Earnings · resolved market
Will Draftkings (DKNG) beat quarterly earnings?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfeb24dfa2bda5e212b2a955d3a8fb398ba2669b3505853f962b2f1e3f784a247
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Earningsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,747
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,142
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,747 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Earnings is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Earnings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x74e1…314cbacked No | 41c | 1,595$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f63…6643backed Yes | 61c | 1,201$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.86 | 65 | 100%65 W · 0 L | +26.0wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +90.8%equal weight | 82+0.29 edge/pick |
| 0x9e88…301cbacked No | 46c | 672.84$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.63 | 471 | 38.6%182 W · 289 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc810…512fbacked No | 58c | 400$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x830f…cda7backed Yes | 60c | 333.3$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.32 | 27 | 92.6%25 W · 2 L | +11.3wins | +0.42per pick | 51cpaid | +100.5%equal weight | 74+0.22 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…e965backed Yes | 42c | 327.7$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +93.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 674 | 42.7%288 W · 386 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa68…ba5dbacked Yes | 41c | 183$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.9 | 148 | 60.1%89 W · 59 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…7867backed Yes | 59c | 170.34$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.34 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d59…f7e5backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 170 | 64.1%109 W · 61 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aae…d563backed No | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.9 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 63cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -11.1wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 53c | 90$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.3 | 579 | 39%226 W · 353 L | -25.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf62…fceebacked Yes | 66c | 56.15$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.95 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed Yes | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb957…549cbacked No | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1358…d34abacked Yes | 51c | 21.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca6a…a71dbacked No | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51f2…38efbacked Yes | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Earnings and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.