TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Canadiens vs. Hurricanes

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Canadiensof Canadiens, Hurricanes
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,313,565
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,523,683

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,313,565 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 926 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5bec…b215backed Canadiens35c706,444$245,649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460,794.4716442.7%70 W · 94 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4924…3782backed Hurricanes65c445,060$289,289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289,289.1820354.2%110 W · 93 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Hurricanes65c430,137$280,211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280,211.3828749.8%143 W · 144 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Canadiens35c256,807$89,314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167,492.7222443.8%98 W · 126 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03e8…1697backed Hurricanes64c151,501$96,961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96,960.9567051%342 W · 328 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb218…67e4backed Canadiens36c139,176$50,103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89,072.55250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09b5…7e72backed Canadiens35c96,684$33,839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62,844.6666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+46.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xef50…e3bdbacked Hurricanes66c90,383$59,653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59,652.81250%6 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1136…0c2ebacked Canadiens36c40,000$14,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,799.864358.1%25 W · 18 L+4.1wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+18%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa66d…6daabacked Canadiens36c36,654$13,136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,518.061560%9 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+17.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed Hurricanes64c32,974$21,107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,107.3132151.7%166 W · 155 L-1.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3625…1187backed Hurricanes65c30,725$20,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,0008946.1%41 W · 48 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd14…d62abacked Hurricanes65c30,536$20,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,0002240.9%9 W · 13 L-3.0wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-30.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb6d6…be17backed Hurricanes66c27,273$18,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,0003253.1%17 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5fc7…2b30backed Hurricanes9c25,954$2,435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,435.2540%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf2c…097cbacked Hurricanes65c24,808$16,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,125.44450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e65…7bc1backed Canadiens36c23,173$8,342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,831.01850%4 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a88…41ccbacked Canadiens79c22,743$17,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,792.787038.6%27 W · 43 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Canadiens70c21,604$15,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,582.91,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Hurricanes64c20,411$13,063 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,06310545.7%48 W · 57 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9c5…1d81backed Canadiens36c19,079$6,868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,210.58333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Hurricanes65c18,888$12,277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,277.1121850.9%111 W · 107 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb8e…34cebacked Canadiens80c18,000$14,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,659.993164.5%20 W · 11 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Hurricanes64c16,150$10,336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,335.7515054.7%82 W · 68 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe504…600ebacked Canadiens37c15,727$5,763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,964.3327044.4%120 W · 150 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf49c…9786backed Hurricanes65c15,500$10,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,0751729.4%5 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick26cpaid-22%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Canadiens35c15,000$5,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,75012950.4%65 W · 64 L+10.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+13.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Canadiens35c12,500$4,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,124.941,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6185…2965backed Canadiens34c11,404$3,877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,526.493450%17 W · 17 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6853…5846backed Hurricanes64c10,390$6,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,649.6333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick64cpaid-48.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x92b5…fec6backed Canadiens35c10,000$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,5002236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Hurricanes66c9,969$6,553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,552.7733450.9%170 W · 164 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Hurricanes30c9,627$2,909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,909.1841842.8%179 W · 239 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6815…9edbbacked Hurricanes65c9,564$6,217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,216.829157.1%52 W · 39 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+36.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf9ac…1eebbacked Hurricanes17c9,283$1,566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,565.8840%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb87b…3626backed Hurricanes17c9,272$1,588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,587.861816.7%3 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick25cpaid-52.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6677…799bbacked Canadiens37c9,067$3,355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,711.99250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…4652backed Hurricanes64c8,987$5,788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,787.95757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-15.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Canadiens35c8,883$3,064 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,818.051,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Canadiens36c8,444$3,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,433.3233151.7%171 W · 160 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x34ae…cdb5backed Canadiens69c8,371$5,768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,602.726100%6 W · 0 L+2.5wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+77.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Canadiens35c8,000$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,199.951,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Hurricanes66c7,576$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00018452.7%97 W · 87 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a95…2b65backed Hurricanes66c7,498$4,949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,948.7710%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Canadiens78c6,264$4,916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,348.4661848.1%297 W · 321 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Hurricanes66c6,000$3,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,96039752.1%207 W · 190 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Hurricanes63c5,656$3,574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,574.182,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Hurricanes17c5,128$872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$871.78657%49 W · 37 L+8.5wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+23.