TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1358…d34a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
130
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: CS2, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 55 out of 100; worst NBA at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT8036.3%29 W · 51 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-30.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 80 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$23.31
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$67
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.6
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.8
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.1
Spread: Spurs (-10.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
76ers vs. Knicksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
76ers vs. Knicksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.6
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$107
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 210.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$104
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.48
76ers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$67
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.6
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.49
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$299Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$298.87
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.5
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$2,087Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+69.9%+$1,458.67
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$219.6
Thunder vs. Sunsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$33.31
Thunder vs. Suns: O/U 214.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$725Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$725.49
Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 214.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$589Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$426.45
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$558Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$371.82
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.44
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$563Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+166.7%+$937.5
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.84
Showing 25 of 80 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Independiente Medellín vs. CR Flamengo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.99
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-05-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+92.7%+$46.35
Will CA Paranaense vs. CR Flamengo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+191.8%+$191.78
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$85
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Spread: Santos FC (-2.5)backed Santos FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.81
Will Fluminense FC win on 2025-12-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will CR Flamengo win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+140.5%+$21.07
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+302.2%+$75.96
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2025-11-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will CR Flamengo win on 2025-10-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$35
All 11 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-45.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+28.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick33cpaid+48.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+33.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+81.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$67.55
Zama FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+113.9%+$256.21
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-14.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+159.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+159.7%+$46.15
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Carlos Prates vs. Jack Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Carlos Prates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+100%+$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Draftkings (DKNG) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$10.53
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Oct 27, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Porto win on 2025-10-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$9.81
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+74.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rolex Paris Masters: Karen Khachanov vs Joao Fonsecabacked Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+74.9%+$19.17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed rate cut by October 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$48
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.41
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 95m and 100m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in April 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.69
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.41
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.