TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x21c2…32f8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
67
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Other European Leagues, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Other European Leagues at 57 out of 100; worst NHL at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT1758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.7wins+0.16per pick43cpaid+30.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC København vs. Vejle BK: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.84
FC København vs. Vejle BK: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.85
Spread: FC København (-2.5)backed FC København · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+203%+$33.82
FC København vs. Vejle BK: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+72.9%+$90.21
Spread: Sporting CP (-1.5)backed Sporting CP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.31
Galatasaray SK vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$33.51
Tromsø IL vs. Sandefjord Fotball: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.9
Tromsø IL vs. Sandefjord Fotball: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.24
Hamarkameratene vs. IK Start: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$19.68
Will Motherwell FC win on 2026-04-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.05
Silkeborg IF vs. Randers FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.4
Dundee United FC vs. Dundee FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.14
Will FC Utrecht win on 2026-04-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$22.73
Will SBV Excelsior win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+76.6%+$92.69
SBV Excelsior vs. FC Utrecht: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+288.7%+$138.38
SBV Excelsior vs. FC Utrecht: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$103.35
SBV Excelsior vs. FC Utrecht: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$54.6
All 17 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT1330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-36.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Millonarios FC win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.14
Spread: Millonarios FC (-1.5)backed Millonarios FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.75
Will Independiente del Valle win on 2026-04-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.45
Spread: CR Flamengo (-1.5)backed CR Flamengo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$211Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$74.22
CA Mineiro vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+114.4%+$83.66
Club Santos Laguna vs. CF Monterrey: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.27
Spread: CF Monterrey (-1.5)backed CF Monterrey · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.03
Will CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2026-04-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.36
Will CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.79
CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$18.21
Will Atlético San Luis win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.61
Will Santos FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.71
Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$244.74
All 13 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Los Angeles Galaxy win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$298.37
Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Real Salt Lake: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$33.18
Will San Diego FC win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$243Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+100%+$243.11
Spread: San Diego FC (-1.5)backed San Diego FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.97
Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$14.59
Will St. Louis City SC win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$34.54
Will Nashville SC win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.73
Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$78
Will D.C. United SC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$39.99
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$233Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$232.99
All 10 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+28.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+23.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-46.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.62
Lakers vs. Rockets: 1H Moneylinebacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$44.9
Scoot Henderson: Assists O/U 2.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.51
All 3 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick67cpaid-56.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.54
Will VfL Bochum win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$44.23
VfL Bochum vs. SpVgg Greuther Fürth: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.1
All 3 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bruins vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.09
Avalanche vs. Kings: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.31
Spread: Bruins (-1.5)backed Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.37
All 3 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)backed Manchester United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.15
Manchester United FC vs. Brentford FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$14.41
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Beneil Dariush vs. Quillan Salkilld (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Quillan Salkilld · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+25%+$18.38
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cleveland Guardians vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.54
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.