TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xeb8e…34ce

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
77
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: NHL, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 55 out of 100; worst NBA at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT3164.5%20 W · 11 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$8,590Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+51.3%+$4,410
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$6,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,200
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$8,180Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+58.9%+$4,819.83
Golden Knights vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$6,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,200
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$14,340Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+25.5%+$3,659.99
Golden Knights vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$8,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,199.97
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,264Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,263.83
Wild vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$5,669Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+147%+$8,330.96
Ducks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11,800Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$8,199.92
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$5,700Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,699.99
Avalanche vs. Wildbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$16,800Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$13,199.93
Avalanche vs. Wildbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$13,299.64
Hurricanes vs. Flyersbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12,600Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$7,399.87
Golden Knights vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$13,700Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$13,699.96
Hurricanes vs. Flyersbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$7,999.95
Ducks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15,299.89
Utah vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$2,950Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$2,049.98
Avalanche vs. Kingsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$18,217Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+62.2%+$11,326.72
Hurricanes vs. Senatorsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$5,352Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$4,378.5
Oilers vs. Ducksbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$10,820Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,820.38
Avalanche vs. Kingsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$13,956Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+68.5%+$9,554.17
Ducks vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$12,399.87
Kings vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14,108Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+42.3%+$5,973.71
Ducks vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$6,570Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+64.1%+$4,213.45
Kings vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$6,899Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$3,099.42
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1957.9%11 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick62cpaid+9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 4 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$7,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,500
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 3 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,600
Game Handicap: AL (-2.5) vs EDward Gaming (+2.5)backed Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$206.86
LoL: CCG Esports vs Conviction (BO5) - North American Challengers League Playoffsbacked Conviction · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$7,200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$2,799.97
LoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,440Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$559.99
LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$3,259Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,258.95
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,240Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$760
LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 4 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$3,700Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$1,299.99
LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$7,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$3,000
Game Handicap: BIG (-2.5) vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (+2.5)backed BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.88
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$4,070Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+38.2%+$1,556.75
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$2,764Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+63.3%+$1,749.08
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$2,950Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,949.99
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$700
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$6,916Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,915.53
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed Nongshim Esports Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,400Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$600
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$2,480Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,480
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$764Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+400%+$3,056.76
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
All 19 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-29.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$5,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,600
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$7,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,199.97
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$2,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,300
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$19,172Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$13,883.51
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$21,450Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$21,449.93
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$12,000
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$6,500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$3,500
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$3,400Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$1,600
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$800
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$6,500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$3,499.99
Spread: Spurs (-10.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28,200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+77.3%+$21,799.99
Cavaliers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$37,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$37,800
Kings vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$43,200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+85.2%+$36,800
Pistons vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$39,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$39,200
All 14 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-28.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
USC Trojans vs. Penn State Nittany Lionsbacked Penn State Nittany Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$23,380Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$23,379.51
Marist Red Foxes vs. Fairfield Stagsbacked Fairfield Stags · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$44,100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+104.1%+$45,900
Belmont Bruins vs. UIC Flamesbacked UIC Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$62,556Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$62,556
Connecticut Huskies vs. St. John's Red Stormbacked St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+132.6%+$114
Murray State Racers vs. Southern Illinois Salukisbacked Southern Illinois Salukis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$96
Dayton Flyers vs. VCU Ramsbacked VCU Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$14,800Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+35.1%+$5,200
Northeastern Huskies vs. Hofstra Pridebacked Northeastern Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$4,530Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$4,530
Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks vs. NJIT Highlandersbacked Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$88,998Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$88,998
All 8 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 World Cup: Netherlands vs Pakistan (Game 1)backed Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$2,960Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$2,959.92
International T20 Series: Italy vs UAE (Game 1)backed UAE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$87,367Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$87,366.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Group Alphabacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$2,697Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+49.6%+$1,336.17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Serbia win on 2026-05-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$427Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$427.27
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs TYLOO (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group Abacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$7,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,200
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.