TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Sabres vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$105,826
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$105,753

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $105,826 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb9c7…aadebacked Over47c49,288$23,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,274.33847.4%18 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Under53c21,510$11,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,400.0810545.7%48 W · 57 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x29b1…f737backed Under54c14,614$7,957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,956.6328447.9%136 W · 148 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over46c12,452$5,694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,757.511952.1%62 W · 57 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over47c10,000$4,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,30041842.8%179 W · 239 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe504…600ebacked Under54c7,838$4,232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,231.9227044.4%120 W · 150 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc037…7240backed Under54c6,760$3,651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,650.5110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7df…5eeebacked Under53c6,000$3,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,1803246.9%15 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb68…a240backed Under53c6,000$3,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,179.9750049.6%248 W · 252 L+16.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over46c5,800$2,658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,141.771,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under53c5,011$2,656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,655.641,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Over46c3,200$1,472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,728.1760249.5%298 W · 304 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5248…aabbbacked Under54c2,666$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,439.645147.1%24 W · 27 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under54c2,430$1,312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,311.9918853.2%100 W · 88 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac1a…813ebacked Over46c2,286$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,246.0610846.3%50 W · 58 L+0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over46c1,821$842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$978.9876950.3%387 W · 382 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked Under53c1,728$916 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$916.041637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-27.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over45c1,287$582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.159450.8%302 W · 292 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x329c…2485backed Over46c1,150$529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6211650%8 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb58d…fadfbacked Under54c1,085$586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$585.831926.3%5 W · 14 L-2.8wins-0.15per pick41cpaid-51.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa66d…6daabacked Under54c1,080$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583.431560%9 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+17.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd988…cbe4backed Under54c1,005$543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542.94250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under53c1,005$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532.646456.3%36 W · 28 L+4.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8903…46d0backed Over46c1,000$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5401100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Under53c999.97$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.9827048.1%130 W · 140 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Over46c978.26$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528.263444.1%15 W · 19 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+45.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Over46c978.26$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528.262748.1%13 W · 14 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+73.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Under34c917.79$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.110438.5%40 W · 64 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under54c906.68$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.3628749.8%143 W · 144 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under54c785.19$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42418452.7%97 W · 87 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe301…9bd9backed Under53c600$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3186354%34 W · 29 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under54c559.98$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.3933554%181 W · 154 L+13.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed Under54c526.61$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.372536%9 W · 16 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-25.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over46c463.21$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.69258.7%54 W · 38 L+6.7wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbc2c…a49cbacked Over47c425.53$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.533100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+144.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Over69c403.19$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.521,43158.3%834 W · 597 L+81.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over54c352.79$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.1917248.3%83 W · 89 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Over47c332.7$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.4147753.9%257 W · 220 L+18.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Under53c332$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.9614353.1%76 W · 67 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Over46c325.77$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.9229551.9%153 W · 142 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa106…5abbbacked Over46c320.89$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.287936.7%29 W · 50 L-11.5wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-28.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xdc52…dfcebacked Under53c300$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1591464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+28.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x298c…3e58backed Over47c300$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15918548.1%89 W · 96 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5322…a5dcbacked Under54c231.48$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1251040%4 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6de9…a8e5backed Over47c229.65$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.714562.2%28 W · 17 L+4.3wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+20.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1b01…dee1backed Under54c220$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.830%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x79fb…b4aebacked Over47c215$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.952634.6%9 W · 17 L-3.0wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-31.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1c07…08c5backed Over47c208.7$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.61560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+39.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under39c200$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7882353.1%437 W · 386 L+1.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36d0…8dcebacked Over47c200$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10618046.7%84 W · 96 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6717…d6ebbacked Under53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001675%12 W · 4 L+3.0wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+33.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x29fb…4930backed Under54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002035%7 W · 13 L-3.1wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-35%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xae51…1d03backed Over59c162.49$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.852450%12 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-13.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Over74c160$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.662447.3%295 W · 329 L+0.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Over50c151.98$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.4621355.4%118 W · 95 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9de9…ee25backed Over47c148.94$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.943831.6%12 W · 26 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96ef…cca4backed Over72c126.64$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.771650%8 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2573…2726backed Under53c103.77$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553565.7%23 W · 12 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+21%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd805…d22dbacked Under54c101.41$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.76250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Over46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5414653.4%78 W · 68 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb267…5f55backed Over47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+17.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09ae…004ebacked Under24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2415535.5%55 W · 100 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84d9…76dbbacked Over46c99.99$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5448552.2%253 W · 232 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2dc4…581bbacked Under54c92.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015160.9%92 W · 59 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe026…0404backed Under53c85.8$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.4710056%56 W · 44 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Over46c77$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.5833745.7%154 W · 183 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over55c76.36$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.1549851%254 W · 244 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Under54c74.07$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4039751.1%203 W · 194 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf58…2bf4backed Under54c72.1$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.652944.8%13 W · 16 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over46c71.73$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.7314551%74 W · 71 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under20c71$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.261848.1%297 W · 321 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac4f…0ebebacked Over47c63.83$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.833537.1%13 W · 22 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-21.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Over76c62$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.885240.4%21 W · 31 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2110…d4fbbacked Under54c61.11$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3314560.7%88 W · 57 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick65cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd0c6…d4a3backed Over47c57.45$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.452100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+91.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a70…18f0backed Under54c55.56$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303748.6%18 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe743…ce0fbacked Under54c53.39$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.83742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f15…a3fcbacked Under26c53.26$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb76…28f3backed Over47c53.19$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.197061.4%43 W · 27 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee84…becbbacked Over47c53.19$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.19977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.21per pick57cpaid+41.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x25ed…3e98backed Over47c53.19$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.196460.9%39 W · 25 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Under26c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1329533.6%99 W · 196 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x008d…b839backed Over80c49.38$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.8845069.3%312 W · 138 L+51.6wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+16.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x75b5…a1f2backed Under54c47$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.383661.1%22 W · 14 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+18.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Over46c46.68$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.2145151.2%231 W · 220 L+16.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b5f…480abacked Under54c46.3$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258336.1%30 W · 53 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x09d2…26aebacked Over47c42.55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.552147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Over47c42.55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.5571952.4%377 W · 342 L-2.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x701e…2c01backed Over47c42.55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.551735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-25.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb6d4…9a0dbacked Under53c40.38$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.4650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1261…b398backed Under27c38.2$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1430%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc37e…9e64backed Under55c37.31$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.522937.9%11 W · 18 L-4.4wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-34.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xae02…181fbacked Under54c37.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2040%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xca0f…dd8dbacked Under54c37.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203644.4%16 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4535…94b5backed Under54c37.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xba90…a450backed Under54c37.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203432.4%11 W · 23 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-22.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf032…ffaabacked Under54c37.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Under54c36.93$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9421253.3%113 W · 99 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over73c36.26$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.7914347.6%68 W · 75 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a4c…ad2fbacked Under54c35.71$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.282751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.