MLB · resolved market
Washington Nationals vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa0ea196a5c58dcb310327fa37087a8e939cac17dce14909f6f0a65eb95ca810f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $104,447
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $107,171
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $104,447 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 48c | 34,385$16,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,880.11 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Under | 52c | 29,999$15,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,599.48 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 53c | 20,751$11,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,094.83 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Over | 48c | 20,000$9,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,403.14 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Under | 52c | 14,423$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,500 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 48c | 9,737$4,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,063.13 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6d…dbbbbacked Under | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x085e…9aeabacked Under | 52c | 3,125$1,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,625.16 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 52c | 2,562$1,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,323.64 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 49c | 2,363$1,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,204.24 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Over | 49c | 2,257$1,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,158.7 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d8…e9a1backed Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 50c | 2,000$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 50c | 1,930$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962.92 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 52c | 1,667$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.84 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 48c | 1,600$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.01 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78b0…9f1abacked Over | 49c | 1,224$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.49 | 390 | 47.4%185 W · 205 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Under | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 70c | 1,163$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.58 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Over | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over | 43c | 956.8$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.64 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Over | 49c | 800$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf4e…c584backed Over | 52c | 779.4$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a6…a6d3backed Under | 65c | 769.23$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 53c | 727.13$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.35 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Under | 51c | 680.59$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.1 | 283 | 50.9%144 W · 139 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Under | 51c | 640$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.6 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ed…7971backed Under | 49c | 634.5$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…582ebacked Over | 49c | 510.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.2 | 384 | 55.2%212 W · 172 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b04…7377backed Under | 49c | 453$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.97 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x260b…aa9ebacked Over | 57c | 427.92$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.43 | 125 | 55.2%69 W · 56 L | +9.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Under | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca4…aa92backed Under | 51c | 372.55$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcad3…377fbacked Over | 52c | 308$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Over | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.12 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Under | 49c | 304.32$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 403 | 48.4%195 W · 208 L | -18.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa106…5abbbacked Under | 50c | 295.86$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.93 | 197 | 52.3%103 W · 94 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c57…40febacked Over | 50c | 285.33$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.67 | 215 | 50.2%108 W · 107 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Over | 48c | 250.1$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.05 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a24…a0fdbacked Under | 52c | 250$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 42c | 244.47$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.99 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 51c | 200.78$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.66 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Under | 58c | 199.78$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.87 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…9dbabacked Over | 49c | 197.47$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.71 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d6…e952backed Under | 51c | 196.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 54c | 189.54$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.35 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 74c | 180$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.95 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafca…92b4backed Under | 52c | 173.08$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 181 | 54.7%99 W · 82 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9783…dccabacked Under | 52c | 150$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 52c | 150$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.72 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Over | 49c | 146.2$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.77 | 134 | 41%55 W · 79 L | -12.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Under | 58c | 144.09$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.57 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 51c | 136.32$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.79 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Under | 39c | 107.45$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.91 | 447 | 37.4%167 W · 280 L | -24.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Under | 56c | 106$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.36 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1c…0be3backed Under | 52c | 103.85$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59a8…eb4ebacked Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…a8a1backed Over | 49c | 102$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.02 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Under | 61c | 99.22$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.52 | 694 | 47.6%330 W · 364 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc74c…2413backed Under | 64c | 94.27$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.33 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 18c | 87.6$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.77 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 62c | 80.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.25 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Over | 71c | 79.18$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.29 | 439 | 54.7%240 W · 199 L | +30.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0b…62cdbacked Under | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 795 | 43%342 W · 453 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 49c | 70.93$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.9 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd30…a9a4backed Under | 58c | 68.69$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 42c | 67.69$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.75 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9896…c430backed Over | 44c | 66.14$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.04 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.7wins | -0.37per pick | 47cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Under | 42c | 62.56$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.17 | 558 | 47.7%266 W · 292 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Under | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 251 | 49.8%125 W · 126 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1c…35c6backed Over | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed Under | 45c | 53.06$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.04 | 1,445 | 50.3%727 W · 718 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Under | 43c | 51$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.13 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over | 33c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…05aebacked Under | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 232 | 44%102 W · 130 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 48c | 49.95$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.97 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9e…a436backed Over | 48c | 46$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.92 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.33per pick | 47cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Under | 37c | 45.06$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa02e…60d0backed Under | 59c | 44.97$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.53 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -24%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Under | 44c | 44.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.66 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed Over | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 404 | 46.5%188 W · 216 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf9…3a59backed Under | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 165 | 44.8%74 W · 91 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Over | 55c | 39.93$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.8 | 1,038 | 51.7%537 W · 501 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 49c | 39.29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa028…0031backed Over | 49c | 37.31$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.03 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Under | 57c | 37.12$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.16 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a2…a302backed Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under | 55c | 35.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked Over | 53c | 35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.45 | 507 | 48.7%247 W · 260 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 51c | 34.04$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…c3b9backed Over | 48c | 33.1$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.09 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 34c | 32.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3603…22edbacked Under | 38c | 31.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 518 | 49.4%256 W · 262 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb76…28f3backed Over | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 48c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x590a…c459backed Under | 52c | 28.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 114 | 51.8%59 W · 55 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Under | 44c | 27.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 1,149 | 48.9%562 W · 587 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Washington Nationals vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5this page
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-2.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-2.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-3.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Washington Nationals vs. Cleveland GuardiansWashington Nationals won
- Washington Nationals vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 10.5Under won
- Washington Nationals vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 11.5Under won
- Washington Nationals vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 5.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 6.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 9.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Washington Nationals vs. Cleveland GuardiansNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.