MLB · resolved market
Cleveland Guardians vs. Toronto Blue Jays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf4db3e90e5321d5d757e748fea9cb4c3434cec2a1870eb1a6226c9440ca0c349
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Toronto Blue Jaysof Cleveland Guardians, Toronto Blue Jays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $420,354
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $429,908
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $420,354 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 251 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1117…3532backed Toronto Blue Jays | 55c | 32,347$17,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,556.1 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Toronto Blue Jays | 74c | 28,421$20,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,464.98 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 24,175$10,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,878.75 | 552 | 53.1%293 W · 259 L | +21.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99a7…fc82backed Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 16,065$8,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,390.03 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Cleveland Guardians | 46c | 14,724$6,773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,773.2 | 983 | 49.8%490 W · 493 L | -18.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 14,517$6,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,556.95 | 1,681 | 50.1%842 W · 839 L | -22.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Cleveland Guardians | 27c | 11,084$3,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,015.64 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Cleveland Guardians | 43c | 10,723$4,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,660.4 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 22c | 6,623$1,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,462.78 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 5,776$3,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,656.98 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 56c | 5,355$2,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,356.11 | 172 | 48.8%84 W · 88 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Toronto Blue Jays | 77c | 5,207$3,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,211.21 | 1,874 | 52%975 W · 899 L | +51.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cleveland Guardians | 32c | 4,691$1,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,496.12 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 4,612$2,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,075.46 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f48…93c7backed Toronto Blue Jays | 55c | 3,957$2,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,780.57 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 56c | 3,894$2,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,713.54 | 178 | 53.4%95 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Toronto Blue Jays | 56c | 3,507$1,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,539.92 | 320 | 58.4%187 W · 133 L | +26.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 3,504$1,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,559.23 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Toronto Blue Jays | 61c | 3,338$2,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,309.32 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…a262backed Cleveland Guardians | 7c | 2,954$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.78 | 85 | 15.3%13 W · 72 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Cleveland Guardians | 21c | 2,866$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.63 | 230 | 36.1%83 W · 147 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Cleveland Guardians | 25c | 2,765$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Cleveland Guardians | 27c | 2,763$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.76 | 1,153 | 42.8%494 W · 659 L | -37.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Toronto Blue Jays | 56c | 2,648$1,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,164.97 | 900 | 53.6%482 W · 418 L | +24.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Toronto Blue Jays | 79c | 2,513$1,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.23 | 2,149 | 50.2%1,079 W · 1,070 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 2,298$1,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,034.15 | 541 | 52.1%282 W · 259 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Toronto Blue Jays | 77c | 2,283$1,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.82 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Cleveland Guardians | 9c | 2,282$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.99 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0140…9510backed Cleveland Guardians | 42c | 2,278$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.43 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cleveland Guardians | 31c | 2,275$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.54 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 2,222$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.9 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Toronto Blue Jays | 67c | 2,088$1,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.24 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Toronto Blue Jays | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 277 | 51.6%143 W · 134 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b1…e904backed Toronto Blue Jays | 60c | 1,946$1,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.62 | 693 | 51.9%360 W · 333 L | +26.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8d…8b2cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 20c | 1,900$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.49 | 138 | 18.8%26 W · 112 L | -17.2wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 55c | 1,881$1,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$846.25 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 1,776$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807.42 | 1,527 | 51.1%780 W · 747 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 55c | 1,751$963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788.13 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 1,642$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.69 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Toronto Blue Jays | 55c | 1,618$887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.62 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c6…d14dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 56c | 1,585$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.41 | 84 | 41.7%35 W · 49 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 1,547$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.96 | 801 | 59.2%474 W · 327 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf08b…7e76backed Toronto Blue Jays | 76c | 1,546$1,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.92 | 61 | 75.4%46 W · 15 L | +9.9wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2c55…97d4backed Toronto Blue Jays | 74c | 1,479$1,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.66 | 136 | 55.1%75 W · 61 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bd9…ea45backed Toronto Blue Jays | 55c | 1,450$803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.1 | 144 | 51.4%74 W · 70 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Cleveland Guardians | 21c | 1,376$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 947 | 34.4%326 W · 621 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Cleveland Guardians | 40c | 1,375$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.56 | 206 | 47.1%97 W · 109 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f1…d867backed Toronto Blue Jays | 68c | 1,374$938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.09 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Toronto Blue Jays | 65c | 1,287$839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.01 | 252 | 40.1%101 W · 151 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a80…141fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 24c | 1,149$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.09 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -5.9wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 27c | 1,137$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.25 | 5,149 | 54.7%2,815 W · 2,334 L | +231.