TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5e98…2550

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
58
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Euroleague, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Euroleague at 59 out of 100; worst NBA at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT3348.5%16 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Pablo Carreno Busta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$360.15
Little Rock: Andre Ilagan vs Yasutaka Uchiyamabacked Andre Ilagan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+72.8%+$26.58
Roland Garros ATP: Hugo Gaston vs Gael Monfilsbacked Gael Monfils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.82
Geneva Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Learner Tienbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.97
Zagreb: Marco Cecchinato vs Andres Andradebacked Andres Andrade · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$45.7
Madrid Open: Jessica Bouzas Maneiro vs Diana Shnaiderbacked Diana Shnaider · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$100.63
Madrid Open: Cristian Garin vs Alexander Blockxbacked Alexander Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$59.09
Barletta: Maxim Mrva vs Martin Krumichbacked Martin Krumich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$43.99
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Mackenzie McDonaldbacked Mackenzie McDonald · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.46
Copa Colsanitas: Hanne Vandewinkel vs Sofia Costoulasbacked Sofia Costoulas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.21
Copa Colsanitas: Camila Osorio vs Caroline Dolehidebacked Caroline Dolehide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$401Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$400.85
Credit One Charleston Open: Ashlyn Krueger vs Caty McNallybacked Ashlyn Krueger · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$406Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+126%+$511.62
Sao Leopoldo: Eduardo Ribeiro vs Hugo Dellienbacked Hugo Dellien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+123.2%+$219.93
Grand Prix Hassan II: Henrique Rocha vs Marco Trungellitibacked Henrique Rocha · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$285Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$285.15
Grand Prix Hassan II: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Kamil Majchrzakbacked Kamil Majchrzak · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$141.43
Bucharest Open: Christopher O'Connell vs Mariano Navonebacked Christopher O'Connell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.17
Credit One Charleston Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Donna Vekicbacked Ajla Tomljanovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.56
US Men's Clay Court Championships, Qualification: Darwin Blanch vs Genaro Alberto Olivieribacked Genaro Alberto Olivieri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.21
Bucaramanga: Vladyslav Orlov vs Nicolas Villalonbacked Nicolas Villalon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$25.81
Miami Open: Valentin Vacherot vs Arthur Filsbacked Valentin Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.51
Sao Paulo: Emilio Nava vs Rafael Tosettobacked Rafael Tosetto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.95
Miami Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Taylor Fritzbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.75
Naples: Daniel Altmaier vs Miguel Damasbacked Daniel Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+133.6%+$41.05
Miami Open: Iva Jovic vs Paula Badosabacked Paula Badosa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.88
Miami Open: Raphael Collignon vs Flavio Cobollibacked Raphael Collignon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$41.7
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$133.07
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.76
Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Metsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$70.53
Washington Nationals vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$51.99
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.39
San Francisco Giants vs. Athleticsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$60.28
Chicago Cubs vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$56.25
Texas Rangers vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.24
Texas Rangers vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.55
All 9 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-30.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+2.3wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+137.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Virtus Bologna vs. Paris Basketballbacked Paris Basketball · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$110.51
Monaco vs. Olimpia Milanobacked Monaco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$27.59
Valencia vs. Barcelonabacked Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+165%+$70.93
Zhejiang Golden Bulls vs. Zhejiang Lionsbacked Zhejiang Golden Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$44.57
All 4 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+111.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Dream vs. Indiana Feverbacked Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+100%+$68.21
Toronto Tempo vs. Los Angeles Sparksbacked Toronto Tempo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$44.78
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.76
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.