NHL · resolved market
Canadiens vs. Sabres
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4435d57c325f205d59e78d12aab6a15163bdc0d4c756dba129fba075f9bb3e32
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Canadiensof Canadiens, Sabres
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,960,470
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,036,776
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,960,470 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,291 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1925…4654backed Canadiens | 49c | 359,429$176,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183,308.74 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Sabres | 51c | 178,719$91,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91,146.79 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2f…2ca8backed Canadiens | 48c | 127,184$61,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66,135.44 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Sabres | 51c | 100,000$51,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,000 | 150 | 54.7%82 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Sabres | 51c | 97,498$49,969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,969.2 | 287 | 49.8%143 W · 144 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Canadiens | 49c | 92,655$45,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,253.95 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Canadiens | 48c | 85,826$41,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,629.64 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Sabres | 51c | 77,999$39,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,779.26 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47a8…52f9backed Canadiens | 65c | 48,581$31,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,904.86 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Sabres | 51c | 45,069$22,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,985.02 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Sabres | 51c | 43,137$21,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,988.79 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Canadiens | 60c | 42,443$25,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,873.31 | 302 | 59.6%180 W · 122 L | +31.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked Canadiens | 49c | 40,000$19,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,400 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +18%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Sabres | 26c | 38,007$9,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,881.87 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb87b…3626backed Sabres | 32c | 35,000$11,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,099.95 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Sabres | 52c | 33,254$17,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,377.34 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Canadiens | 70c | 30,000$21,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,999.93 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x966c…9b1abacked Sabres | 51c | 29,412$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Sabres | 52c | 28,800$14,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,976 | 43 | 23.3%10 W · 33 L | -5.8wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x72f8…8ea0backed Sabres | 52c | 27,515$14,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,308 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Sabres | 51c | 27,275$13,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,870.85 | 119 | 52.1%62 W · 57 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Sabres | 52c | 25,818$13,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,425.15 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Canadiens | 48c | 25,000$12,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,999.92 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Sabres | 45c | 23,697$10,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,681.94 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Canadiens | 47c | 22,249$10,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,697.23 | 268 | 49.6%133 W · 135 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…6daabacked Canadiens | 49c | 21,682$10,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,057.92 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Sabres | 33c | 20,159$6,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,678.36 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Sabres | 46c | 20,133$9,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,263.85 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Canadiens | 48c | 20,000$9,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,399.87 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a9…6abbbacked Sabres | 52c | 18,856$9,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,805.32 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed Canadiens | 49c | 16,700$8,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,517 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Canadiens | 59c | 15,500$9,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,367.31 | 448 | 48.9%219 W · 229 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Sabres | 29c | 15,000$4,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,349.88 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…fec6backed Canadiens | 49c | 11,837$5,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,036.73 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce5e…c0fabacked Sabres | 52c | 10,650$5,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,538 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…600ebacked Canadiens | 49c | 10,596$5,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,403.82 | 270 | 44.4%120 W · 150 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Sabres | 36c | 10,237$3,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,732.1 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c0a…a9bebacked Canadiens | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,400 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Canadiens | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,199.98 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd97…0ec5backed Sabres | 51c | 9,792$4,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,993.73 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3c…2f57backed Sabres | 52c | 9,510$4,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,945.15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Sabres | 54c | 9,259$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Sabres | 51c | 8,537$4,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,325.52 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef2…ccfbbacked Sabres | 44c | 8,035$3,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,497.44 | 126 | 54.8%69 W · 57 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Sabres | 51c | 7,143$3,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,642.91 | 260 | 58.8%153 W · 107 L | +17.