TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9b57…95e1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
107
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Bundesliga, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Bundesliga at 53 out of 100; worst NHL at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT3865.8%25 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$379Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+32%+$121.25
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$117
Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$557Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$556.69
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$233Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+28.6%+$66.75
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$30
Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,020Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,020
Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$499.5
Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,024Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+27%+$276.25
Spain vs. Austria: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,590Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+25.8%+$409.94
Will France win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,560Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$440
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$220
Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$57.6
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$740Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$740
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$232Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$168
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$247Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+74.4%+$183.4
Will England win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$308Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$92
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,005Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$495
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$3,806Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,806
Will Paraguay vs. Australia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$17,320Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+32.8%+$5,679.99
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$6,185Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,185.47
Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$224Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$176
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$207.2
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,002Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$588.3
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$96
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT3246.9%15 W · 17 L-4.9wins-0.15per pick62cpaid-28.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
NHL — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$68
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will Canada win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$147
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the Western Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$126
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.8
World Championships: Norway vs. Swedenbacked Sweden · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Golden Knights vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,618Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+29.8%+$482
Golden Knights vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$192
World Championships: Latvia vs. Austriabacked Latvia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$64
Will Buffalo Sabres advance to the Conference Finals of the 2026 NHL Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.8
World Championships: Sweden vs. Czechiabacked Czechia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+29.8%+$6.89
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$186
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Avalanche vs. Wild backed Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$93
Wild vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+79.4%+$317.62
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,221Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+31%+$378.67
Avalanche vs. Wildbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$201.6
Hurricanes vs. Flyersbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$301Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$169.2
Hurricanes vs. Flyersbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$127.87
Ducks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$168
Wild vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$843Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+32.9%+$277.2
Flyers vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$602Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+32.9%+$197.99
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT1770.6%12 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick70cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros WTA: Diana Shnaider vs Maja Chwalinskabacked Diana Shnaider · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$124
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Hamburg European Open: Justin Engel vs Ugo Humbertbacked Ugo Humbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$23
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Sara Bejlek vs Emma Navarrobacked Sara Bejlek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.82
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Iga Swiatek vs Elina Svitolinabacked Elina Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$294Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+33%+$96.92
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Sorana Cirstea vs Coco Gauffbacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,198Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+29.4%+$351.89
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Casper Ruud vs Karen Khachanovbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$557Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+29.3%+$163.1
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,080Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+33.2%+$358.47
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Mirra Andreevabacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$625Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+35.2%+$220.06
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Learner Tien vs Alexander Bublikbacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$270.22
Set 1 Winner: Blockx vs Zverevbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$37.2
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Ben Sheltonbacked Nikoloz Basilashvili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$394Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+26.9%+$106
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Dino Prizmic vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$204
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jasmine Paolini vs Leolia Jeanjeanbacked Jasmine Paolini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$44
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Otto Virtanenbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$20
Madrid Open: Alexander Blockx vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$237Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$63
Madrid Open: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$48
All 17 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick65cpaid-32.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+15.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kansas City Royals vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+78.3%+$234.97
Los Angeles Angels vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$216
Cleveland Guardians vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$67.78
All 3 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+57.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$422Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$148.27
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,267Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+34.2%+$433
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chicago Fire FC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$183.87
CF Montréal vs. Chicago Fire FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$128
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+65.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$597Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+65.8%+$392.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Celtic FC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$122.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AJ Auxerre win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$985Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+39.1%+$385.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Paranaense vs. CR Flamengo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+25%+$75.12
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.