La Liga · resolved market
Villarreal CF vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x44d18e9b19584ce999ba1e8518c0b2ae00b959993cd43d1e7494f227d3012ae8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,076
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,474
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,076 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 66c | 4,471$2,973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,972.72 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc294…570ebacked Over | 31c | 4,210$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,889.68 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 31c | 1,613$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,112.9 | 177 | 31.1%55 W · 122 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99eb…0464backed Under | 60c | 1,500$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9db8…2effbacked Over | 30c | 1,278$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$894.29 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Under | 68c | 1,277$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.99 | 354 | 42.7%151 W · 203 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 29c | 1,138$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.19 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under | 18c | 1,028$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 120 | 20%24 W · 96 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 69c | 900$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.5 | 697 | 50.8%354 W · 343 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb184…b6c6backed Over | 40c | 712.5$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.5 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 69c | 500$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.5 | 754 | 51.2%386 W · 368 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 44c | 436.97$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.03 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 22c | 411.81$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.38 | 402 | 39.1%157 W · 245 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 59c | 328.81$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.77 | 571 | 39.2%224 W · 347 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…d743backed Over | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.58 | 97 | 22.7%22 W · 75 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 68c | 274.58$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.76 | 454 | 50%227 W · 227 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf4…40fabacked Over | 61c | 246$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.94 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x849b…a5fdbacked Over | 67c | 237.65$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.7 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d64…ada1backed Under | 72c | 237.46$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.97 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a6b…68a0backed Over | 42c | 211.52$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.68 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Under | 6c | 194.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 69c | 181.91$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.1 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a8f…e5f5backed Over | 31c | 180$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.2 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 69c | 164.16$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.94 | 198 | 65.2%129 W · 69 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 69c | 125.11$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.32 | 482 | 51.2%247 W · 235 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 69c | 120.1$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.87 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 69c | 101$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.69 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…df51backed Over | 31c | 95.03$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.57 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 49c | 89.21$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.5 | 684 | 50.6%346 W · 338 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd25a…7f71backed Under | 32c | 81.12$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.84 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 63c | 80$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 186 | 56.5%105 W · 81 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 33c | 75.91$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.91 | 492 | 28.9%142 W · 350 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 68c | 72.75$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.47 | 644 | 57%367 W · 277 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 35c | 70.1$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.84 | 596 | 55.4%330 W · 266 L | +31.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0b…12ffbacked Over | 31c | 58.45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.33 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 76c | 56.36$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.71 | 999 | 33.4%334 W · 665 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd69e…3393backed Over | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa374…9709backed Over | 30c | 50.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.45 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +9.8wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed Under | 69c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.25 | 77 | 61%47 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Over | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.39 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 24c | 42.03$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 211 | 39.8%84 W · 127 L | -15.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under | 65c | 40.66$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.56 | 227 | 60.4%137 W · 90 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31c8…9487backed Under | 42c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Under | 77c | 39.19$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 194 | 61.9%120 W · 74 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 31c | 35.49$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.49 | 113 | 36.3%41 W · 72 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Under | 52c | 33.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.81 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 31c | 32.67$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.54 | 96 | 37.5%36 W · 60 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e52…2320backed Over | 61c | 30.64$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.04 | 50 | 72%36 W · 14 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +21%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 58c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 132 | 51.5%68 W · 64 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 42c | 28.59$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.52 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc097…4020backed Under | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Over | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x491c…b765backed Under | 68c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.55 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | -9.0wins | -0.12per pick | 66cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x05b7…c24abacked Under | 70c | 18.38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | -11.0wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed Under | 70c | 18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 129 | 64.3%83 W · 46 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…fa81backed Over | 70c | 17.87$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.36 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +5.7wins | +0.33per pick | 43cpaid | +89.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Under | 71c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 261 | 54.4%142 W · 119 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 77c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.99 | 109 | 44%48 W · 61 L | -9.4wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Villarreal CF vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Spread: Sevilla FC (-1.5)Villarreal CF won
- Spread: Sevilla FC (-2.5)Villarreal CF won
- Spread: Villarreal CF (-1.5)Sevilla FC won
- Spread: Villarreal CF (-2.5)Sevilla FC won
- Villarreal CF vs. Sevilla FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Villarreal CF vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Villarreal CF vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Villarreal CF vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Villarreal CF vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Villarreal CF vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 5.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.