TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Panthers vs. Islanders

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Islandersof Panthers, Islanders
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$947,154
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$906,889

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $947,154 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 645 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x03e8…1697backed Islanders64c453,099$289,746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163,353.3167051%342 W · 328 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Panthers36c200,000$72,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72,00022443.8%98 W · 126 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Islanders64c79,462$50,528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,934.4336748%176 W · 191 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Panthers35c66,857$23,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,40051550.7%261 W · 254 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Panthers3c50,541$1,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,499.160337.5%226 W · 377 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd92…6b2abacked Panthers36c40,000$14,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,40014650.7%74 W · 72 L+8.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5bec…b215backed Panthers35c34,249$11,987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,987.1616442.7%70 W · 94 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Islanders64c33,730$21,737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,992.5761950.1%310 W · 309 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb68…a240backed Panthers39c16,000$6,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,16050049.6%248 W · 252 L+16.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Panthers35c15,873$5,608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,608.281,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Islanders65c15,158$9,788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,369.811,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Panthers36c15,000$5,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,399.8712950.4%65 W · 64 L+10.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+13.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed Panthers36c14,622$5,264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,26432151.7%166 W · 155 L-1.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Panthers35c14,219$4,982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,982.0659450.8%302 W · 292 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Panthers36c12,006$4,262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,262.111,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Panthers37c11,611$4,277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,277.431,19050.7%603 W · 587 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Panthers37c11,003$4,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,07185250.2%428 W · 424 L-26.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d92…8676backed Panthers36c10,000$3,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,6008252.4%43 W · 39 L+0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Panthers1c9,418$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.142504.8%12 W · 238 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick2cpaid+159.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Panthers36c9,350$3,365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,365.4832251.9%167 W · 155 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Panthers35c9,325$3,301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,301.391,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x62f2…07f8backed Panthers39c9,246$3,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,649.742560%15 W · 10 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+25.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xef23…5b60backed Panthers37c8,483$3,139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,138.5564242.2%271 W · 371 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3233…a4ddbacked Panthers36c8,399$3,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,023.642356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1ae…f001backed Panthers37c8,200$3,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,033.8814954.4%81 W · 68 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Panthers37c8,178$3,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,024.1860249.5%298 W · 304 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebc7…4003backed Panthers36c8,000$2,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,88011553%61 W · 54 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5919…95acbacked Islanders62c7,562$4,723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,838.7712152.1%63 W · 58 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Panthers27c6,976$1,865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,864.5327448.9%134 W · 140 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Panthers38c6,945$2,607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,606.5943548.5%211 W · 224 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed Panthers37c6,722$2,487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,487.1314553.1%77 W · 68 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Panthers37c6,000$2,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,22061748.5%299 W · 318 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Panthers35c5,839$2,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,035.3522747.6%108 W · 119 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9b4…75a0backed Panthers36c5,556$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0008544.7%38 W · 47 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Panthers36c5,540$1,994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,994.45149%25 W · 26 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x607d…53a1backed Panthers36c5,500$1,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,98013446.3%62 W · 72 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1f1…c5f8backed Panthers39c5,008$1,953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,953.281450%7 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Panthers35c4,857$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,70047951.4%246 W · 233 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Islanders63c4,554$2,869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,684.7133450.9%170 W · 164 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Islanders64c4,539$2,905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,633.9624749.8%123 W · 124 L-10.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Panthers46c4,381$2,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,033.2989636.9%331 W · 565 L-30.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Panthers37c4,000$1,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,48027547.6%131 W · 144 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Islanders64c4,000$2,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,44039752.1%207 W · 190 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbbd…d6f0backed Panthers35c3,969$1,389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,389.142060%12 W · 8 L+2.9wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+33%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Islanders60c3,909$2,344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,564.6683652.8%441 W · 395 L+28.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Islanders50c3,850$1,909 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,940.88657%49 W · 37 L+8.5wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+23.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Panthers34c3,683$1,252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,252.2638849.5%192 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Islanders64c3,566$2,273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,292.9886852.4%455 W · 413 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Panthers39c3,500$1,365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,36527850.4%140 W · 138 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ff9…a78bbacked Panthers37c3,329$1,232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,231.786262.9%39 W · 23 L+5.6wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+12.