TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Thunder vs. Suns: 1H O/U 103.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,909
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,271

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,909 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xeea8…0412backed Over59c792.91$464 inWon+$328.6116251.9%84 W · 78 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Under40c642.44$256 inLost-$255.5579650.9%405 W · 391 L+63.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+21.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6f19…b9ffbacked Under44c530.82$234 inLost-$233.567852.6%41 W · 37 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under40c289.44$115 inLost-$115.032,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x951f…e430backed Over57c255.81$145 inWon+$110.6823652.5%124 W · 112 L+11.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb002…103dbacked Under45c194.99$88 inLost-$87.756845.6%31 W · 37 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec54…a03dbacked Over57c179.68$102 inWon+$77.2610957.8%63 W · 46 L+0.3wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9f5…3e7abacked Under43c178.36$77 inLost-$76.737755.2%208 W · 169 L+23.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+60.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x32e0…a295backed Over60c162.67$98 inWon+$65.0711261.6%69 W · 43 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe062…4907backed Under45c149.01$67 inLost-$67.067451.4%38 W · 36 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Over55c110$61 inWon+$49.536749.6%182 W · 185 L+1.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5961…56dbbacked Over54c100$54 inWon+$4637848.9%185 W · 193 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under42c82.76$35 inLost-$34.7650346.5%234 W · 269 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0514…def7backed Over58c67.23$39 inWon+$28.243855.3%21 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Over52c60$31 inWon+$28.832846.6%153 W · 175 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0eb9…bb3cbacked Over61c53.71$33 inWon+$20.951717.6%3 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick28cpaid-9.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x07e4…186ebacked Over56c34.77$19 inWon+$15.32846.4%13 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Under42c30$13 inLost-$12.633556.7%190 W · 145 L+26.4wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…ba2cbacked Under41c30$12 inLost-$12.1526957.2%154 W · 115 L+11.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe7cd…7db3backed Over55c25.11$14 inWon+$11.368354.2%45 W · 38 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43f5…40d0backed Over56c22.66$13 inWon+$9.971338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.19per pick57cpaid-33.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.