La Liga · resolved market
Spread: Villarreal CF (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x12cdc0de9318f8e92c1b9b707451c31a13ef40313fd216a9c97a6e3757f4e5d5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sevilla FCof Villarreal CF, Sevilla FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,083
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,128
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,083 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a91…c6b1backed Villarreal CF | 24c | 20,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,799.95 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Sevilla FC | 76c | 13,031$9,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,136.54 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Sevilla FC | 76c | 7,802$5,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,876.39 | 154 | 59.7%92 W · 62 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Villarreal CF | 24c | 2,175$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.79 | 222 | 46.8%104 W · 118 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked Sevilla FC | 74c | 2,027$1,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.21 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74a3…3b73backed Villarreal CF | 67c | 1,195$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Sevilla FC | 33c | 1,156$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.44 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Villarreal CF | 19c | 1,097$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.17 | 571 | 39.2%224 W · 347 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Villarreal CF | 21c | 1,009$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.72 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Sevilla FC | 76c | 1,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Villarreal CF | 26c | 999.93$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.25 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0c…cfc9backed Villarreal CF | 21c | 902.53$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.53 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3af8…fdddbacked Villarreal CF | 39c | 769.23$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Villarreal CF | 26c | 749.52$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.78 | 402 | 39.1%157 W · 245 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Villarreal CF | 26c | 719.23$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Sevilla FC | 76c | 572.3$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.82 | 166 | 60.8%101 W · 65 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Villarreal CF | 24c | 511.91$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.86 | 280 | 45.4%127 W · 153 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36b4…d723backed Villarreal CF | 25c | 499.99$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Sevilla FC | 77c | 498.73$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.24 | 198 | 65.2%129 W · 69 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Sevilla FC | 76c | 372.83$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.48 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Villarreal CF | 16c | 331.13$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.86 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked Villarreal CF | 25c | 297.88$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.46 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5054…0aafbacked Villarreal CF | 24c | 266.38$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.93 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Villarreal CF | 25c | 257.54$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.11 | 482 | 51.2%247 W · 235 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…862dbacked Sevilla FC | 76c | 226.75$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.52 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Sevilla FC | 76c | 218$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.32 | 224 | 46%103 W · 121 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Sevilla FC | 73c | 212.26$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.81 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea60…cc6bbacked Villarreal CF | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.32per pick | 42cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Villarreal CF | 32c | 181.39$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.96 | 201 | 42.8%86 W · 115 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Villarreal CF | 25c | 174.46$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.62 | 999 | 33.4%334 W · 665 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5362…d242backed Villarreal CF | 23c | 130.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Sevilla FC | 73c | 128.77$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.4 | 227 | 60.4%137 W · 90 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Villarreal CF | 25c | 127.26$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.82 | 201 | 59.2%119 W · 82 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb269…6adebacked Villarreal CF | 24c | 124.04$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.77 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3565…0b17backed Sevilla FC | 78c | 115.38$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.38 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Sevilla FC | 76c | 112$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.88 | 148 | 56.8%84 W · 64 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d50…d283backed Sevilla FC | 54c | 111.63$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.68 | 120 | 52.5%63 W · 57 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…22f6backed Villarreal CF | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Sevilla FC | 77c | 86.71$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.27 | 225 | 57.3%129 W · 96 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4742…6576backed Villarreal CF | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95db…dc65backed Villarreal CF | 23c | 83.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed Sevilla FC | 76c | 76.16$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.28 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Sevilla FC | 73c | 75.01$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Villarreal CF | 67c | 75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.25 | 186 | 56.5%105 W · 81 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Sevilla FC | 72c | 72.48$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.95 | 490 | 57.1%280 W · 210 L | +26.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Villarreal CF | 25c | 71.42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 326 | 45.4%148 W · 178 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc4b…c865backed Villarreal CF | 26c | 61.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Villarreal CF | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 116 | 64.7%75 W · 41 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Villarreal CF | 51c | 57.45$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.27 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Villarreal CF | 45c | 56.22$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.43 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa820…2dcebacked Sevilla FC | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Villarreal CF | 24c | 52.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Sevilla FC | 50c | 47.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 211 | 39.8%84 W · 127 L | -15.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Sevilla FC | 76c | 44.8$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 357 | 59.4%212 W · 145 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…6a0bbacked Sevilla FC | 76c | 44.18$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.51 | 179 | 60.3%108 W · 71 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Sevilla FC | 61c | 43.38$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.08 | 261 | 54.4%142 W · 119 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Sevilla FC | 66c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60a5…f52ebacked Villarreal CF | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Villarreal CF | 30c | 35.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 596 | 55.4%330 W · 266 L | +31.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e75…0143backed Sevilla FC | 34c | 30$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Sevilla FC | 75c | 27.88$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.97 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Sevilla FC | 78c | 26.16$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 331 | 61.3%203 W · 128 L | +12.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31c8…9487backed Sevilla FC | 66c | 22.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.82 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa7…303dbacked Sevilla FC | 77c | 21.04$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 113 | 66.4%75 W · 38 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Sevilla FC | 77c | 20.98$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.89 | 156 | 55.8%87 W · 69 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17b6…af55backed Sevilla FC | 78c | 20.13$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.43 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c0…3702backed Sevilla FC | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Sevilla FC | 75c | 17.9$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 96 | 60.4%58 W · 38 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81d7…32d8backed Sevilla FC | 76c | 16.45$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.95 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfab3…1f0abacked Sevilla FC | 76c | 14.72$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.53 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfd…aadebacked Sevilla FC | 77c | 14.56$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.35 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +5.1wins | +0.19per pick | 55cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Sevilla FC | 77c | 14.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.32 | 170 | 61.2%104 W · 66 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Villarreal CF (-1.5)this page
- Spread: Sevilla FC (-1.5)Villarreal CF won
- Spread: Sevilla FC (-2.5)Villarreal CF won
- Spread: Villarreal CF (-2.5)Sevilla FC won
- Villarreal CF vs. Sevilla FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Villarreal CF vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Villarreal CF vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Villarreal CF vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Villarreal CF vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Villarreal CF vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Villarreal CF vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 5.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.