Bundesliga · resolved market
Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-03-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb484bc035d401279596f78d44b41292717542f2e5b64d05d75a41f258bce5552
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $398,009
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $398,009 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 203 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 55c | 52,897$29,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,050.57 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…dc5cbacked No | 30c | 14,613$4,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,181.4 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 41cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…3b26backed No | 33c | 10,000$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,699.96 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.40per pick | 48cpaid | +86.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe133…74dcbacked Yes | 12c | 8,532$1,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,053.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 46c | 7,952$3,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,305.13 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe0c…04b6backed Yes | 64c | 5,771$3,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,721.62 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…d4bfbacked No | 70c | 4,285$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,285.5 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 68cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 13c | 3,729$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.98 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked No | 33c | 3,480$1,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,331.52 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…9762backed No | 35c | 3,323$1,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,159.83 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +7.0wins | +0.16per pick | 32cpaid | +260.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed No | 31c | 2,807$873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,933.84 | 106 | 41.5%44 W · 62 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked No | 45c | 2,799$1,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,527.85 | 143 | 15.4%22 W · 121 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…15ecbacked No | 65c | 2,695$1,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$943.12 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +8.5wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 41c | 2,639$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080.25 | 446 | 55.4%247 W · 199 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 34c | 2,571$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,691.03 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…87efbacked Yes | 80c | 2,511$2,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,001.81 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 41c | 2,384$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,403.19 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7d…5a77backed Yes | 12c | 2,230$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 12c | 1,900$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 40c | 1,794$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.23 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d22…ec35backed Yes | 58c | 1,690$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 43c | 1,667$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.3 | 306 | 47.1%144 W · 162 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…7e41backed No | 24c | 1,667$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,266.67 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 11c | 1,650$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.46 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +95.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Yes | 12c | 1,640$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.79 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed No | 34c | 1,488$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988.41 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x203d…2b2cbacked Yes | 73c | 1,355$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995.12 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +82.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0463…46fdbacked Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd196…cbb8backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b8d…6d3bbacked No | 36c | 991.67$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.67 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 34c | 979.9$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.43 | 96 | 46.9%45 W · 51 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…fd24backed Yes | 76c | 827.17$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…3653backed No | 40c | 750$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…764ebacked No | 46c | 712.67$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.84 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x852d…c3dfbacked Yes | 72c | 694.44$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d50…436fbacked Yes | 73c | 684.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4306…618abacked No | 34c | 673.53$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.53 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 72c | 658.63$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.35 | 113 | 56.6%64 W · 49 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01b5…8ccfbacked Yes | 67c | 597.01$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Yes | 61c | 557$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.63 | 186 | 44.1%82 W · 104 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 72c | 500$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 486 | 58.6%285 W · 201 L | +44.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked No | 61c | 469.19$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.76 | 95 | 32.6%31 W · 64 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc8…47d0backed Yes | 32c | 460.64$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.42 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…afa6backed No | 33c | 454.55$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.55 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 68c | 431$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.84 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa06f…64fcbacked Yes | 69c | 422.42$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c29…87dcbacked Yes | 27c | 417.74$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.79 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 36cpaid | +147.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4457…f3e2backed No | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +6.2wins | +0.41per pick | 32cpaid | +151.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x797e…fc29backed Yes | 11c | 390.91$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 42c | 364.39$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.76 | 245 | 41.6%102 W · 143 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7409…65a6backed Yes | 34c | 355.89$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.05 | 59 | 64.4%38 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 35c | 353.73$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.53 | 160 | 46.9%75 W · 85 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 56c | 339.1$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.99 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 44c | 319.01$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.17 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Yes | 27c | 314.99$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.05 | 176 | 52.3%92 W · 84 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x934c…d02bbacked Yes | 64c | 311.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.55 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb263…6275backed No | 29c | 306.03$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.28 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b0…f879backed Yes | 33c | 305.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65d2…8320backed No | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.03 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 12c | 300$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked Yes | 12c | 300$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffff…4413backed No | 59c | 297.38$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.04 | 121 | 41.3%50 W · 71 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked No | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89f9…eb5fbacked Yes | 69c | 291.27$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1968…545fbacked Yes | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9bb…4066backed Yes | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…19e9backed Yes | 12c | 273.58$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.83 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Yes | 11c | 272.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +29%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0592…49aabacked No | 58c | 270$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.68 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.25per pick | 46cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbefe…2d45backed Yes | 27c | 269.56$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.78 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24cb…1f0cbacked Yes | 75c | 266.97$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb9…afbbbacked Yes | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc677…ac6abacked Yes | 12c | 265$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf591…39c8backed Yes | 61c | 258.21$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.36 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1871…59e6backed Yes | 77c | 250$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.5 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked No | 33c | 240.24$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.96 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 38c | 230.76$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.77 | 398 | 57.5%229 W · 169 L | +20.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa743…7300backed No | 36c | 211.11$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12f1…3cd3backed No | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1653…24b0backed Yes | 65c | 195.78$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.26 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab20…e6a0backed Yes | 60c | 193.43$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x412c…2d87backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…a606backed Yes | 39c | 180.96$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6070…88a8backed No | 46c | 176.9$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.55 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.22per pick | 37cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3129…22edbacked Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -34%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Yes | 61c | 159.56$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.42 | 177 | 49.7%88 W · 89 L | -10.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…d90ebacked Yes | 43c | 155.32$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.26 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Yes | 61c | 152.15$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.96 | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Yes | 50c | 150.62$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.03 | 108 | 65.7%71 W · 37 L | +8.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe592…691abacked Yes | 77c | 150$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.75 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.31per pick | 59cpaid | -62%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 12c | 149.89$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.78 | 97 | 21.6%21 W · 76 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42f8…f96fbacked Yes | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6981…2521backed Yes | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3754…9c94backed Yes | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2afa…61f6backed Yes | 11c | 148.22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -38%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ec…fd3fbacked Yes | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 66cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0809…b2f4backed Yes | 71c | 143.22$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked No | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x750d…566bbacked Yes | 20c | 138$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.04 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Yes | 15c | 138$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 164 | 64%105 W · 59 L | +28.5wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-03-21?this page
- Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Hamburger SV end in a draw?No won
- Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-03-21?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.