MLB · resolved market
Washington Nationals vs. Cleveland Guardians
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x224e8967a1a6992c0a7525e042b0c6e513157ee1e9ec4bc1111bf292f9f7e189
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Washington Nationalsof Washington Nationals, Cleveland Guardians
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $487,906
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $519,704
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $487,906 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 330 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Cleveland Guardians | 41c | 56,112$23,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,007.17 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Washington Nationals | 44c | 34,951$15,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,462.31 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Washington Nationals | 46c | 34,443$15,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,599.22 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Washington Nationals | 52c | 28,986$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,985.51 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 28c | 27,695$7,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,809.37 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Washington Nationals | 45c | 21,111$9,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,611.01 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 18,000$9,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,899.9 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Washington Nationals | 57c | 15,253$8,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,559.82 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 13,892$7,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,501.81 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 13,636$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,500 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Cleveland Guardians | 56c | 13,064$7,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,315.7 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4900…4a72backed Cleveland Guardians | 13c | 11,986$1,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,558.2 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Cleveland Guardians | 11c | 10,274$1,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,130.18 | 135 | 34.1%46 W · 89 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 9,960$5,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,477.79 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 9,877$5,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,333.7 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Washington Nationals | 58c | 7,908$4,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,296.85 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Washington Nationals | 45c | 7,000$3,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,850 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Cleveland Guardians | 17c | 6,755$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180.1 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Cleveland Guardians | 17c | 6,476$1,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,101.54 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Washington Nationals | 78c | 6,353$4,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,409.84 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74bd…d371backed Washington Nationals | 45c | 6,067$2,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,336.84 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 4,913$2,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,702.42 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 4,733$2,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,602.94 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…eb6dbacked Washington Nationals | 45c | 4,491$2,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,467.87 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Cleveland Guardians | 56c | 3,758$2,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,104.48 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34b8…81afbacked Washington Nationals | 80c | 3,750$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Cleveland Guardians | 0c | 3,468$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Cleveland Guardians | 37c | 3,447$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,274.6 | 246 | 39%96 W · 150 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 10c | 3,307$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.66 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Cleveland Guardians | 15c | 3,249$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.72 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf11…c679backed Cleveland Guardians | 56c | 3,238$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 289 | 44.3%128 W · 161 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Cleveland Guardians | 1c | 2,983$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Washington Nationals | 45c | 2,621$1,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,433.66 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 2,500$1,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,375 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 2,500$1,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,375 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda44…2b09backed Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 2,500$1,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,374.99 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 2,500$1,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,374.99 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 2,500$1,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,374.98 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Washington Nationals | 45c | 2,254$1,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,239.48 | 273 | 51.3%140 W · 133 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf39…3394backed Cleveland Guardians | 50c | 2,238$1,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.06 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Washington Nationals | 77c | 2,222$1,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.46 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Washington Nationals | 45c | 2,103$946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,156.65 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Cleveland Guardians | 16c | 2,052$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.27 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb416…4588backed Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.99 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Cleveland Guardians | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.99 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Cleveland Guardians | 18c | 1,746$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfeab…9cd0backed Cleveland Guardians | 46c | 1,609$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Cleveland Guardians | 18c | 1,563$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.67 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 1,546$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835.01 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Washington Nationals | 45c | 1,497$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.49 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e5…fe31backed Cleveland Guardians | 1c | 1,460$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19bd…ae36backed Washington Nationals | 58c | 1,377$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.81 | 186 | 52.7%98 W · 88 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Washington Nationals | 55c | 1,376$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.52 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 1,350$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.56 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 11c | 1,291$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.78 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked Cleveland Guardians | 12c | 1,251$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 228 | 31.6%72 W · 156 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4980…5709backed Cleveland Guardians | 12c | 1,218$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 28cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Washington Nationals | 45c | 1,187$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.85 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Washington Nationals | 45c | 1,179$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.42 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5a…07b6backed Cleveland Guardians | 31c | 1,140$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.74 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Cleveland Guardians | 37c | 1,118$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.78 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Washington Nationals | 45c | 1,100$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605 | 252 | 40.1%101 W · 151 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 1,091$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d8…e9a1backed Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 1,091$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…11b3backed Cleveland Guardians | 14c | 999.99$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 111 | 34.2%38 W · 73 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x284d…59f7backed Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 999.99$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.99 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Washington Nationals | 73c | 950.13$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.35 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…5554backed Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 900$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Washington Nationals | 45c | 899.99$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63fa…7ea4backed Cleveland Guardians | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Washington Nationals | 78c | 881.3$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.03 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Cleveland Guardians | 38c | 876.53$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.35 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Cleveland Guardians | 10c | 869.13$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.51 | 717 | 50.1%359 W · 358 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…208bbacked Washington Nationals | 46c | 866.57$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.95 | 181 | 51.4%93 W · 88 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Cleveland Guardians | 15c | 800.56$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.9 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Cleveland Guardians | 18c | 784.07$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.09 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Cleveland Guardians | 25c | 781.67$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.27 | 792 | 55.6%440 W · 352 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Cleveland Guardians | 26c | 770.3$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.91 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9db8…2effbacked Cleveland Guardians | 11c | 765$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.15 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 763.91$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.51 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4328…34bbbacked Cleveland Guardians | 56c | 640$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 16c | 639.75$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.36 | 5,126 | 54.7%2,804 W · 2,322 L | +231.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2578…b2a6backed Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 603.93$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.16 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6597…b746backed Washington Nationals | 46c | 602.61$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.41 | 253 | 51.8%131 W · 122 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Washington Nationals | 45c | 600$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0167…d002backed Washington Nationals | 44c | 600$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 381 | 45.4%173 W · 208 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Cleveland Guardians | 56c | 600$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Cleveland Guardians | 43c | 585.03$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.28 | 447 | 44.1%197 W · 250 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Washington Nationals | 45c | 580$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319 | 467 | 49.5%231 W · 236 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Washington Nationals | 69c | 579.71$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.71 | 191 | 53.9%103 W · 88 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c7…d601backed Washington Nationals | 45c | 555.56$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.56 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5453…65cebacked Washington Nationals | 45c | 555.56$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.56 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb197…4e02backed Washington Nationals | 45c | 546$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.86 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d9…c125backed Washington Nationals | 46c | 543.48$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.48 | 218 | 56%122 W · 96 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Cleveland Guardians | 17c | 533.88$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.46 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed Washington Nationals | 45c | 526.4$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.52 | 391 | 51.9%203 W · 188 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x513a…2b7cbacked Washington Nationals | 46c | 525$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cleveland Guardians | 21c | 517.14$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.49 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Washington Nationals vs. Cleveland Guardiansthis page
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-2.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-2.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-3.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Washington Nationals vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 10.5Under won
- Washington Nationals vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 11.5Under won
- Washington Nationals vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 5.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 6.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 9.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Washington Nationals vs. Cleveland GuardiansNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.