TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Villarreal CF vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$43,770
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$59,247

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,770 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under28c11,069$3,132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,132.264,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18c4…f6dcbacked Over74c6,000$4,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5606468.8%44 W · 20 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under40c2,484$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00012020%24 W · 96 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1b3…501cbacked Over78c2,000$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4405253.8%28 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under40c1,293$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.148351.8%43 W · 40 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x29a6…6ea4backed Over53c943.4$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.45955.9%33 W · 26 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+61.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5d93…0eccbacked Over79c930.22$735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.35475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x692f…d325backed Over69c900$624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under35c792$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.531,65543.8%725 W · 930 L-22.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over70c700$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21023255.6%129 W · 103 L+18.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+17.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7066…50e5backed Over79c700$553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1473366.7%22 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over26c544.25$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.6657139.2%224 W · 347 L+1.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Under67c516.42$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3462850%14 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb881…20a1backed Over79c506.33$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.333850%19 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd25a…7f71backed Under25c504.55$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.581827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick36cpaid+7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over72c486.87$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.8722450.4%113 W · 111 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1b5a…7070backed Over79c453$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.131050%5 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-27.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under40c442.76$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.0474457.5%428 W · 316 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under27c433.99$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.263,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf91c…baa7backed Under71c432$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.8240%0 W · 4 L-2.3wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over15c417$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.8799933.4%334 W · 665 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdf4…40fabacked Over77c389.98$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.76852.9%36 W · 32 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf5b…5d3abacked Over78c385.9$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.92759.3%16 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over54c370.37$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.3722357%127 W · 96 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over60c364.16$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.6668450.6%346 W · 338 L+15.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc097…4020backed Under50c230.01$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11540%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over78c227$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.9412875%96 W · 32 L+8.1wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over43c223.84$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.9949057.1%280 W · 210 L+26.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xca43…9d5cbacked Over77c200$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462568%17 W · 8 L+3.5wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+27.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Over14c199.99$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.9919237.5%72 W · 120 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb595…5922backed Over74c183.13$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.132195.2%20 W · 1 L+5.4wins+0.26per pick69cpaid+51%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xc582…853cbacked Under10c160$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.48510.6%9 W · 76 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick13cpaid+17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbbc…3122backed Under63c159.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001275%9 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6684…95d1backed Under64c157.05$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004454.5%24 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe92a…7d0dbacked Over60c156.44$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.051844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-25.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Over16c156.25$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.2549228.9%142 W · 350 L-0.6wins0.00per pick29cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79df…1661backed Over17c147.06$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.0617036.5%62 W · 108 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2bb3…5affbacked Over63c142.03$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.55366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6945…729cbacked Over75c135.37$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.823740.5%15 W · 22 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick33cpaid-11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under25c130.55$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.6460832.4%197 W · 411 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b6…bb95backed Over79c124.44$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.13771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+26.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5438…8206backed Over78c120$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.42100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+64.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe626…92b5backed Under48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505451.9%28 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1537…c480backed Over78c100$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+28.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5016149.7%80 W · 81 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+18.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed Over49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5118656.5%105 W · 81 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3482…fa0ebacked Over60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4c9…a454backed Under23c97.39$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.44548.9%22 W · 23 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x133b…5856backed Over71c96.66$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.383748.6%18 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under40c93.72$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.491,50838.7%583 W · 925 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39fd…3914backed Over63c79.37$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.372339.1%9 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over46c78.23$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.2637348.3%180 W · 193 L+0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c3f…32b2backed Over64c78.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.131963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+25%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9fd1…0604backed Over69c77$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d1a…4d5bbacked Over55c72.73$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.73366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d0b…0eb7backed Over78c71.52$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.732055%11 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+19.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Over35c71$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.1328138.8%109 W · 172 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8aa…20f6backed Over78c70$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.4875%6 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+26.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d50…d283backed Under34c60.57$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.712052.5%63 W · 57 L+7.9wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+8.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbf6d…fc98backed Under22c58.51$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.872516%4 W · 21 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-55.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f1c…390dbacked Under51c57.29$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.223342.4%14 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-26.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbcbd…191dbacked Over35c57.14$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.142352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under27c51.26$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8422557.3%129 W · 96 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac24…576ebacked Over61c50.63$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.53043.3%13 W · 17 L-3.3wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-24.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed Over79c50.63$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.6319461.9%120 W · 74 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9a9…5c31backed Over79c50.31$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.571266.7%8 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick67cpaid+13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x004c…ab0cbacked Over79c50.31$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.57250%1 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick79cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8cc…2e39backed Over79c50$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.52263.6%14 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+19.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf9b5…1212backed Over57c47.37$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.379740.2%39 W · 58 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under30c40.94$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4522760.4%137 W · 90 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf94c…8a42backed Over79c38.41$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.072653.8%14 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+17.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x376b…53b1backed Over79c37.97$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb9c…7688backed Under38c37.05$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb18c…df51backed Over54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.046243.5%27 W · 35 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.0417458.6%102 W · 72 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Over50c36.32$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.1620050.5%101 W · 99 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0514…def7backed Over55c34.55$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.556100%6 W · 0 L+2.3wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+68.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over40c31$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.6840239.1%157 W · 245 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa04d…1488backed Under41c28.05$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.59923.2%23 W · 76 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d2b…d9a5backed Over66c26.97$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.175100%5 W · 0 L+2.3wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+90.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Over79c25.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.3226545.3%120 W · 145 L-1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed Over79c24.34$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.118852.3%46 W · 42 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e67…a39bbacked Over70c24.26$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.381275%9 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+26.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed Over76c24$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.767440.5%30 W · 44 L+5.8wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+5.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7079…58e8backed Over63c20.63$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7bca…24aebacked Over54c20.37$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.374841.7%20 W · 28 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5817…987dbacked Over79c20.18$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.242100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6f9…e9d1backed Over78c19.31$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.31875%6 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+22.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4b90…c258backed Over79c18.27$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.843467.6%23 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick70cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under71c17.39$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4233161.3%203 W · 128 L+12.1wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x97f6…f099backed Over77c16.88$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.88250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdf1…b023backed Over79c16.46$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.46250%1 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick79cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.