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Panthers41c3,170$1,286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,285.523,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Islanders78c3,155$2,471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$683.71,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Islanders64c3,105$1,978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,127.061,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Panthers1c3,068$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.8854418%98 W · 446 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a2c…dfe7backed Islanders63c3,000$1,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1101353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Panthers37c2,703$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00021849.5%108 W · 110 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed Panthers37c2,540$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$939.844551.2%228 W · 217 L+16.4wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xacae…6798backed Islanders65c2,284$1,485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$799.523850%19 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed Panthers33c2,250$742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$742.487659.2%45 W · 31 L+7.9wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+29.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Islanders63c2,222$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$822.1286649.9%432 W · 434 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Panthers36c2,078$749 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$748.5279350.1%397 W · 396 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Islanders65c2,051$1,331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$720.0533234.3%114 W · 218 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-24.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Panthers37c2,000$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74045749.2%225 W · 232 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Panthers36c2,000$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71058352.1%304 W · 279 L+1.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Panthers37c2,000$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74020450%102 W · 102 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed Islanders64c2,000$1,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72021048.1%101 W · 109 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Panthers37c2,000$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$739.9926750.2%134 W · 133 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc08…a137backed Islanders67c1,989$1,338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$651.2430259.6%180 W · 122 L+31.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+16.7%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x56c2…17bfbacked Panthers34c1,953$664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$664.1625447.2%120 W · 134 L-1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9e8…731cbacked Panthers40c1,898$758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$758.076835.3%24 W · 44 L-9.6wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-31.7%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x66a7…3845backed Panthers36c1,848$665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$665.28944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Islanders60c1,770$1,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$704.6527739.4%109 W · 168 L-13.5wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-21.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x92fc…2f25backed Panthers36c1,769$637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6371353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+14.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x782b…ff64backed Islanders55c1,700$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$760.2132653.1%173 W · 153 L+18.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Panthers47c1,693$794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$794.161,20260.1%722 W · 480 L+51.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x13ea…9a8cbacked Panthers37c1,671$617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$617.2540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0a0…e880backed Islanders64c1,666$1,066 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2838…e27fbacked Panthers36c1,609$579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579.331656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+19.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x55fb…a3acbacked Panthers49c1,582$776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$776.363560%21 W · 14 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdcaf…c830backed Islanders68c1,576$1,067 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508.076355.6%35 W · 28 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked Islanders69c1,574$1,084 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.0113343.6%58 W · 75 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x30d9…41c7backed Panthers37c1,557$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$575.992458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5318…1118backed Islanders65c1,538$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.464372.1%31 W · 12 L+7.7wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+31.6%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Panthers35c1,486$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.9683149.5%411 W · 420 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc070…203abacked Panthers36c1,399$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50015252%79 W · 73 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x54b4…f93bbacked Panthers1c1,388$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-26.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Panthers37c1,378$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515.7886549.1%425 W · 440 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd48d…5182backed Panthers74c1,357$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000650%3 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x01ae…4385backed Panthers36c1,303$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.0820%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Islanders52c1,300$676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62457157.8%330 W · 241 L+12.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Panthers54c1,295$704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704.122,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb4c…6cb0backed Panthers8c1,294$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x033a…fc42backed Panthers36c1,276$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.575646.4%26 W · 30 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb4e…c3c3backed Panthers35c1,269$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44421534.4%74 W · 141 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Panthers41c1,248$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.721,67954.4%914 W · 765 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea0c…434bbacked Panthers37c1,216$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4501361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+20.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x03d9…e693backed Panthers2c1,200$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.85557.3%4 W · 51 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick3cpaid+70.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdff2…2e27backed Islanders64c1,158$742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.926259.7%37 W · 25 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc991…abd4backed Panthers37c1,091$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.6312653.2%67 W · 59 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b3a…df40backed Islanders42c1,044$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$607.581566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+16.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.