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Hurricanes65c5,100$3,294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,293.7961950.1%310 W · 309 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd344…6862backed Canadiens36c5,097$1,835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,262.223551.4%18 W · 17 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf5d1…cdc9backed Hurricanes18c5,073$913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$912.553228.1%9 W · 23 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf11…c679backed Canadiens36c5,000$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,2005446.3%25 W · 29 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1af…c4d1backed Canadiens35c4,933$1,727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,206.451643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdfa6…6c6cbacked Hurricanes66c4,900$3,234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,2341450%7 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Hurricanes0c4,627$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.331895.3%10 W · 179 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Canadiens36c4,500$1,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,879.9913049.2%64 W · 66 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd60…396cbacked Canadiens34c4,426$1,505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,921.321442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+32.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e89…89cebacked Hurricanes34c4,359$1,478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,477.571457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.4wins+0.17per pick40cpaid+10.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Hurricanes1c4,136$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.2254418%98 W · 446 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb68…a240backed Hurricanes63c4,000$2,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,519.8450049.6%248 W · 252 L+16.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Hurricanes66c3,788$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50018853.2%100 W · 88 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1869…fe78backed Canadiens36c3,723$1,337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,385.91127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-35.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1365…c82abacked Hurricanes65c3,600$2,346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3464551.1%23 W · 22 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b4d…ad0fbacked Hurricanes12c3,472$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42550%0 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x96ca…5a71backed Canadiens71c3,206$2,285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$921.6355446.4%257 W · 297 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa538…12c3backed Hurricanes65c3,077$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000.051258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc31c…7830backed Hurricanes65c3,077$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-23.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b8f…cca7backed Canadiens31c3,048$951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,096.321435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Canadiens34c3,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9806841.2%28 W · 40 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-14%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6b8f…449bbacked Hurricanes1c3,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+15.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6206…2a80backed Canadiens36c2,926$1,053 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,872.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Hurricanes65c2,907$1,890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,889.8141850%209 W · 209 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5248…aabbbacked Canadiens35c2,888$1,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,877.25147.1%24 W · 27 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd94…7028backed Canadiens52c2,859$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,358.61250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x597e…cd70backed Canadiens36c2,778$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,777.783661.1%22 W · 14 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+17%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac1…e989backed Canadiens36c2,619$943 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,676.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ce9…9c2dbacked Hurricanes1c2,508$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.59812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick18cpaid-84.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c0b…bfc2backed Canadiens35c2,500$875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,625966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+32.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x63ed…b0f4backed Canadiens48c2,500$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3001457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+21.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd5d8…e9a1backed Canadiens36c2,472$890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,582.223548.6%17 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30ce…fdcebacked Canadiens40c2,470$979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,490.8915057.3%86 W · 64 L+14.8wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+44.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Canadiens76c2,427$1,852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$574.9213850.7%70 W · 68 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x15dc…77c8backed Canadiens40c2,400$956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,443.461338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Hurricanes1c2,362$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.377450.7%5 W · 740 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-94.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x820a…ca12backed Hurricanes56c2,300$1,297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2972263.6%14 W · 8 L+2.5wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+19.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x551d…9326backed Hurricanes65c2,300$1,495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,494.911457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+46.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Canadiens35c2,299$796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,502.8659450.8%302 W · 292 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Hurricanes64c2,222$1,422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,422.0786649.9%432 W · 434 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcba5…cd88backed Hurricanes65c2,220$1,453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,453728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.30per pick58cpaid-54.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Canadiens78c2,179$1,699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.682755.6%15 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf67…7784backed Hurricanes52c2,128$1,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,100.963455.9%19 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b57…95e1backed Canadiens77c2,100$1,618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4823246.9%15 W · 17 L-4.9wins-0.15per pick62cpaid-28.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked Canadiens73c2,068$1,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$548.438056.3%45 W · 35 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0a16…9d73backed Hurricanes43c2,053$892 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$892.31776.5%13 W · 4 L+3.9wins+0.23per pick53cpaid+61.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Canadiens80c2,000$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.599638.2%380 W · 616 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Hurricanes50c2,000$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9905954.2%32 W · 27 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0cef…fa91backed Canadiens34c2,000$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,319.99922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.23per pick45cpaid-39.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5f80…fa5cbacked Hurricanes7c2,000$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140128.3%1 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick22cpaid-76.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Hurricanes15c1,974$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.131,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x21ae…97ccbacked Canadiens36c1,924$693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,231.25450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.