TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9ce0…2b8a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
369
Categories scored
25
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Middle East, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 56 out of 100; worst Commodities at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT8256.1%46 W · 36 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 82 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valencia vs. Barcelonabacked Valencia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$132.2
La Laguna Tenerife vs. Barcelonabacked La Laguna Tenerife · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.2
Barcelona vs. La Laguna Tenerifebacked La Laguna Tenerife · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Valencia vs. Bilbao Basketbacked Valencia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$385Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+101.4%+$390.1
CB Murcia vs. Barcelonabacked CB Murcia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Shanghai Sharks vs. Zhejiang Lionsbacked Shanghai Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$267Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+68.5%+$183
Basket Zaragoza vs. CB Murciabacked CB Murcia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+37%+$18.9
Real Madrid vs. CB Breogan Lugobacked Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.79
Panathinaikos vs. Valenciabacked Panathinaikos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$126
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. Real Madridbacked Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+37%+$16.2
Valencia vs. Panathinaikosbacked Panathinaikos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$31
Basquet Club Andorra vs. CB Murciabacked CB Murcia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+93%+$11.77
Xinjiang Flying Tigers vs. Shanghai Sharksbacked Shanghai Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$9.07
Guangdong Southern Tigers vs. Ningbo Rocketsbacked Guangdong Southern Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+153%+$23.31
Manresa vs. Joventutbacked Joventut · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$178.5
CB Murcia vs. Granadabacked CB Murcia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$7.96
BC Dubai vs. Anadolu Efesbacked BC Dubai · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.4
Monaco vs. Barcelonabacked Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.54
Ningbo Rockets vs. Zhejiang Lionsbacked Zhejiang Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+119.5%+$28.89
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. Olympiacos B.C.backed Olympiacos B.C. · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$15.66
Anadolu Efes vs. Partizanbacked Partizan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.38
Monaco vs. ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbannebacked Monaco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$10.85
Zalgiris Kaunas vs. BC Dubaibacked Zalgiris Kaunas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.12
Tianjin Pioneers vs. Ningbo Rocketsbacked Ningbo Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.32
Saski Baskonia vs. Real Madridbacked Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.73
Showing 25 of 82 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT6250%31 W · 31 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 62 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-05-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$821Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+70.5%+$579
Will UD Almería win on 2026-05-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$52.2
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$10.35
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+269.4%+$98.45
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.5
Will Levante UD win on 2026-05-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+106.6%+$144.5
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$34.5
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$17.6
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$10.85
Will CD Mirandés win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+83.6%+$36.22
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.76
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-04-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$197.02
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+33.8%+$8.71
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.06
Will Elche CF win on 2026-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$21.71
Will Girona FC win on 2026-04-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.77
Will Sevilla FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.02
Will FC Barcelona vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.43
Will Elche CF win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$384Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$713.89
Will Girona FC win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.92
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$19.7
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$168.75
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$293Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$293.15
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+100%+$20
Showing 25 of 62 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT4254.8%23 W · 19 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$457Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$456.5
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
Suns vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$213Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$270.59
Pistons vs. Hornetsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+150%+$289.2
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Lakers vs. Sunsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Magic vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+49.3%+$19.8
Lakers vs. Clippersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Bulls vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Warriors vs. Mavericksbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Rockets vs. 76ersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Raptors vs. Kingsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+56.3%+$11.25
Pistons vs. Pelicansbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+26.6%+$5.32
Heat vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+51.5%+$7.73
Celtics vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+75.4%+$15.09
Pelicans vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+69.5%+$13.9
Thunder vs. Rocketsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+58.7%+$8.81
Grizzlies vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+49.3%+$7.39
Suns vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+100%+$25
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+40.8%+$10.21
Timberwolves vs. Bucksbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+132.6%+$19.88
Lakers vs. Kingsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Celtics vs. Pacersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Bucks vs. Nuggetsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Spurs vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT3745.9%17 W · 20 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Petrocub Hînceşti win on 2026-07-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.49
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,787Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,787.1
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+503.5%+$291.99
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$343Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$343
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$139.51
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,598Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+112.1%+$1,791
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$21.22
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$263Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$232.94
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$13.5
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$18.61
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.2
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$68
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+113.2%+$29.2
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+132.8%+$31.37
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.5
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+83.3%+$54.55
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$16.1
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$259.79
Will FC Internazionale Milano vs. FK Bodø/Glimt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$15.3
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+61.3%+$11.4
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$14.2
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,154Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+36%+$415.98
