TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf9bb…4066

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
38
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Tennis, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 58 out of 100; worst CS2 at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT1291.7%11 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.21per pick71cpaid+31.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Tennis — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Aleksandar Vukic vs Patrick Kypsonbacked Aleksandar Vukic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$31.14
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Matteo Arnaldi vs Jaume Munarbacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$56.54
La Bisbal: Xinyu Wang vs Alina Charaevabacked Alina Charaeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+25.1%+$23.98
Jiujiang: Rio Noguchi vs Coleman Wongbacked Coleman Wong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$24.67
Sao Leopoldo: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogibacked Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$167.83
Bucharest Open: Damir Dzumhur vs Filip Jianubacked Damir Dzumhur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$449Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$149.51
Grand Prix Hassan II: Henrique Rocha vs Marco Trungellitibacked Marco Trungelliti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$326Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+43.5%+$141.81
Grand Prix Hassan II: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Kamil Majchrzakbacked Kamil Majchrzak · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$28.18
Bucharest Open: Christopher O'Connell vs Mariano Navonebacked Mariano Navone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$184Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+40.9%+$75.26
Credit One Charleston Open: Solana Sierra vs Akasha Urhobobacked Akasha Urhobo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$214Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$63.86
US Men's Clay Court Championships, Qualification: Darwin Blanch vs Genaro Alberto Olivieribacked Darwin Blanch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$53.16
Miami Open: Zizou Bergs vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Tomas Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+26.8%+$59.05
All 12 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-27.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+27.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Utah vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$16.19
Senators vs. Lightningbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.38
Panthers vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$56.25
Jets vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+67.7%+$223.57
All 4 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$63.64
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.77
Trail Blazers vs. Clippers: O/U 226.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$169.13
Pistons vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$33.68
All 4 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.55
LoL: Galions vs Solary (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffsbacked Galions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$24.79
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Louisville Cardinals vs. Michigan Wolverines (W)backed Louisville Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$245
Texas Longhorns vs. Purdue Boilermakersbacked Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$24.16
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$478Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$127.01
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: MODUS vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - European Pro League Group Bbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$37
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+36.6%+$109.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pakistan Super League: Lahore Qalandars vs Hyderabad Kingsmenbacked Lahore Qalandars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+30.5%+$47.35
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Metz win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Mets vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Melbourne City FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.