TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x65d2…8320

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
188
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: La Liga, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 58 out of 100; worst Tennis at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT11264.3%72 W · 40 L+10.3wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+16.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
La Liga — the 112 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$534Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$534.48
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,046Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+47.3%+$494.91
Will Real Sporting de Gijón win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$198
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$441Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$154.92
Will Elche CF win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$359.76
Sevilla FC vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$243Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$242.56
Will RC Deportivo La Coruña win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+74.8%+$523.46
Will FC Andorra win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$484Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$412.58
Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,980Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$848.49
Will Córdoba CF win on 2026-05-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$494Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$494.04
Will CD Castellón win on 2026-05-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$780Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$780
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$990Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$295.83
Deportivo Alavés vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$290
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-05-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$269.23
CA Osasuna vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+66.8%+$200.34
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Levante UD: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$493Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$356.99
Will SD Huesca win on 2026-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$202.22
FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will CD Leganés win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$179.71
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$191.8
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-05-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$431.71
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$249.8
Will Elche CF win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$197
Will UD Almería win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$465Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+47.5%+$221.01
Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+81.9%+$237.58
Showing 25 of 112 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT2065%13 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$246Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$246.5
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$493Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$371.81
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$165
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$820Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$335.12
Kylian Mbappe: Anytime Goalscorerbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$238Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$247.2
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$928Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$309.29
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$287.87
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$84.62
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$123.81
Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$357Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$145.75
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+96.5%+$122.02
Newcastle United FC vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$128.38
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+81.8%+$245.45
Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5)backed FC Internazionale Milano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$89
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Club Brugge KV: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+66.7%+$79.33
Will Club Brugge KV win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Club Brugge KV vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+72.4%+$122.38
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+132.6%+$267.91
All 20 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1872.2%13 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+14.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$21.14
Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$7.85
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+150%+$270
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$155.56
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$592Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$176.85
Manchester United FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$132.99
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-05-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$224.65
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$223Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$197.35
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$489Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$240.91
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$390.4
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-03-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$255.4
Will Everton FC win on 2026-03-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$382Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$382
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+33.3%+$62.67
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+104.1%+$520.41
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+38.9%+$155.56
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$164.4
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$402Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+29.9%+$119.99
All 18 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.15per pick63cpaid+34.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$548Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$547.9
Will SV Werder Bremen win on 2026-04-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$396Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$153.91
1. FC Köln vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$391Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$210.33
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$464Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+33.8%+$156.59
VfB Stuttgart vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$158.89
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$253Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$113.67
Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-03-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+203%+$203.03
SC Freiburg vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+69.5%+$127.17
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+63.9%+$93.34
All 9 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+23.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick61cpaid+45.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-2.4wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+48.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$15.21
76ers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$362Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+25%+$90.58
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Türkiye win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$98.39
Will Italy win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$418Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$111.09
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$164.82
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$46.77
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick76cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$985Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$310.99
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-02-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$370Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$370
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+131.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+131.1%+$186.62
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$108.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$41.94
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valencia vs. Panathinaikosbacked Valencia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.