TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 32.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,536
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,477

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,536 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x556c…93cebacked Yes47c664.78$312 inLost-$312.4424949%122 W · 127 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe558…dcd2backed No53c609.79$323 inWon+$286.69349.5%46 W · 47 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+22.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf83b…44a2backed Yes47c301.83$142 inLost-$141.8615246.7%71 W · 81 L+0.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed No53c189.91$101 inWon+$89.2678652.4%412 W · 374 L+14.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked No67c146.65$98 inWon+$48.6417758.2%103 W · 74 L+11.0wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0cef…9d08backed No53c128.52$68 inWon+$60.55752.6%30 W · 27 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Yes35c102.05$36 inLost-$35.961,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Yes38c100$38 inLost-$3841050.7%208 W · 202 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6683…f5f4backed No53c91.68$49 inWon+$43.0914649.3%72 W · 74 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fb1…0073backed No53c55.01$29 inWon+$25.8514953%79 W · 70 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f66…bdb3backed Yes22c47.19$10 inLost-$10.32425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-30.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeab5…c3cebacked Yes47c37.1$17 inLost-$17.441850%9 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+12.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x39a7…d1cbbacked Yes47c31.2$15 inLost-$14.523542.9%15 W · 20 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c18…79f4backed No53c27.5$15 inWon+$12.932751.9%14 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…ba2cbacked No52c27$14 inWon+$12.926957.2%154 W · 115 L+11.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0918…b2d5backed Yes47c25.75$12 inLost-$12.11030%3 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.23per pick53cpaid-43.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9050…67c5backed Yes47c21.94$10 inLost-$10.3140%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.