Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will SBV Excelsior vs. FC Utrecht end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2fde1a25d3dbcee457d6837fa838ee2229f1f09c8f63a3f497ff26762fe8971b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,920
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,640
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,920 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbe87…6fc0backed No | 73c | 3,914$2,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.88 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 28c | 1,914$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.81 | 108 | 25%27 W · 81 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 28c | 1,913$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.32 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2be0…6deebacked Yes | 1c | 1,711$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 6c | 1,699$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.33 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 27c | 1,284$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.67 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 72c | 1,139$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.99 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3859…3070backed Yes | 12c | 996.3$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.72 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed No | 72c | 480.82$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.63 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed No | 72c | 400$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No | 72c | 400$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 28c | 341.71$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.68 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 27c | 300$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked No | 72c | 250$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 104 | 58.7%61 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked No | 72c | 249.99$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 72c | 242.87$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 140 | 50%70 W · 70 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 6c | 214.62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.08 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 72c | 187.75$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.57 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 8c | 186.35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 133 | 36.1%48 W · 85 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 27c | 180.76$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.81 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yes | 28c | 170.86$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.84 | 178 | 36.5%65 W · 113 L | -18.7wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -34%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed No | 72c | 150$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 82 | 58.5%48 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 26c | 145.43$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 306 | 46.7%143 W · 163 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 27c | 143.45$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.98 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 76c | 121.69$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.52 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd55…c9bfbacked Yes | 28c | 119.6$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.49 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe497…2b89backed Yes | 27c | 106.24$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.69 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 73c | 100.5$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.13 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked No | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 132 | 65.2%86 W · 46 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes | 26c | 99.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc112…d1efbacked Yes | 27c | 70.83$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.12 | 63 | 22.2%14 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed No | 75c | 48.79$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.11 | 155 | 48.4%75 W · 80 L | -12.0wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d33…4af5backed No | 74c | 46.56$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.11 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 26c | 41.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 72c | 35.71$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31c8…9487backed No | 75c | 19.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.92 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed No | 71c | 15.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36f2…a6fabacked No | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 73c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 217 | 55.3%120 W · 97 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SBV Excelsior vs. FC Utrecht end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Utrecht win on 2026-04-26?No won
- Will SBV Excelsior win on 2026-04-26?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.