TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xbb76…28f3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
217
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: NHL, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 54 out of 100; worst MLB at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT7542.7%32 W · 43 L-5.9wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-13.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 75 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Yankeesbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$7.96
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Diego Padresbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.89
New York Yankees vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.32
Los Angeles Angels vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.85
Athletics vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$16.96
Athletics vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.55
Los Angeles Angels vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$19.54
Seattle Mariners vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$24.14
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.73
Atlanta Braves vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.55
Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.48
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$15.36
New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$20.84
Kansas City Royals vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$17.6
Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+100%+$15.1
Miami Marlins vs. Athleticsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.71
Miami Marlins vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.49
Minnesota Twins vs. Houston Astrosbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Soxbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.25
Kansas City Royals vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$14.39
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.28
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.38
Chicago White Sox vs. New York Yankees: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.23
Showing 25 of 75 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT7061.4%43 W · 27 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 70 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+119.3%+$47.72
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$11.82
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$38.43
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.29
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$10.71
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.8
Avalanche vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$10.64
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Hurricanes vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$10.42
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$8.08
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.5
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$16.98
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.15
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Sabres vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$28.19
Golden Knights vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$10.47
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$14.35
Wild vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$18.49
Ducks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.94
Avalanche vs. Wildbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$17.04
Avalanche vs. Wild: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$17.72
Avalanche vs. Wildbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Showing 25 of 70 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3756.8%21 W · 16 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+525%+$52.5
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+68.8%+$17.19
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+116.2%+$29.05
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$8.33
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+33.8%+$8.44
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+29%+$7.26
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$12.31
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.67
Canada to score first vs. Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Australia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$7.39
Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advancebacked Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+41.3%+$6.2
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$10
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$8.81
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$8.44
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$21.59
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT2751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$17.04
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.95
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$8.43
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.15
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$21.3
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$19.5
Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+100%+$12.38
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$7.39
Will the Detroit Pistons win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 218.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.15
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$6.18
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 210.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.62
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.62
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.39
Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$15.61
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$7.8
Spread: Knicks (-7.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+100%+$15
76ers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+100%+$11.64
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.52
Thunder vs. Sunsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.17
Spread: Celtics (-14.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.53
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+53.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+44.9%+$31.45
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+69.5%+$17.37
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+44.9%+$11.23
All 3 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$35.47
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+56.9%+$14.23
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia enter Dovha Balka by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+47.3%+$9.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Pimblett · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.