TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe743…ce0f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
217
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: UFC, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category UFC at 53 out of 100; worst NBA at 38.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT6940.6%28 W · 41 L-5.3wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-15%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 69 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+68.8%+$12.97
Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.74
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankeesbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+108.6%+$16.28
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)backed Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.99
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.84
New York Mets vs. Washington Nationalsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$14.41
Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.9
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.34
San Francisco Giants vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.99
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankeesbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.99
Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.04
Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$35.18
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.78
Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+115.3%+$23.05
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankeesbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.72
Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.82
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+93.6%+$28.06
Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.99
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$22.31
Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.73
San Diego Padres vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.43
Kansas City Royals vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.99
Showing 25 of 69 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT5234.6%18 W · 34 L-8.5wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-33.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
NBA — the 52 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.41
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.42
Spread: Thunder (-3.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.25
Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.93
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: Knicks (-5.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+50.8%+$7.62
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$28.81
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$25.09
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.41
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.99
Spread: Knicks (-7.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.99
Spread: Knicks (-5.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 217.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.99
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.99
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.99
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.99
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 219.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$33.82
Spread: Cavaliers (-6.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.98
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 206.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.99
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 205.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.79
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+66.9%+$19.78
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Showing 25 of 52 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-47.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+37.1%+$5.93
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.67
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.31
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+137.7%+$24.82
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.74
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+38.3%+$36.61
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+63.1%+$7.1
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.3
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+30.4%+$4.39
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.93
Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.35
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+31.2%+$11.82
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.64
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.08
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.58
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.54
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.13
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.84
All 18 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$25.13
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.64
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.47
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$41.41
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+129%+$38.7
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$11.66
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.13
Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)backed Burnley FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+98.2%+$9.92
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$31.21
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.99
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$23.56
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Chelsea FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.57
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$17.62
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-05-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 17 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-40.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
La Liga — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Real Oviedo vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.76
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+117.5%+$35.23
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-05-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.99
Spread: CD Castellón (-1.5)backed CD Castellón · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.99
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Real Oviedo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.75
Real Madrid CF vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.71
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-05-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$23.15
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-05-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.99
Villarreal CF vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.99
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.71
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-05-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.86
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-05-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+100%+$30
All 13 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 177.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.99
Golden State Valkyries vs. New York Libertybacked Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$33.37
Spread: Seattle Storm (-1.5)backed Connecticut Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.81
Chicago Sky vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 168.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$25.54
Seattle Storm vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 176.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.21
Toronto Tempo vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 170.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Las Vegas Aces vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 172.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.22
Minnesota Lynx vs. Dallas Wingsbacked Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.99
Minnesota Lynx vs. Phoenix Mercurybacked Phoenix Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.97
All 9 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+46.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-41.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SK Brann win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Rosenborg BK win on 2026-05-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$24.44
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+141.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+141.2%+$34.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$20.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$16.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.69
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AA Argentinos Juniors win on 2026-05-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.99
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.