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Toronto Blue Jays | 79c | 1,114$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.71 | 396 | 40.9%162 W · 234 L | -25.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 159 | 42.1%67 W · 92 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Cleveland Guardians | 14c | 999.12$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.94 | 1,194 | 29%346 W · 848 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23ef…1d4cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 55c | 973$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.85 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6a…1a00backed Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 906.96$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.88 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…06acbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 56c | 839.3$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.29 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 75c | 822.52$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.3 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef3…df7fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 24c | 794.81$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.4 | 117 | 25.6%30 W · 87 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 56c | 789.12$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.21 | 1,240 | 58.1%721 W · 519 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Toronto Blue Jays | 59c | 780.37$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.37 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf1…09b7backed Toronto Blue Jays | 78c | 748.96$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc85f…15f8backed Toronto Blue Jays | 79c | 720.8$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.37 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Cleveland Guardians | 22c | 701.84$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Cleveland Guardians | 26c | 666.44$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.74 | 880 | 46.4%408 W · 472 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7851…d471backed Toronto Blue Jays | 55c | 583.8$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.71 | 170 | 44.1%75 W · 95 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Toronto Blue Jays | 56c | 578.93$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.28 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | +9.7wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +20%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Cleveland Guardians | 14c | 576.81$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.8 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c67…1075backed Toronto Blue Jays | 74c | 561.41$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.42 | 51 | 72.5%37 W · 14 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 58c | 557.8$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.87 | 1,947 | 53.1%1,033 W · 914 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 549.94$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.97 | 710 | 44.5%316 W · 394 L | -23.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Toronto Blue Jays | 59c | 542.2$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.53 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 26c | 540.86$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.54 | 152 | 43.4%66 W · 86 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb60…137abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 529.35$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.67 | 94 | 35.1%33 W · 61 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba38…e406backed Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 522.45$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.1 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c17…3844backed Toronto Blue Jays | 56c | 521.57$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.49 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58ed…b2d8backed Toronto Blue Jays | 75c | 521.46$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.41 | 12 | 100%12 W · 0 L | +3.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 502.65$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.22 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…f73fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 108 | 42.6%46 W · 62 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed Cleveland Guardians | 10c | 473$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.3 | 397 | 39.5%157 W · 240 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Toronto Blue Jays | 67c | 470.16$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.85 | 2,044 | 39.5%808 W · 1,236 L | -24.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Cleveland Guardians | 27c | 463.7$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.01 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 60c | 441.47$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.74 | 1,149 | 48.9%562 W · 587 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc69f…e36bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 55c | 396.19$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.19 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +5.7wins | +0.23per pick | 41cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 17c | 363.17$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.97 | 263 | 15.6%41 W · 222 L | -11.9wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 339.98$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.59 | 1,418 | 43.4%616 W · 802 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b07…98a7backed Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 336.91$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.22 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Cleveland Guardians | 15c | 334.71$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.06 | 335 | 15.5%52 W · 283 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 74c | 333.05$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.86 | 515 | 55%283 W · 232 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 56c | 321.29$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.37 | 307 | 50.2%154 W · 153 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd68d…959abacked Cleveland Guardians | 50c | 319.05$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.53 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Cleveland Guardians | 46c | 315.52$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.14 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 300$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 60c | 296.95$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.5 | 401 | 46.1%185 W · 216 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18b6…babfbacked Cleveland Guardians | 32c | 290.76$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.04 | 318 | 49.7%158 W · 160 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57e5…e51ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 23c | 286.2$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.83 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 278.87$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.28 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 53c | 268.88$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.66 | 418 | 47.6%199 W · 219 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Toronto Blue Jays | 56c | 267.74$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.81 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Toronto Blue Jaysthis page
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 6.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cleveland Guardians vs. Toronto Blue JaysYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.