc9455bc136ee97c84c723389ce75fe0d916fa59cb42c29600d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $85,692
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $96,222
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,692 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 145 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 49c | 14,734$7,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,219.64 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed Over | 51c | 11,894$6,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,828.05 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf559…f462backed Under | 51c | 7,645$3,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,881.86 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85f0…3f67backed Over | 54c | 5,910$3,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,714.86 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6947…296dbacked Over | 51c | 3,806$1,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,865.07 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 44c | 3,124$1,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,374.77 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530 | 304 | 48.4%147 W · 157 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Over | 53c | 2,901$1,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,372.79 | 175 | 53.7%94 W · 81 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 46c | 2,598$1,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,193.98 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Under | 47c | 2,189$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,028.89 | 451 | 46.1%208 W · 243 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Under | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.99 | 310 | 46.8%145 W · 165 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73ff…0facbacked Over | 56c | 1,785$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.47 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Under | 44c | 1,783$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.58 | 256 | 41.4%106 W · 150 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c3…1ab9backed Over | 55c | 1,498$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.45 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Under | 44c | 1,388$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.73 | 389 | 47.6%185 W · 204 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Under | 28c | 1,348$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.92 | 258 | 40.7%105 W · 153 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed Over | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.2 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d2…ac71backed Over | 49c | 1,017$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.7 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a91…0776backed Over | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Over | 51c | 970.6$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.59 | 443 | 45.1%200 W · 243 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7595…50ffbacked Under | 50c | 970$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485 | 111 | 56.8%63 W · 48 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…4004backed Over | 57c | 952.18$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.03 | 219 | 57.1%125 W · 94 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…bb1abacked Over | 55c | 937.62$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.93 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Over | 50c | 893.02$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.18 | 155 | 45.8%71 W · 84 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40b4…1483backed Over | 57c | 856.05$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.98 | 140 | 45.7%64 W · 76 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked Under | 43c | 721.05$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.05 | 160 | 39.4%63 W · 97 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 52c | 692.22$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.02 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Over | 57c | 683.65$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.97 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 52c | 680$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2018…dfc5backed Over | 55c | 619.18$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.63 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -6.1wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Under | 44c | 618.18$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53e9…5ef8backed Under | 21c | 599.98$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +7.3wins | +0.16per pick | 33cpaid | +82%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 46c | 585.84$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.42 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0437…30f4backed Under | 46c | 575.86$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.9 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 44c | 523.8$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.47 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…e413backed Under | 45c | 491.61$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.23 | 114 | 37.7%43 W · 71 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa55…e024backed Over | 53c | 485.9$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.37 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7305…1cb7backed Over | 51c | 485.3$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.8 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -4.8wins | -0.26per pick | 54cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…24eebacked Under | 44c | 483.2$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.61 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked Over | 57c | 467.75$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.13 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 50c | 388$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 44c | 384.51$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.85 | 320 | 45.3%145 W · 175 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Under | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 45c | 287.68$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.61 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 67c | 281.51$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.9 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Over | 56c | 278.67$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.61 | 249 | 55.8%139 W · 110 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…0e31backed Over | 55c | 265.36$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.41 | 289 | 49.1%142 W · 147 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58c…8b7fbacked Over | 56c | 254.54$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d95…82e8backed Under | 45c | 249.02$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.16 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5782…8ce5backed Over | 55c | 243.25$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.46 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee62…bc6abacked Under | 49c | 223.93$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.71 | 267 | 45.3%121 W · 146 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Under | 45c | 220$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.1 | 560 | 43.9%246 W · 314 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 52c | 218.52$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.89 | 428 | 53%227 W · 201 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Under | 46c | 212.87$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.92 | 110 | 43.6%48 W · 62 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cbb…5503backed Under | 46c | 212.45$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.73 | 96 | 53.1%51 W · 45 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…eecabacked Under | 50c | 203.7$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.85 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfd…a4bbbacked Under | 48c | 201.51$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.72 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ca…df8abacked Over | 51c | 200.89$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.57 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…bf4dbacked Over | 54c | 196.88$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.56 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Under | 50c | 193.03$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.52 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Under | 44c | 190.9$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.91 | 854 | 49.4%422 W · 432 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9950…1432backed Over | 51c | 184$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.16 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 43c | 183.08$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.45 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2e…cc6bbacked Over | 55c | 176.91$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.61 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cee…dfadbacked Over | 55c | 176.91$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.61 | 136 | 55.9%76 W · 60 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 44c | 174$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.56 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x079b…7263backed Over | 56c | 172.95$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.1 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +94.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…2632backed Over | 57c | 153.82$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.14 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dad…4855backed Over | 54c | 151.25$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.57 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 33c | 149.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.66 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac8…9e67backed Under | 50c | 145.5$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.75 | 185 | 43.2%80 W · 105 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Under | 46c | 136.3$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.7 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x641f…049abacked Under | 50c | 131.92$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.96 | 180 | 54.4%98 W · 82 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b71…80ecbacked Under | 44c | 120.8$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.15 | 85 | 45.9%39 W · 46 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d3…4b1fbacked Under | 46c | 111.27$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.19 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 26c | 105.87$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.28 | 656 | 30.2%198 W · 458 L | -86.7wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5df4…4eacbacked Under | 47c | 103$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.41 | 151 | 54.3%82 W · 69 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86f3…685cbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 125 | 58.4%73 W · 52 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Over | 57c | 97.42$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.89 | 372 | 53.5%199 W · 173 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 51c | 97.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.56 | 596 | 50.3%300 W · 296 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8a…1cb9backed Over | 50c | 97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc789…7972backed Over | 51c | 95.16$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.63 | 161 | 46.6%75 W · 86 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd52f…88fabacked Over | 51c | 95.16$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.63 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe10b…29cabacked Over | 51c | 95.16$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3259…6e3fbacked Over | 51c | 95.16$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.63 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x724c…1521backed Over | 55c | 88.45$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.8 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e4…4a19backed Over | 69c | 80.67$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.35 | 44 | 70.5%31 W · 13 L | +5.1wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +21%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Over | 50c | 77.98$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.99 | 650 | 45.1%293 W · 357 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2784…e60abacked Under | 45c | 72.2$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.49 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c80…9564backed Over | 55c | 68.11$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Over | 53c | 61.61$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.02 | 1,322 | 49.9%660 W · 662 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 46c | 61.41$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.05 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0043…a525backed Over | 56c | 60.85$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.77 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 49c | 59.13$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.01 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Over | 51c | 59$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.91 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb58…4acebacked Under | 50c | 58.2$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.1 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64c0…eaa0backed Over | 51c | 57.09$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.98 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf9…3a59backed Over | 54c | 55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.3 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0b…4db0backed Over | 55c | 53.07$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.88 | 184 | 59.2%109 W · 75 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6495…6cd7backed Over | 57c | 51.27$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Thunder vs. Suns: O/U 213.5this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Thunder won
- Ajay Mitchell: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Ajay Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Devin Booker: Points O/U 22.5Yes won
- Dillon Brooks: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Jalen Green: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Mark Williams: Points O/U 1.5No won
- Mark Williams: Rebounds O/U 1.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 32.5No won
- Spread: Thunder (-10.5)Suns won
- Spread: Thunder (-11.5)Suns won
- Thunder vs. SunsThunder won
- Thunder vs. Suns: 1H O/U 103.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Suns: 1H O/U 104.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Suns: 1H O/U 105.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Suns: O/U 214.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Suns: O/U 215.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.