TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x55fb…a3ac

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
128
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Middle East, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 56 out of 100; worst UFC at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT3560%21 W · 14 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.29
Will the Ottawa Senators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
Will the Winnipeg Jets win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
Will the Detroit Red Wings win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.31
Golden Knights vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$213Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+72.6%+$154.24
Golden Knights vs. Oilersbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,603Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+55.2%+$884.64
Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)backed Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$9.6
Golden Knights vs. Oilers: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+34%+$16.74
Flyers vs. Islanders: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+134.4%+$34.4
Flyers vs. Islanders: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+50.6%+$30.32
Flyers vs. Islanders: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Blackhawks vs. Oilers: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$11.23
Spread: Oilers (-1.5)backed Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$970Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+34.1%+$331.14
Blackhawks vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,134Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+42.8%+$914.23
Canucks vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$246Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$245.99
Kraken vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$2,898Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+26%+$753.01
Canucks vs. Flamesbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$174.22
Panthers vs. Islandersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$776Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$776.36
Ducks vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$202.47
Kings vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,399Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+59.2%+$828.8
Oilers vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$3,779Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+45.2%+$1,707.69
Sharks vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$5,166Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+76.3%+$3,941.36
Oilers vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$4,264Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+50.7%+$2,160.99
Flames vs. Oilersbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,981Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$1,981.07
Golden Knights vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$3,590Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+26.3%+$945.04
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT2528%7 W · 18 L-4.0wins-0.16per pick44cpaid+12.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
NBA — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+1,338.8%+$783.44
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.91
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.22
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.35
Wizards vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.5
Naji Marshall: Points O/U 18.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Jrue Holiday: Points O/U 13.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+122.2%+$44
Bulls vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+26.6%+$5.32
Jazz vs. Magicbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Jazz vs. Magic: O/U 235.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+85.2%+$18.4
Nicolas Claxton: Rebounds O/U 6.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Dylan Harper: Points O/U 9.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$16.4
Michael Porter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 6.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$25.5
Wizards vs. Pistonsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+316.7%+$63.33
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$71.25
Nikola Jokić: Rebounds O/U 10.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+112.8%+$21.2
Scottie Barnes: Points O/U 17.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$29.4
Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 26.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$22.5
Pascal Siakam: Points O/U 24.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$22.5
Grizzlies vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$33.6
Pistons vs. Celtics: O/U 230.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$44.99
Pistons vs. Celticsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+108.3%+$45.42
Lakers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$24.5
Spread: Hawks (-9.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$101
All 25 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT1315.4%2 W · 11 L-3.0wins-0.23per pick39cpaid-49.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will St. John's win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$69
St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.73
Michigan Wolverines vs. Northwestern Wildcatsbacked Northwestern Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$15.34
Arizona Wildcats vs. Kansas Jayhawksbacked Kansas Jayhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+334.8%+$38.5
USC Upstate Spartans vs. UNC Asheville Bulldogs: O/U 140.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Kansas Jayhawks vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders: O/U 154.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Rhode Island Rams vs. Duquesne Dukes: O/U 144.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles vs. Little Rock Trojansbacked Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14.79
Tulane Green Wave vs. East Carolina Piratesbacked East Carolina Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$43.47
Morgan State Bears vs. Loyola Marymount Lions: O/U 146.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$15.33
Spread: Miami Hurricanes (-36.5)backed North Florida Ospreys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$20.37
Murray State Racers vs. Valparaiso Beacons: O/U 155.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+117.4%+$29.7
Howard Bison vs. Drexel Dragonsbacked Drexel Dragons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$30.6
All 13 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST1020%2 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-67.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$49.45
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$69.61
Jets vs. Billsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$13.11
Chargers vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$16.32
Dolphins vs. Steelers: O/U 42.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Packers vs. Broncosbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$26
Colts vs. Seahawksbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$26
Spread: Seahawks (-13.5)backed Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+42.9%+$8.57
Bills vs. Patriotsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+85.2%+$20.7
Steelers vs. Ravensbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$85
All 10 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-22.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.7wins-0.39per pick53cpaid-74.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
UFC — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+80.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+83.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Earnings — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Grok 4.20 released by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+49.3%+$39.59
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the top US Netflix show this week? (December 30, 2025)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+47.1%+$32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 9, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stable FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+38.2%+$16.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: G2 vs paiN (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+29.9%+$11.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$6.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami Open: Ugo Humbert vs Francisco Cerundolobacked Ugo Humbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $12 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$45.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Dec 25, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spotify's top song on Christmas be 'All I Want For Christmas Is You'?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$60.8
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.