TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-05-17?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$108,207
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$104,579

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $108,207 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 148 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes10c17,604$1,694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,694.377125.4%18 W · 53 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No65c7,752$5,064 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,688.6575240.8%307 W · 445 L-17.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No55c7,141$3,911 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,230.371,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x540d…122bbacked Yes14c6,500$910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$909.99333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid+33.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes18c5,451$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0006827.9%19 W · 49 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-26.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed No54c4,817$2,601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,215.73171%22 W · 9 L+6.2wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+39%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x2cbc…faebbacked Yes45c4,252$1,909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,908.96475%3 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.37per pick38cpaid+124.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes20c3,520$707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$706.622722.2%6 W · 21 L-3.4wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-58.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No79c3,172$2,512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$659.731,29042.8%552 W · 738 L-2.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1821…968bbacked Yes44c2,814$1,237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,236.810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8d9…48a6backed No55c2,771$1,524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,247.11457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes45c2,324$1,046 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,045.8928940.1%116 W · 173 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Yes46c2,174$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00011855.1%65 W · 53 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6fd…f43ebacked Yes47c2,128$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0574…3ee0backed Yes10c1,951$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.08728.6%2 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick15cpaid+104.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf439…bf9cbacked Yes44c1,942$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$859.63728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-41%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd9ff…79dcbacked Yes46c1,910$879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$878.81526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.9wins-0.20per pick46cpaid-49.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbce5…02f1backed No57c1,800$1,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$773.991250%6 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4748…9666backed Yes46c1,767$813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8134738.3%18 W · 29 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4871…0742backed Yes18c1,698$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.718343.4%36 W · 47 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Yes4c1,668$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.3230048%144 W · 156 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No56c1,205$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5302,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc905…850bbacked Yes47c1,158$548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548.117852.6%41 W · 37 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa96f…0cd0backed Yes43c1,149$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4942454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62a1…d53ebacked Yes18c1,106$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19930%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x573c…c365backed Yes46c1,087$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004242.9%18 W · 24 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-20.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No74c924.32$682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.462,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes23c826.09$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19046530.3%141 W · 324 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No55c800$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36412741.7%53 W · 74 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Yes27c776.22$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.8915424%37 W · 117 L-9.6wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-26%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed No55c731.41$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.1412757.5%73 W · 54 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfec2…08afbacked Yes45c693.33$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31212541.6%52 W · 73 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0832…9182backed Yes46c652.17$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001540%6 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-22.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb2c2…e9bfbacked Yes43c558.2$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.171540%6 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-20.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9271…a28abacked No57c553$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.793253.1%17 W · 15 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+26.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xddf1…a604backed Yes8c545.3$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.218660.5%52 W · 34 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1dbf…7776backed No55c544.69$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.111747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed No54c540.58$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.6719559.5%116 W · 79 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa38a…ed8dbacked Yes38c527.59$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001421.4%3 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.20per pick41cpaid-51%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb881…20a1backed Yes19c526.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002560%15 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed No76c499.57$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.4353836.8%198 W · 340 L-24.0wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4395…8fd0backed Yes46c464.13$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.5128.3%1 W · 11 L-3.2wins-0.27per pick35cpaid-85.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No55c457.11$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.641,48748.7%724 W · 763 L-17.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No54c408.99$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.141,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No54c401.01$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.691,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No57c385.58$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.051,07047.4%507 W · 563 L-46.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x32e5…be5bbacked Yes43c362.79$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1562556%14 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x59b4…73e0backed Yes35c357.03$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1263948.7%19 W · 20 L+4.5wins+0.12per pick37cpaid+32.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed No57c331.2$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.4225955.2%143 W · 116 L+1.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed No55c320$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14421358.7%125 W · 88 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes42c297$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.741,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes42c297$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.741,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed No55c280$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12622058.6%129 W · 91 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc52…dfcebacked No55c279.93$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.973652.8%19 W · 17 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c64…cb26backed Yes19c259.99$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.43844.7%17 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No54c259$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.942,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes5c244.91$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5737540%150 W · 225 L-16.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-37.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb85f…dfb5backed Yes21c244.71$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.57825%2 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-37.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No54c237.5$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.253,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e98…2550backed Yes46c223.39$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04e7…332fbacked No55c217.84$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.842352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10076951.5%396 W · 373 L-2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf703…541abacked Yes18c205.56$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3710039%39 W · 61 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaffe…7140backed No57c205$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.152245.5%10 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd52c…6c59backed Yes25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502948.3%14 W · 15 L+3.7wins+0.13per pick36cpaid+30.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1358…d34abacked Yes45c187.5$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$851136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes17c183.27$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.7621640.3%87 W · 129 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-35.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa859…fdb5backed Yes46c173.91$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8016262.3%101 W · 61 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Yes19c173.18$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.0225044%110 W · 140 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x655a…f972backed Yes13c166.05$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.52520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-67.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a47…3b21backed No55c164$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.812754.3%69 W · 58 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes12c156.61$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.426745.3%121 W · 146 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No54c150$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.578756.4%444 W · 343 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x202b…e209backed Yes30c133.47$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401225%3 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-39.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes19c131.27$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.941,32857%757 W · 571 L+57.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes18c131.2$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.1851945.7%237 W · 282 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed No54c118.58$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.212051.7%62 W · 58 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc1c0…c374backed Yes18c111.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x628d…a012backed Yes18c111.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206836.8%25 W · 43 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4f5…426ebacked Yes37c110$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.3110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f2a…2ba0backed Yes24c109.92$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.382955.2%16 W · 13 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf12d…0fddbacked Yes46c108.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506031.7%19 W · 41 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-24%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd8d2…b717backed Yes46c108.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0180…b8cdbacked Yes46c108.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504020%8 W · 32 L-8.8wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-53.5%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x4a7d…695fbacked Yes46c108.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501030%3 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-43.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd424…bf7bbacked Yes18c105.56$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick24cpaid+35%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x00a1…df06backed Yes45c101.67$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.754454.5%24 W · 20 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+19.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xee6e…ad3dbacked Yes19c100$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191040%4 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d9d…992bbacked Yes14c100$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Yes17c96.65$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0641145.5%187 W · 224 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes22c93.19$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.136339.9%145 W · 218 L-16.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-38.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x05c6…3a8fbacked Yes46c85.11$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.152045%9 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb986…0023backed Yes43c84.62$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.3910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88f7…56dbbacked Yes18c83.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x166e…3303backed Yes24c83.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208137%30 W · 51 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick33cpaid-4.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Yes45c75$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.7515651.9%81 W · 75 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Yes43c75$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.2516347.9%78 W · 85 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x59db…f9aebacked Yes22c74.99$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23ff…94f0backed Yes45c66.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302860.7%17 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ece…0163backed Yes45c66.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303327.3%9 W · 24 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-34.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.