NBA · resolved market
Thunder vs. Suns: O/U 214.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xec0f149daa9c98f04d1aaf159cda42b7fc177a2fc57852e591cd0a6e1ae05b8b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $248,005
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $249,230
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $248,005 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 154 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x85f0…3f67backed Over | 52c | 69,332$36,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,999.17 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Under | 47c | 49,759$23,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,376.46 | 376 | 27.9%105 W · 271 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Over | 53c | 29,779$15,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,996.07 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Over | 53c | 19,871$10,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,339.48 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Over | 54c | 17,958$9,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,233.52 | 99 | 45.5%45 W · 54 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8a…2d30backed Under | 48c | 16,748$8,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,039.1 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6bd…3096backed Under | 48c | 13,166$6,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,319.84 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Under | 47c | 12,943$6,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,028.49 | 316 | 44.6%141 W · 175 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Under | 48c | 11,144$5,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,349.16 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2114…84c5backed Under | 47c | 10,300$4,841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,841 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -8.3wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Over | 51c | 7,553$3,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,701.11 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Under | 46c | 7,160$3,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,293.71 | 249 | 42.2%105 W · 144 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Under | 45c | 6,172$2,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,777.51 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14f0…6779backed Over | 52c | 6,000$3,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,880 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x857a…606dbacked Over | 52c | 6,000$3,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,880 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 48c | 5,572$2,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,674.58 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6323…9feebacked Under | 48c | 5,359$2,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,572.18 | 144 | 41%59 W · 85 L | -12.8wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 3c | 4,675$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.1 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e1e…bb68backed Over | 53c | 4,584$2,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,154.46 | 95 | 56.8%54 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72f3…92d6backed Over | 53c | 3,837$2,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,796.43 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf29e…a0aabacked Over | 52c | 3,825$1,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,836 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5d…191dbacked Under | 47c | 3,270$1,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,536.87 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf20f…3b33backed Under | 48c | 3,252$1,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560.74 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | -11.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Over | 52c | 3,137$1,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,505.93 | 433 | 48.5%210 W · 223 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Under | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6c…236dbacked Over | 53c | 2,973$1,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,409.05 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Over | 52c | 2,914$1,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,398.53 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 53c | 2,800$1,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,316 | 304 | 48.4%147 W · 157 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 48c | 2,390$1,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,147.2 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…dac0backed Under | 48c | 2,336$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,109.91 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 69c | 2,326$1,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.09 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa136…ea3cbacked Under | 48c | 2,018$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.8 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Under | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 310 | 46.8%145 W · 165 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61e8…b283backed Under | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -11.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78bb…591fbacked Under | 48c | 1,920$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$921.59 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78b0…9f1abacked Over | 55c | 1,813$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.99 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +70.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab2…8fdabacked Under | 47c | 1,689$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.83 | 197 | 45.2%89 W · 108 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 52c | 1,639$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.91 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74c2…5260backed Over | 53c | 1,520$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.42 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1358…d34abacked Under | 48c | 1,511$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.49 | 80 | 36.3%29 W · 51 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 52c | 1,459$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.61 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Under | 1c | 1,435$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 102 | 39.2%40 W · 62 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14fe…e0fdbacked Over | 53c | 1,284$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.25 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x164d…50c0backed Under | 2c | 1,210$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89ec…ed41backed Under | 48c | 1,200$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Under | 28c | 1,195$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.47 | 258 | 40.7%105 W · 153 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae17…8e49backed Over | 51c | 1,125$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.49 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +93.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 45c | 1,057$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.79 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75de…ae49backed Over | 51c | 1,001$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x108a…dc8dbacked Over | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 47c | 968.2$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.05 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 46c | 908.19$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.57 | 320 | 45.3%145 W · 175 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca2b…e77abacked Under | 48c | 845.76$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.97 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Under | 48c | 845.68$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.93 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -5.0wins | -0.20per pick | 44cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked Under | 48c | 755.66$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.72 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 53c | 733.43$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.71 | 462 | 58.2%269 W · 193 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 53c | 655.57$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.14 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Over | 53c | 654.5$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.72 | 447 | 40.7%182 W · 265 L | -27.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4a…f43dbacked Under | 3c | 629.3$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.11 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Under | 46c | 580.56$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.06 | 324 | 50.3%163 W · 161 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23f9…3c2dbacked Over | 52c | 573.01$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.04 | 186 | 43.5%81 W · 105 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf72d…5a35backed Over | 55c | 549.49$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.3 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…24eebacked Under | 46c | 483.8$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.55 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4995…6815backed Over | 52c | 481.25$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b2…5098backed Over | 53c | 420.62$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0437…30f4backed Over | 52c | 410.53$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.06 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Under | 3c | 407.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfad4…379bbacked Under | 4c | 401.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 103 | 47.6%49 W · 54 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…643cbacked Under | 46c | 389$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.94 | 143 | 38.5%55 W · 88 L | -18.4wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 53c | 377.82$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.7 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…8d0fbacked Under | 47c | 353.7$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.24 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 53c | 296.72$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.12 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 46c | 290.28$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.53 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 53c | 288.54$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.22 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x198c…6a94backed Under | 49c | 258.76$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.79 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Under | 46c | 245.68$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.51 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 48c | 201.83$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.88 | 611 | 51.4%314 W · 297 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Under | 48c | 201.83$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.88 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…50c8backed Under | 48c | 201.83$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.88 | 185 | 52.4%97 W · 88 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfd…a4bbbacked Under | 48c | 201.51$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.72 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x332e…df71backed Under | 49c | 197.84$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.94 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e33…c3eebacked Under | 47c | 197.76$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.95 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 46c | 170.93$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.43 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff93…1239backed Under | 47c | 153.74$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.41 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x549d…35b9backed Over | 52c | 150$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 34c | 139.84$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.09 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38c4…7c65backed Under | 46c | 130.63$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.09 | 295 | 56.6%167 W · 128 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Over | 53c | 128.35$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.32 | 384 | 32.6%125 W · 259 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…763bbacked Over | 53c | 125.8$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.13 | 337 | 48.1%162 W · 175 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Under | 47c | 125.08$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.79 | 130 | 47.7%62 W · 68 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…6077backed Over | 52c | 123$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.04 | 177 | 40.1%71 W · 106 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d5…7620backed Over | 53c | 119.18$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.02 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6196…1a64backed Under | 49c | 118.7$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.16 | 256 | 66.8%171 W · 85 L | +16.7wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d91…72f1backed Under | 48c | 116.58$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.96 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Under | 45c | 112.54$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.64 | 211 | 47.4%100 W · 111 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf8…03b2backed Over | 52c | 112.06$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.79 | 275 | 49.5%136 W · 139 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…ba01backed Over | 53c | 107.37$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.17 | 427 | 40.3%172 W · 255 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…0b46backed Under | 47c | 103$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.41 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Thunder vs. Suns: O/U 214.5this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Thunder won
- Ajay Mitchell: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Ajay Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Devin Booker: Points O/U 22.5Yes won
- Dillon Brooks: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Jalen Green: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Mark Williams: Points O/U 1.5No won
- Mark Williams: Rebounds O/U 1.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 32.5No won
- Spread: Thunder (-10.5)Suns won
- Spread: Thunder (-11.5)Suns won
- Thunder vs. SunsThunder won
- Thunder vs. Suns: 1H O/U 103.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Suns: 1H O/U 104.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Suns: 1H O/U 105.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Suns: O/U 213.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Suns: O/U 215.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.