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2846.4%13 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+18.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+529.9%+$268.15
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.8
Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+179.7%+$64.25
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+300%+$45
Exact Score: England 0 - 0 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.8
Will France win the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$627Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$626.99
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.76
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$147
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,170Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+59.9%+$700.2
Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$81
Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.6
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.8
Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+25%+$20
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.6
Will Netherlands vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$55.2
Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$79.2
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.7
Will Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$61
Will Senegal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$28
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$480
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$26
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT2846.4%13 W · 15 L-3.8wins-0.14per pick60cpaid-29.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Premier League — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.85
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$60
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$18
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.55
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.09
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.95
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$466Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$465.5
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$591Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+71.9%+$425.17
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$232.4
Will Birmingham City FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$201
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$46.79
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$58.2
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+75.4%+$15.05
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$675Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+29.9%+$201.67
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+60%+$26.25
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+51.5%+$23.8
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+35.1%+$39
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+31.9%+$14.5
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$289Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+56%+$161.5
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$23.45
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$14.4
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$87
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+25.3%+$50.5
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT2560%15 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverevbacked Jannik Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$38
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverevbacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Roland Garros WTA: Diane Parry vs Amanda Anisimovabacked Diane Parry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$11
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$138
Roland Garros ATP: Adolfo Vallejo vs Moise Kouamebacked Moise Kouame · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$28.8
Roland Garros ATP: Vit Kopriva vs Corentin Moutetbacked Vit Kopriva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+59.3%+$39.1
Roland Garros ATP: Thomas Faurel vs Valentin Vacherotbacked Valentin Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+25.1%+$30.06
Geneva Open: Mariano Navone vs Learner Tienbacked Mariano Navone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Victoria Mboko vs Emma Navarrobacked Emma Navarro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$35
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Andrey Rublevbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.82
Tunis: Inaki Montes vs Alex Barrenabacked Alex Barrena · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$343Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$342.55
Abidjan 2: Gauthier Onclin vs Eliakim Coulibalybacked Eliakim Coulibaly · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$69
La Bisbal: Xinyu Wang vs Alina Charaevabacked Xinyu Wang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.79
Madrid Open: Alexander Bublik vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$13.03
Madrid Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Fabian Marozsanbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$217Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$68.63
Madrid Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Sofia Keninbacked Sofia Kenin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$57
Madrid Open: Magdalena Frech vs Solana Sierrabacked Solana Sierra · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$21.71
Madrid Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$22.97
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Jannik Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$35.31
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovicbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Australian Open Men's: Lorenzo Musetti vs Tomas Machacbacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+66.7%+$13.33
Australian Open Men's: Francisco Cerundolo vs Andrey Rublevbacked Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Australian Open Men's: Tommy Paul vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+49.3%+$9.85
Australian Open Men's: Jaume Munar vs Casper Ruudbacked Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+44.9%+$11.23
Australian Open Men's: Lorenzo Musetti vs Raphael Collignonbacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+29.9%+$5.38
All 25 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick59cpaid+30.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+150%+$60
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$128
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$20.5
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$48
US forces enter Iran by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$8.75
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$8.4
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+49.3%+$6.6
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+26.6%+$6.65
All 9 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$234Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+113.7%+$266
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.8
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.5
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-04-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$9.52
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+134.4%+$25.8
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$562Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$562.49
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$95.8
Will Le Havre AC win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+117.4%+$13.5
All 9 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagueslast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick64cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+51.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Commodities — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+175.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+300%+$75
Epstein blackmail evidence released by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+51.5%+$10.3
All 2 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-25.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hyperlend FDV above $20M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+49.3%+$11.55
No airdrop in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$8.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+33.3%+$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Ducks vs. Oilers backed Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$31.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on May 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$392Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$392
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 1080-1119 tweets in April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Massachusetts Minutemen vs. Miami (OH) RedHawksbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.17
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.