La Liga · resolved market
Villarreal CF vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1fc930c6a4ce60900ad4133a1f6869460734cb2f6f8fc3658f8ad37b5508f2e9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,445
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,642
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,445 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf284…b9f9backed Under | 22c | 5,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.98 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under | 10c | 3,324$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.68 | 120 | 20%24 W · 96 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc126…60aebacked Over | 78c | 2,821$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.51 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…ac64backed Over | 78c | 2,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.29per pick | 59cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5ff1…c554backed Over | 78c | 1,012$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.71 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae5…4f22backed Over | 76c | 999.99$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Under | 10c | 742.11$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.21 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3f…5a9fbacked Over | 78c | 641.03$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.03 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Under | 21c | 601.71$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.36 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 22c | 485.04$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.06 | 697 | 50.8%354 W · 343 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 77c | 350$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.5 | 424 | 58%246 W · 178 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7536…17fcbacked Over | 78c | 320.51$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.51 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 71cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc35b…6eb2backed Over | 78c | 320$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.4 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 22c | 313.95$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.71 | 754 | 51.2%386 W · 368 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 23c | 287.21$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.54 | 482 | 51.2%247 W · 235 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 22c | 266.21$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.47 | 999 | 33.4%334 W · 665 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed Over | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 41 | 70.7%29 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb262…9b98backed Over | 78c | 247.31$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.41 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd25a…7f71backed Under | 24c | 191$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.95 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 78c | 161$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.42 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…fa81backed Over | 74c | 135$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +5.7wins | +0.33per pick | 43cpaid | +89.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Over | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 70 | 72.9%51 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x677c…6b53backed Over | 78c | 128.66$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.66 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 73cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ea…05b8backed Over | 78c | 101.28$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.28 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 71cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Under | 21c | 82.09$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.24 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92a9…ffd7backed Over | 77c | 80.81$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.59 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 23c | 78$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 684 | 50.6%346 W · 338 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 77c | 74.97$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bcb…f3afbacked Over | 79c | 70.7$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 71c | 67.2$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.49 | 163 | 63.8%104 W · 59 L | +32.3wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x4e67…a39bbacked Over | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97ff…d970backed Over | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 23c | 60.39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb0…20b4backed Under | 24c | 58.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.11 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2639…a9b6backed Under | 23c | 52.35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -4.4wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1c…5aebbacked Over | 78c | 51.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94ab…83f5backed Over | 78c | 46.15$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 48 | 77.1%37 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 73cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1c…390dbacked Under | 23c | 45.45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x686b…ea8fbacked Over | 77c | 41.32$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x018a…5e65backed Over | 78c | 31.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.01 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 74cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf94c…8a42backed Over | 73c | 29.97$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.09 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4359…1260backed Over | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa99…cf1fbacked Over | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d84…7b78backed Over | 77c | 20.78$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.78 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a9…a428backed Over | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Over | 73c | 18.52$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb4…68c3backed Over | 79c | 13.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.99 | 30 | 83.3%25 W · 5 L | +4.3wins | +0.14per pick | 69cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Villarreal CF vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Spread: Sevilla FC (-1.5)Villarreal CF won
- Spread: Sevilla FC (-2.5)Villarreal CF won
- Spread: Villarreal CF (-1.5)Sevilla FC won
- Spread: Villarreal CF (-2.5)Sevilla FC won
- Villarreal CF vs. Sevilla FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Villarreal CF vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Villarreal CF vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Villarreal CF vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Villarreal CF vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Villarreal CF vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 5.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.