La Liga · resolved market
Will CD Mirandés win on 2026-04-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x21383dc5bdff47c95a2875bb49e44fd05c4586a3af1a4a227c5bfc839699c788
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,217
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,765
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,217 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 51c | 5,881$3,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,003.98 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7402…8020backed Yes | 52c | 3,609$1,861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,747.82 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.39per pick | 33cpaid | +162.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 75c | 2,342$1,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.21 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Yes | 58c | 906.12$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.34 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f89…e85bbacked Yes | 44c | 499.98$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.98 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +3.7wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 58c | 451.11$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.37 | 999 | 33.4%334 W · 665 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 44c | 445.4$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.9 | 839 | 39.8%334 W · 505 L | -21.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked Yes | 45c | 382.64$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.45 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +4.9wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e07…80d1backed Yes | 53c | 359.13$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.79 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Yes | 41c | 352.9$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.21 | 171 | 28.1%48 W · 123 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 59c | 345.99$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.61 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 37c | 300$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.65 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafb2…0942backed Yes | 55c | 265.45$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.5 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +5.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x65d2…8320backed Yes | 55c | 265.36$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.41 | 112 | 64.3%72 W · 40 L | +10.3wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked No | 44c | 264.3$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.27 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked No | 55c | 245.18$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.85 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb475…978cbacked Yes | 48c | 200$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4a…f43dbacked No | 5c | 188.94$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 53c | 174.63$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.11 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 44c | 145$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.13 | 458 | 41%188 W · 270 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 54c | 141.2$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.65 | 922 | 54.1%499 W · 423 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 33c | 135.78$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.74 | 202 | 41.6%84 W · 118 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4148…4397backed Yes | 40c | 120.5$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.3 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked No | 55c | 120.05$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.03 | 105 | 56.2%59 W · 46 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 55c | 99.96$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.98 | 238 | 55.9%133 W · 105 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 75c | 84.13$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.4 | 635 | 53.1%337 W · 298 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce0…2b8abacked Yes | 54c | 79.55$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.22 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed No | 44c | 72.63$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.67 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Yes | 45c | 68.66$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.76 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7f…7aecbacked Yes | 52c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…0dbdbacked Yes | 40c | 55.44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.25 | 45 | 17.8%8 W · 37 L | -5.1wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x014e…f695backed Yes | 45c | 49.42$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.18 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c71…c0e5backed Yes | 71c | 48.44$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dbe…9013backed Yes | 47c | 48.41$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.66 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Yes | 49c | 46.41$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.67 | 145 | 52.4%76 W · 69 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x639f…6b8dbacked Yes | 55c | 46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 27c | 45$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 413 | 23.2%96 W · 317 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Yes | 31c | 44.38$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.63 | 240 | 48.3%116 W · 124 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b25…439fbacked No | 55c | 43$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02d…16cabacked Yes | 45c | 42.85$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.51 | 200 | 47.5%95 W · 105 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x129b…190abacked Yes | 45c | 42.56$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.21 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf18…af99backed Yes | 46c | 42.07$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.72 | 270 | 55.2%149 W · 121 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…81e0backed Yes | 31c | 42.05$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.11 | 77 | 44.2%34 W · 43 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9631…a38cbacked Yes | 45c | 41.58$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.87 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 52c | 41.04$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.67 | 262 | 41.2%108 W · 154 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 53c | 40.61$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.62 | 277 | 58.5%162 W · 115 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 49c | 39.73$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.34 | 160 | 40%64 W · 96 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9f…8e23backed Yes | 47c | 37.66$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.96 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x628d…a012backed Yes | 54c | 36.01$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.57 | 109 | 37.6%41 W · 68 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 77c | 35.68$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 413 | 48.7%201 W · 212 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033c…b4afbacked No | 51c | 35.53$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.12 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes | 45c | 31.22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.17 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcf…6c9bbacked Yes | 47c | 30.9$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.38 | 176 | 43.8%77 W · 99 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed No | 53c | 30.27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.16 | 261 | 54.4%142 W · 119 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Yes | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.85 | 202 | 53.5%108 W · 94 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed No | 55c | 29.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 153 | 44.4%68 W · 85 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 46c | 28.92$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.69 | 444 | 24.1%107 W · 337 L | -50.1wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 55c | 24.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.67 | 126 | 53.2%67 W · 59 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…bb76backed No | 46c | 21.53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dd…a04ebacked Yes | 53c | 20.17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.48 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +5.6wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Yes | 56c | 18.18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 163 | 63.8%104 W · 59 L | +32.3wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CD Mirandés win on 2026-04-26?this page
- Will CD Mirandés vs. Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa end in a draw?No won
- Will Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa win on 2026-04-26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.