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Sabres | 50c | 6,516$3,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,226.68 | 184 | 52.7%97 W · 87 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Sabres | 53c | 6,156$3,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,272.46 | 113 | 52.2%59 W · 54 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Sabres | 51c | 6,000$3,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,059.99 | 193 | 53.9%104 W · 89 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1869…fe78backed Canadiens | 49c | 5,841$2,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,950.76 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae51…1d03backed Sabres | 30c | 5,126$1,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,516.07 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Canadiens | 66c | 5,081$3,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,712.83 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +3.8wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8c…c7b4backed Sabres | 52c | 5,003$2,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,601.71 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa538…12c3backed Canadiens | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,549.98 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd52d…412dbacked Sabres | 49c | 4,571$2,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,238.11 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Sabres | 51c | 4,546$2,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,318.61 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb442…bed7backed Canadiens | 80c | 4,500$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d1…cdc9backed Sabres | 15c | 4,449$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.28 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Canadiens | 49c | 4,444$2,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,266.44 | 331 | 51.7%171 W · 160 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…9cc3backed Sabres | 51c | 4,373$2,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,230.11 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f4…544cbacked Canadiens | 49c | 4,191$2,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,138.68 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8409…35ebbacked Canadiens | 63c | 4,183$2,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,566.59 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2061…8ec9backed Sabres | 51c | 4,176$2,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,121.14 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19b1…83a0backed Sabres | 51c | 4,100$2,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,091.14 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +66%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Canadiens | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040 | 418 | 42.8%179 W · 239 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00ff…f7adbacked Sabres | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,039.91 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x941f…bac9backed Canadiens | 49c | 3,992$1,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,036.04 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf405…9df2backed Canadiens | 71c | 3,992$2,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,156.18 | 41 | 73.2%30 W · 11 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked Canadiens | 49c | 3,902$1,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,990.03 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b7…500fbacked Canadiens | 71c | 3,800$2,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,102 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Sabres | 52c | 3,774$1,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,962.64 | 253 | 37.9%96 W · 157 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6978…9897backed Sabres | 52c | 3,690$1,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,919 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 61cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked Sabres | 51c | 3,400$1,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,733.99 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b80…92afbacked Sabres | 52c | 3,382$1,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,758.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Sabres | 51c | 3,300$1,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,683 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Sabres | 51c | 3,300$1,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,682.84 | 435 | 48.5%211 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Sabres | 51c | 3,264$1,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,664.64 | 207 | 56.5%117 W · 90 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb8e…34cebacked Sabres | 39c | 3,259$1,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,263.83 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked Canadiens | 49c | 3,246$1,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,654.07 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Sabres | 51c | 3,151$1,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,606.8 | 278 | 50.4%140 W · 138 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Sabres | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Sabres | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Sabres | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Sabres | 29c | 3,000$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.95 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Sabres | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,529.88 | 133 | 33.1%44 W · 89 L | -11.9wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -22%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Sabres | 52c | 2,750$1,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,430 | 396 | 49.5%196 W · 200 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d57…18ddbacked Canadiens | 51c | 2,715$1,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,339.11 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Sabres | 50c | 2,657$1,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,315.82 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77f6…dbd1backed Sabres | 52c | 2,575$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1da3…2f94backed Canadiens | 49c | 2,551$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,301.02 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4748…9666backed Sabres | 39c | 2,541$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Sabres | 51c | 2,500$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb74…997cbacked Canadiens | 48c | 2,400$1,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,247.94 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Sabres | 47c | 2,327$1,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,094.12 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e10…650cbacked Canadiens | 49c | 2,292$1,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,168.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Sabres | 54c | 2,271$1,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,226.5 | 125 | 52%65 W · 60 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3b…9ed5backed Canadiens | 49c | 2,245$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,144.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Sabres | 53c | 2,222$1,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,177.66 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Canadiens | 49c | 2,200$1,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,132 | 137 | 47.4%65 W · 72 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Canadiens | 51c | 2,155$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,054.65 | 177 | 50.8%90 W · 87 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c0e…8f37backed Sabres | 52c | 2,046$1,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,064 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Canadiens vs. Sabresthis page
- Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 4.5Over won
- Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 5.5Under won
- Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5Under won
- Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Canadiens (-1.5)Sabres won
- Spread: Canadiens (-2.5)Sabres won
- Spread: Sabres (-1.5)Canadiens won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.