TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Villarreal CF vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$218,255
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$286,645

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $218,255 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 178 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xac47…d234backed Over52c50,888$26,598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,289.81947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Under47c24,096$11,341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,340.7214146.8%66 W · 75 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3fd9…1ef0backed Over52c23,215$12,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,143.2110450%52 W · 52 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under48c15,699$7,536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,535.588351.8%43 W · 40 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfc0c…cfc9backed Over51c12,447$6,297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,149.671241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-19.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under48c11,918$5,736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,736.444,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf284…b9f9backed Under48c9,000$4,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,3203240.6%13 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under49c8,217$4,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,041.2883444.6%372 W · 462 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd51…1041backed Over55c7,195$3,957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,237.552475%18 W · 6 L+6.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+63.4%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Under47c7,182$3,411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,411.371942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under48c7,080$3,372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,372.172,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3234…8b1abacked Under32c4,177$1,336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,336.494141.5%17 W · 24 L-4.2wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-29%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5b75…433bbacked Under48c4,167$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0006550.8%33 W · 32 L+5.5wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+21%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5634…d81abacked Under48c4,083$1,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9803444.1%15 W · 19 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under48c3,905$1,855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,855.0868450.6%346 W · 338 L+15.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4af7…2381backed Over53c2,867$1,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,347.614845.8%22 W · 26 L+4.5wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+19.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x49f2…d7b4backed Under48c2,803$1,345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,345.48955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+22.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x31c1…7047backed Over45c2,435$1,096 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,338.534645.7%21 W · 25 L-3.7wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-15.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over52c2,292$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,092.1517731.1%55 W · 122 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4939…9adebacked Under49c2,042$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-19.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0d96…7c16backed Over52c2,000$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9603641.7%15 W · 21 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under47c1,968$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$919.9364457%367 W · 277 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under22c1,953$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.0512020%24 W · 96 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under48c1,795$858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$858.463,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under47c1,699$801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800.8948251.2%247 W · 235 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54a2…1d43backed Under1c1,380$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.83327.3%9 W · 24 L+4.2wins+0.13per pick15cpaid+158.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under48c1,078$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.3422246.8%104 W · 118 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f36…2819backed Under48c1,042$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-26.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Under47c999.99$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4704245.2%19 W · 23 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under32c952.43$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.4757139.2%224 W · 347 L+1.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe85d…ad4bbacked Over53c898.83$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.452814.3%4 W · 24 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick22cpaid-44.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d54…4d13backed Over53c834.51$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.221526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.16per pick43cpaid-49.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5d93…0eccbacked Over67c740.09$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.23475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x768f…8a9bbacked Over52c634.62$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.621361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+12.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under47c615.93$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.91,50838.7%583 W · 925 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5279…a8dbbacked Over53c602.86$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.34475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+92%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9544…790dbacked Over52c592.99$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.6411741.9%49 W · 68 L+0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over53c588.86$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.8844039.3%173 W · 267 L-1.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33dc…ac64backed Over53c560.51$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.44887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.29per pick59cpaid+50.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3704…0e84backed Under48c560$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.82356.5%13 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd239…2083backed Under48c518.75$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2491758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x800a…0b4dbacked Over53c509.43$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.434540%18 W · 27 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a80…49bfbacked Over49c503.97$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.026457.8%37 W · 27 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Under2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10533.8%2 W · 51 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick2cpaid+82.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6fa…546bbacked Over52c496.15$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.154766%31 W · 16 L+4.8wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+16.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Under49c479.59$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2352850%14 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88c5…2909backed Over52c444$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.122343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Over53c431.81$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.9512650.8%64 W · 62 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9238…b73ebacked Under46c430.99$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.198347%39 W · 44 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Under47c401.8$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.8522658.4%132 W · 94 L+10.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f7e…c230backed Over53c400$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18812445.2%56 W · 68 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x63c5…1ecbbacked Over52c400$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1929558.9%56 W · 39 L+10.8wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+24.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8a88…3dadbacked Over52c385.67$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.061546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-10.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd52c…6c59backed Under49c354.17$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.53834.2%13 W · 25 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+19.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Under12c329.41$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.4510843.5%47 W · 61 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf05d…ac5ebacked Under48c312.5$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501225%3 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-46.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbd38…99d4backed Over54c300$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1381361.5%8 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed Over50c298$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1497440.5%30 W · 44 L+5.8wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+5.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9fd7…d5a3backed Over50c294.06$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.036459.4%38 W · 26 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe762…064bbacked Under47c291.48$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.874242.9%18 W · 24 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe92a…7d0dbacked Over53c283.02$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.021844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-25.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc02a…b43fbacked Over48c207.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.165944.1%26 W · 33 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over53c203$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.4138748.1%186 W · 201 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under47c200$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9315344.4%68 W · 85 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8508…c22fbacked Over53c194.34$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.343458.8%20 W · 14 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Under52c192.64$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020050.5%101 W · 99 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10033161.3%203 W · 128 L+12.1wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x24a3…7c66backed Over52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.313444.1%15 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaac8…b6f1backed Over53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.6814549.7%72 W · 73 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x849b…a5fdbacked Over53c182.04$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.561346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8de6…8b3cbacked Over55c181.81$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.815560%33 W · 22 L-0.2wins0.00per pick60cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over51c163$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.871,08150.6%547 W · 534 L+11.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6021…4c5cbacked Under31c161.47$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502454.2%13 W · 11 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+23.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x32f7…f399backed Under49c159.06$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.572334.8%8 W · 15 L-5.2wins-0.22per pick57cpaid-40.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over56c150$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6640239.1%157 W · 245 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x26f2…1761backed Over54c148.15$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.151861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d50…d283backed Under32c133.08$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.9712052.5%63 W · 57 L+7.9wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+8.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x29a1…5645backed Under47c124.92$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.662751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under48c121.6$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.9169750.8%354 W · 343 L+3.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04dc…62acbacked Over52c118.65$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.95450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+15.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under49c117.41$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.7222760.4%137 W · 90 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Under48c114.58$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5535442.7%151 W · 203 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over63c114.1$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.91,65543.8%725 W · 930 L-22.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab8b…87acbacked Over47c110$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.32142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbffb…a60ebacked Under48c108$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.842556%14 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e68…16c7backed Over52c107.69$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.694146.3%19 W · 22 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe875…8492backed Under19c107.23$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201618.8%3 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick14cpaid-22.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a6e…9bc5backed Over53c104.51$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.127960.8%48 W · 31 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3565…0b17backed Under48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508956.2%50 W · 39 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0ca…117abacked Over48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.173060%18 W · 12 L+4.0wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+21.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x041e…bc83backed Under48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under47c102.89$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.6445450%227 W · 227 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb267…5f55backed Under49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5050%0 W · 5 L-2.7wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Over54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4611449.1%56 W · 58 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x417b…18d3backed Under48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.71922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.22per pick44cpaid-45.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5242158%244 W · 177 L+29.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x14e3…810cbacked Over52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.151957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+21.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa422…d210backed Over52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.151442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b24…4247backed Over52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.151566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+21.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc097…4020backed Under45c95.5$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.3540%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.