Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will SBV Excelsior win on 2026-04-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4a9133aa7689e47df4bac5c1102a32dbe60e7710f1ca4e8def2dc32b8d99cfbf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,762
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,683
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,762 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 30c | 2,051$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,435.62 | 108 | 25%27 W · 81 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 24c | 1,822$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.35 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 56c | 1,390$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.96 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x70dc…1317backed No | 6c | 787.9$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.18 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.9wins | -0.26per pick | 52cpaid | -51%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Yes | 58c | 752.17$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.91 | 191 | 56.5%108 W · 83 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed No | 70c | 500$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No | 70c | 490.8$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.56 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c38…291fbacked No | 7c | 466.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.71 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed No | 70c | 400$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 97 | 61.9%60 W · 37 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed No | 70c | 400$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 79c | 362.65$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.93 | 133 | 36.1%48 W · 85 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 9c | 358.18$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.42 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 44c | 264.07$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.4 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked No | 70c | 250$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 104 | 58.7%61 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 15c | 247.08$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.74 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…32f8backed Yes | 57c | 213.62$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.69 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 29c | 177.08$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.73 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b4f…7b2dbacked Yes | 30c | 172.73$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.91 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…9a4cbacked No | 72c | 136.56$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.32 | 20 | 85%17 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.15per pick | 70cpaid | +26%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd466…8f57backed No | 72c | 135.84$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.32 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 30c | 135.36$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.15 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 28c | 121.11$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.61 | 306 | 46.7%143 W · 163 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x030d…8e95backed Yes | 57c | 109.71$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.24 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed No | 72c | 109.24$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.66 | 206 | 47.6%98 W · 108 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4db3…c1eabacked No | 36c | 102.18$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.26 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb70…01c0backed No | 70c | 101.12$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e2…c751backed No | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 102 | 63.7%65 W · 37 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked No | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 60c | 97.6$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.04 | 130 | 56.2%73 W · 57 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 26c | 96.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.39 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 28c | 88.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.5 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 28c | 86.31$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.14 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 72c | 81.13$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.42 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6070…88a8backed No | 33c | 80.63$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.86 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 70c | 75$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5154…ea77backed No | 71c | 66.18$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 66c | 61.66$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.96 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7206…0dcbbacked No | 71c | 55.36$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.3 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x08ab…b36fbacked No | 71c | 55.36$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.3 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Yes | 28c | 54.07$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.93 | 130 | 36.9%48 W · 82 L | -11.9wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdcea…8d00backed Yes | 30c | 52.97$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.08 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +298.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked No | 70c | 51.29$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.9 | 132 | 65.2%86 W · 46 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 32c | 50.8$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.44 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 71c | 50.25$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.68 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 536 | 55.2%296 W · 240 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0348…3d81backed No | 34c | 46.7$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 30c | 44.35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.04 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4a…f43dbacked No | 35c | 40.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 28c | 37.05$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 479 | 26.9%129 W · 350 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 70c | 37.02$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.91 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 70c | 36.66$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.66 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce0…2b8abacked Yes | 80c | 34.64$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…3d0ebacked No | 49c | 33.14$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 71c | 32.8$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.15 | 273 | 52.7%144 W · 129 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2d…d35bbacked No | 45c | 29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +27%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Yes | 68c | 27.16$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 104 | 55.8%58 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4f…e9f1backed Yes | 78c | 25.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 70c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 142 | 57.7%82 W · 60 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e27…9967backed Yes | 56c | 21.83$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 67c | 19.24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.35 | 447 | 68%304 W · 143 L | +52.8wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SBV Excelsior win on 2026-04-26?this page
- Will FC Utrecht win on 2026-04-26?No won
- Will SBV Excelsior vs. FC Utrecht end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.