TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x34e6…e673

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
211
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: CS2, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 55 out of 100; worst UFC at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT7152.1%37 W · 34 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+12.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 71 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$13.5
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.08
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$49
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+100%+$25
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$20.5
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$65.7
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$24.6
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.6
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$44.1
Golden Knights vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.6
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.4
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$36.6
Golden Knights vs. Ducksbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$24.5
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.5
Wild vs. Avalanchebacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.5
Ducks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$16.8
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$28
Avalanche vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$21.6
Golden Knights vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$21.6
Hurricanes vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.5
Ducks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$28.5
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$18.4
Wild vs. Avalanchebacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Showing 25 of 71 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT6453.1%34 W · 30 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 64 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.68
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.63
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$14
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Spread: Argentina (-2.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.6
Spread: Netherlands (-2.5)backed Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.7
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$6.4
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$8.58
Harry Kane: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
England vs. Ghana: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$7
Spread: England (-1.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.89
England leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.8
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.9
Algeria to score first vs. Jordan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.6
Jordan vs. Algeria: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.6
Jordan vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.4
France vs. Iraq: France 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
France vs. Iraq: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.6
Spread: France (-2.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$12.3
Spread: France (-3.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.6
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.6
Showing 25 of 64 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT156.7%1 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick18cpaid-77%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Tweets — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.8
Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$49.7
Will NYC Mayor post 0-19 posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.2
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$12.05
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$16.86
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$16.61
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$22
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$14.4
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$13
All 15 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT1323.1%3 W · 10 L-3.3wins-0.25per pick48cpaid-59.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Tennis — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bloomfield Hills: Mark Lajal vs Pablo Llamas Ruizbacked Mark Lajal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+59.6%+$9.6
Segovia: Takuya Kumasaka vs Luka Pavlovicbacked Takuya Kumasaka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Segovia: Alastair Gray vs Akira Santillanbacked Alastair Gray · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.1
Hamburg European Open, Qualification: Jule Niemeier vs Elena Malyginabacked Jule Niemeier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$12
Hamburg European Open, Qualification: Varvara Lepchenko vs Elina Avanesyanbacked Varvara Lepchenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.49
Estoril Open, Qualification: Kyrian Jacquet vs Taro Danielbacked Kyrian Jacquet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.8
Brescia: Carole Monnet vs Martina Trevisanbacked Martina Trevisan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.3
HSBC Championships: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Corentin Moutetbacked Corentin Moutet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Nottingham Open: Ann Li vs Kimberly Birrellbacked Kimberly Birrell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.4
Poznan: Hynek Barton vs Kimmer Coppejansbacked Kimmer Coppejans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.1
ITF Maanshan: Yecong Mo vs Joshua Charltonbacked Yecong Mo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Tessa Brockmann vs Alycia Parksbacked Alycia Parks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.3
Brescia: Elizara Yaneva vs Giorgia Pedonebacked Giorgia Pedone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
All 13 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs HANJIN BRION (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$14.8
LoL: LYON vs Team Secret Whales - Game 3 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$22.2
LoL: LYON vs Team Secret Whales - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.6
LoL: T1 Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.4
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs T1 Academy - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$20.5
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs T1 Academy - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+67.2%+$20.1
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 4 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$29.4
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 3 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.6
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 1 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+105.5%+$15.4
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Team WE - Game 2 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+100%+$10
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$12.5
All 12 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-3.1wins-0.44per pick59cpaid-72.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
UFC — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+72.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$64
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+183.7%+$51.8
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+203%+$33.5
Warriors vs. Nuggetsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.1
Heat vs. Pacersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
All 5 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.33per pick42cpaid+73.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-53.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick61cpaid-47.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+38.9%+$8.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will EdgeX launch a token by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$17
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Athleticsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will it Snow in Seattle this December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 24, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Liberty vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 179.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.