Fifa International · resolved market
Czechia to score first vs. South Africa?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe4f415357854130176d198df67e647a2c81c794e8c9455c4ada0cdc9dbd78936
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,475
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,265
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,475 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9db8…2effbacked No | 39c | 8,609$3,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,357.47 | 207 | 31.4%65 W · 142 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed No | 41c | 5,483$2,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,233.33 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bfd…9e60backed Yes | 61c | 4,768$2,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,859.59 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -59%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbdd…9ba3backed No | 40c | 3,857$1,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,542.71 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 61c | 3,440$2,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,351.07 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked No | 39c | 3,333$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,299.87 | 342 | 49.1%168 W · 174 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 61c | 2,712$1,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,059.61 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 39c | 1,772$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.83 | 597 | 52.1%311 W · 286 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e8…7c26backed Yes | 61c | 1,700$1,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 39c | 1,513$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.44 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 61c | 904$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.56 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1af3…b3b4backed No | 39c | 853.17$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.74 | 203 | 33.5%68 W · 135 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x160a…c68cbacked Yes | 61c | 819.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.67 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 39c | 763.23$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.66 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09fe…76eebacked No | 39c | 717.27$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.07 | 178 | 56.2%100 W · 78 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0800…ceb0backed No | 39c | 604.21$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.64 | 368 | 38.6%142 W · 226 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 58c | 600$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91c6…2f32backed Yes | 58c | 554.67$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.96 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 60c | 508.45$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.38 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1926…83ccbacked Yes | 61c | 500$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe834…a88ebacked Yes | 61c | 491.8$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.8 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf1…09b7backed No | 40c | 336.52$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 199 | 39.7%79 W · 120 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed Yes | 60c | 299.9$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.96 | 920 | 38.5%354 W · 566 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f0…3206backed No | 39c | 290.5$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.3 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…c830backed Yes | 70c | 250$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | +10.2wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed Yes | 61c | 245.9$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.9 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | -10.1wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb3…5affbacked Yes | 61c | 213.7$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.34 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 39c | 205$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.13 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 19c | 189.98$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e2…d5b2backed Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661c…695bbacked Yes | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 116 | 65.5%76 W · 40 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1685…6de4backed Yes | 61c | 139.34$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.34 | 272 | 39%106 W · 166 L | -12.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a17…910dbacked Yes | 60c | 129.02$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.61 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 58c | 129$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.18 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 39c | 126.25$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.24 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed No | 39c | 120$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 1,421 | 47.8%679 W · 742 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2546…5155backed Yes | 60c | 120$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 224 | 49.6%111 W · 113 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed No | 39c | 120$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5266…aac8backed Yes | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 206 | 51.9%107 W · 99 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed No | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 572 | 52.4%300 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed No | 40c | 89.82$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.93 | 580 | 29.5%171 W · 409 L | -19.9wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 40c | 84.69$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.88 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30b1…ef17backed Yes | 61c | 84.23$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.85 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 20cpaid | -85.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 57c | 82.2$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.35 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb69d…7678backed Yes | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 121 | 38.8%47 W · 74 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce4c…b368backed Yes | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2132…118ebacked Yes | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked No | 39c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 823 | 48.8%402 W · 421 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Yes | 61c | 52$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.28 | 220 | 58.2%128 W · 92 L | +18.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x993e…44b4backed Yes | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 402 | 39.8%160 W · 242 L | -13.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf459…a1ebbacked Yes | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff6…25babacked Yes | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x055c…6a54backed Yes | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 39c | 45.66$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.81 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Yes | 60c | 45.06$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.02 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e9…736dbacked Yes | 61c | 44.26$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.26 | 297 | 66.7%198 W · 99 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b14…13dcbacked Yes | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73ef…7e3abacked No | 40c | 42.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd85b…abf6backed Yes | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 60c | 39.95$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 1,306 | 44.7%584 W · 722 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 39c | 39.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53d0…de95backed Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Yes | 59c | 31.81$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.04 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf2…326abacked Yes | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 117 | 49.6%58 W · 59 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a13…588fbacked Yes | 58c | 27.83$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.69 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 39c | 26.01$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77fc…432bbacked Yes | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 249 | 55.4%138 W · 111 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb76…0a16backed Yes | 61c | 25.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x866e…2db0backed Yes | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…f49ebacked Yes | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5758…e2d8backed Yes | 61c | 22.95$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x652e…ef62backed Yes | 61c | 22.95$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb6…9e4dbacked Yes | 61c | 21.31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.31 | 141 | 55.3%78 W · 63 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4b…cc7fbacked Yes | 61c | 21.31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.31 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34e6…e673backed Yes | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Czechia to score first vs. South Africa?this page
- Czechia vs. South Africa: Neither team to score first?No won
- South Africa to score first vs. Czechia?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.