MLB · resolved market
Cleveland Guardians vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8a76f96e7ca2936bf05718ff383e2c005e662cfc315197bccef69f02f30ff208
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $159,909
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $159,161
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $159,909 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x777d…5143backed Under | 52c | 132,848$69,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63,767.06 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 48c | 111,000$53,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53,280 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Over | 48c | 20,000$9,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,600 | 311 | 49.2%153 W · 158 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,469.98 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Over | 48c | 2,222$1,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,066.56 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Over | 50c | 1,877$931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930.97 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 50c | 1,580$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.04 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe757…c161backed Under | 53c | 1,277$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.74 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 47c | 1,243$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.09 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Under | 51c | 1,142$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.52 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 52c | 1,141$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.71 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 57c | 1,127$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.3 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 47c | 1,125$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.59 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 43c | 1,046$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.76 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 51c | 951.19$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.08 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 48c | 800$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.33 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Under | 52c | 726.76$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.84 | 238 | 51.3%122 W · 116 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Under | 51c | 663.78$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.25 | 272 | 49.3%134 W · 138 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Over | 47c | 650.88$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.92 | 473 | 50.7%240 W · 233 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcdd…6d55backed Under | 53c | 643.09$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.25 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Under | 53c | 551.58$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.07 | 515 | 55.7%287 W · 228 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5760…40aabacked Under | 53c | 487.48$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.38 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -7.1wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Over | 47c | 470.05$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.92 | 840 | 49.4%415 W · 425 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under | 53c | 458.4$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.45 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47b…c6b1backed Over | 48c | 403.67$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.76 | 111 | 38.7%43 W · 68 L | -11.0wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 53c | 400$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d22…403ebacked Under | 52c | 373.54$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.3 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed Under | 53c | 366.72$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.36 | 405 | 54.8%222 W · 183 L | +17.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Under | 54c | 360.15$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.67 | 1,000 | 58.8%588 W · 412 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Over | 8c | 351.43$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.71 | 335 | 15.5%52 W · 283 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c6e…271bbacked Under | 53c | 343.49$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.44 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 50c | 342.97$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.36 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 50c | 306.39$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.36 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 44c | 305.19$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.84 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…9b66backed Over | 50c | 291$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.5 | 481 | 50.7%244 W · 237 L | -19.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 34c | 288.33$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.7 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Under | 51c | 238.77$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.38 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 50c | 212.82$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.41 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8df7…36c4backed Over | 48c | 210$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 496 | 49.8%247 W · 249 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198c…6a94backed Over | 48c | 199.82$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.91 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa21b…9e94backed Over | 50c | 194$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 486 | 51%248 W · 238 L | -18.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ada1backed Under | 53c | 183.67$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.32 | 356 | 50.6%180 W · 176 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Under | 53c | 183.36$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.18 | 183 | 53.6%98 W · 85 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…eecabacked Over | 48c | 172.64$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.33 | 222 | 48.6%108 W · 114 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0e…a1fabacked Over | 48c | 151.38$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.66 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…32f8backed Over | 48c | 151.13$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 47c | 143$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.21 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67b5…7276backed Over | 50c | 118.13$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.06 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Under | 51c | 114.19$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.95 | 509 | 49.5%252 W · 257 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8001…c76fbacked Under | 54c | 107.94$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.65 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Over | 49c | 98.92$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.47 | 478 | 50.4%241 W · 237 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 67c | 81.36$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.85 | 781 | 46.4%362 W · 419 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0b…62cdbacked Under | 53c | 72.98$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.3 | 795 | 43%342 W · 453 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Over | 50c | 72.79$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.39 | 515 | 55%283 W · 232 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…e91cbacked Under | 54c | 72.03$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.13 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 46c | 70.24$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.75 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Over | 47c | 61.31$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.97 | 722 | 47.6%344 W · 378 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 48c | 60.06$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.83 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Under | 66c | 59.48$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.07 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2798…a9c7backed Over | 49c | 59.23$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.08 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Under | 47c | 56.52$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.84 | 904 | 46.9%424 W · 480 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe246…dedcbacked Under | 52c | 56.03$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.89 | 267 | 53.9%144 W · 123 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Under | 58c | 55.93$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.54 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d5…a8dabacked Over | 47c | 51.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.21 | 209 | 55.5%116 W · 93 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5495…fc8cbacked Under | 58c | 50.5$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.26 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 64c | 50.42$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x25ed…3e98backed Over | 49c | 49.25$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.24 | 257 | 48.2%124 W · 133 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0448…5a75backed Over | 50c | 48.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.25 | 304 | 46.4%141 W · 163 L | -25.6wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5c96…0a39backed Over | 48c | 46.42$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.28 | 153 | 52.3%80 W · 73 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 58c | 44.91$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.77 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 38c | 44.74$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.06 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Over | 48c | 40.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 1,197 | 53.9%645 W · 552 L | +42.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59d7…f69dbacked Under | 53c | 40.34$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.96 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Under | 49c | 38.93$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.78 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0e…b0babacked Under | 51c | 38.06$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.65 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x829a…a748backed Under | 52c | 37.35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.93 | 187 | 51.9%97 W · 90 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Under | 52c | 37.35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.93 | 217 | 46.5%101 W · 116 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x033c…b4afbacked Under | 53c | 36.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.31 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1101…5de1backed Under | 53c | 36.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Under | 51c | 36.64$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.99 | 1,057 | 50.2%531 W · 526 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd281…d824backed Over | 47c | 33.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 104 | 49%51 W · 53 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Over | 47c | 33.79$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.04 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | +8.9wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…2632backed Under | 62c | 33.67$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.74 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 51c | 32.77$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.81 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32eb…f531backed Under | 66c | 32.28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.82 | 95 | 62.1%59 W · 36 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe00b…256fbacked Over | 48c | 30.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 67c | 29.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2801…ebdcbacked Over | 48c | 27.69$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +6.8wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 50c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.93 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 47c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 297 | 52.5%156 W · 141 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Over | 45c | 23.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 677 | 42.2%286 W · 391 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Under | 62c | 22.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…3107backed Under | 66c | 22.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 125 | 72%90 W · 35 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Under | 52c | 22.41$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.76 | 465 | 57.2%266 W · 199 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…b635backed Under | 56c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.18 | 167 | 34.7%58 W · 109 L | -17.3wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5this page
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Toronto Blue JaysToronto Blue Jays won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 6.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cleveland Guardians vs. Toronto Blue JaysYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.