TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2bb3…5aff

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
133
Categories scored
23
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: Boxing, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Boxing at 53 out of 100; worst World Politics at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT4454.5%24 W · 20 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$170.37
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$1,118Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+546.3%+$6,106.74
Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+61.7%+$90.32
Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$388Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$388.48
France vs. England: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$173.07
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+115.1%+$141.91
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+37%+$76.2
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$650Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$649.99
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.92
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$525Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$525.06
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$155.57
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$278Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$278.37
Spread: France (-1.5)backed Paraguay · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$87.07
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$81.23
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$185.76
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$312Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$207.75
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$115.69
Will Portugal vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Germany to score first vs. Côte d'Ivoire?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.5
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$48.62
United States vs. Australia: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$219Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$219.38
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Czechia to score first vs. South Africa?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$83.34
Czechia vs. South Africa: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$56.41
England vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Score in First Halfbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT1747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dublin: Kyrian Jacquet vs Henry Searlebacked Kyrian Jacquet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$157.35
Brescia: Anastasiia Sobolieva vs Ane Mintegi Del Olmobacked Ane Mintegi Del Olmo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.8
ITF San Gregorio: Andreea Prisacariu vs Camilla Gennarobacked Camilla Gennaro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,439Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,438.88
Lyon: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Luca Van Asschebacked Luca Van Assche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$750Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$750
Lyon: Thomas Faurel vs Florent Baxbacked Thomas Faurel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$217.24
Ilkley: Billy Harris vs Clement Chidekhbacked Billy Harris · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+249.4%+$748.12
HSBC Championships: Katie Boulter vs Leylah Fernandezbacked Leylah Fernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Bratislava: Tiago Pereira vs Andrej Martinbacked Andrej Martin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$224.87
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Liudmila Samsonovabacked Liudmila Samsonova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Cobolli vs. Zverev: Match O/U 40.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.52
Hamburg European Open: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Camilo Ugo Carabellibacked Aleksandar Kovacevic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$45.17
Hamburg European Open: Luciano Darderi vs Yannick Hanfmannbacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$91.54
Hamburg European Open: Tommy Paul vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$78.57
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Jerome Kym vs Tom Gentzschbacked Jerome Kym · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Geneva Open: Raul Brancaccio vs Stan Wawrinkabacked Stan Wawrinka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$460Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$236.97
Hamburg European Open: Marcos Giron vs Ben Sheltonbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+62.8%+$125.67
ATP World Tour Finals, Bjorn Borg Group: Ben Shelton vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$62.4
All 17 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Dec 26, 2025, EST130%0 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$21
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$93.38
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$19
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$19
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$46
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$15
All 13 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick32cpaid-68.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
AI — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 12 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$973Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$972.78
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$363Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$363
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+149.5%+$65.65
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$1,025Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$1,024.95
Will Pope Leo XIV rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$646Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$646.47
All 8 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.26per pick42cpaid-76.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
World Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+19.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid+10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Panthers vs. Saintsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$41.13
Bills vs. Patriotsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+96.5%+$38.61
Texans vs. Titansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+51.5%+$47.13
Chiefs vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+26%+$19.83
All 5 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 28, 2025, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Utah vs. Kansasbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+30%+$22.35
Missouri State vs. Kennesaw Statebacked Kennesaw State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+56.3%+$24.03
UAB Blazers vs. Ricebacked Rice · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+56.3%+$42.75
Houston vs. UCFbacked UCF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$35
All 4 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-64.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick61cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$53.15
LoL: Ultra Prime vs LNG Esports (BO3)backed Ultra Prime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$26.64
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+30.2%+$27.93
All 3 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$197.43
Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 December 29-January 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$487Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$487.02
All 2 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.79per pick21cpaid+368.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoorbacked Demoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+368.8%+$591.73
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-05-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$98.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+71.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,026Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+71.9%+$737.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+63.1%+$66.42
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Makhachev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+35.1%+$36.51
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Utah vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$120.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kilmarnock FC win on 2026-05-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.47
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Bayern München vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$49.81
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.