NHL · resolved market

Spread: Oilers (-1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7a0341d95608ed53d423c990dcc257e24c70086fb1c6c408692b90a66de47768

Rebuilt 2 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Oilersof Oilers, Blackhawks
Resolved: Apr 3, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $26,329
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $26,357

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,329 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NHL
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x37c1…c53abacked Oilers	44c	9,784$4,305 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,479.09	515	50.7%261 W · 254 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Blackhawks	56c	9,369$5,247 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,246.56	1,070	49.9%534 W · 536 L	+22.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Blackhawks	55c	2,423$1,340 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,339.88	2,894	51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L	+58.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Oilers	44c	2,000$880 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,119.98	267	50.2%134 W · 133 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55fb…a3acbacked Oilers	75c	1,301$970 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$331.14	35	60%21 W · 14 L	+3.2wins	+0.09per pick	51cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Oilers	45c	1,111$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$611.05	919	45.6%419 W · 500 L	-27.3wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Blackhawks	57c	859.26$486 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$485.74	334	50.9%170 W · 164 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Blackhawks	57c	859.26$486 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$485.74	188	53.2%100 W · 88 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	0%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Blackhawks	57c	859.26$486 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$485.74	191	50.8%97 W · 94 L	-5.3wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-10%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3622…083dbacked Oilers	46c	554.92$256 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$298.43	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	+1.6wins	+0.09per pick	44cpaid	+21.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Oilers	44c	546$241 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$305.3	769	50.3%387 W · 382 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Oilers	44c	539$237 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$301.84	318	48.7%155 W · 163 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec56…dd09backed Oilers	45c	481.46$217 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$264.85	270	49.6%134 W · 136 L	-7.1wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Blackhawks	55c	442.27$243 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$243.25	287	53.3%153 W · 134 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Oilers	51c	408.01$208 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$199.71	1,431	58.3%834 W · 597 L	+81.0wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Blackhawks	53c	373.81$198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$197.84	1,555	51.4%800 W · 755 L	+12.2wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Blackhawks	47c	301.64$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141.75	2,314	46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L	-7.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6c1a…bf0abacked Oilers	45c	299.99$135 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$165	43	53.5%23 W · 20 L	+2.7wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c50…2de6backed Blackhawks	54c	292.84$158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$158.13	78	53.8%42 W · 36 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Oilers	45c	196.2$88 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$107.91	78	38.5%30 W · 48 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Oilers	46c	194.87$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$105.21	210	36.2%76 W · 134 L	-14.6wins	-0.07per pick	43cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3449…abdfbacked Blackhawks	54c	194.48$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.02	42	47.6%20 W · 22 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7193…ae51backed Blackhawks	55c	176.91$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.3	63	71.4%45 W · 18 L	+5.6wins	+0.09per pick	63cpaid	+17.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Blackhawks	56c	173.86$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.36	100	58%58 W · 42 L	+3.5wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Blackhawks	56c	173.86$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.36	138	56.5%78 W · 60 L	+4.9wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Oilers	44c	165.8$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$93.44	2,664	51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L	+58.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Blackhawks	22c	157.74$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.9	1,384	47.1%652 W · 732 L	+25.6wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Oilers	49c	150.2$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.95	823	53.1%437 W · 386 L	+1.8wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe649…4e37backed Oilers	48c	141.71$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.9	317	53.3%169 W · 148 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Oilers	64c	128.66$82 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.48	3,704	50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L	+105.5wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	-4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Blackhawks	44c	128$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.32	2,112	42.9%907 W · 1,205 L	-10.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Blackhawks	16c	117.26$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.24	355	51%181 W · 174 L	+18.9wins	+0.05per pick	46cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x927f…e7e7backed Oilers	45c	113.32$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.33	101	24.8%25 W · 76 L	-11.2wins	-0.11per pick	36cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7810…b011backed Oilers	48c	112.28$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.48	43	46.5%20 W · 23 L	+2.8wins	+0.06per pick	40cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7793…33a6backed Oilers	44c	110.43$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.89	73	52.1%38 W · 35 L	+3.8wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x104b…ed6bbacked Blackhawks	56c	103.29$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.83	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-2.2wins	-0.22per pick	52cpaid	-44.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x72a1…1950backed Oilers	48c	100.92$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.48	106	57.5%61 W · 45 L	+4.9wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2185…b40cbacked Blackhawks	55c	90.49$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.77	90	47.8%43 W · 47 L	-6.8wins	-0.08per pick	55cpaid	-14%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xba2e…7799backed Oilers	46c	74.9$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.16	11	72.7%8 W · 3 L	+3.6wins	+0.33per pick	40cpaid	+103.4%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xae1c…3678backed Oilers	46c	74.63$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.3	156	51.9%81 W · 75 L	+7.1wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Blackhawks	55c	72.98$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.14	152	48%73 W · 79 L	-7.6wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc81a…c368backed Blackhawks	54c	70$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.8	244	42.6%104 W · 140 L	-9.2wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Blackhawks	55c	68.17$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.49	347	52.4%182 W · 165 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc44f…8b04backed Oilers	45c	64.47$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.46	200	46%92 W · 108 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Oilers	59c	61.54$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.94	1,028	53.2%547 W · 481 L	+21.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Oilers	44c	58.95$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.01	135	49.6%67 W · 68 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x166f…b68dbacked Blackhawks	55c	58.38$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.11	26	53.8%14 W · 12 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	57cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xacff…3872backed Oilers	48c	50.03$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.81	63	46%29 W · 34 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea74…cf99backed Oilers	44c	50$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28	167	46.1%77 W · 90 L	-4.0wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Oilers	45c	49.05$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.2	2,754	47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L	+11.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Oilers	59c	47.48$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.49	323	53.9%174 W · 149 L	+9.1wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Blackhawks	61c	46.39$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.23	1,846	57.2%1,055 W · 791 L	+85.0wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Oilers	44c	45.93$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.72	132	53%70 W · 62 L	+3.6wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Oilers	41c	43.71$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.86	1,054	42.5%448 W · 606 L	-25.3wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Oilers	72c	42.28$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.84	1,202	60.1%722 W · 480 L	+51.9wins	+0.04per pick	56cpaid	+15%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x924d…3429backed Oilers	46c	42.07$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.72	90	54.4%49 W · 41 L	+9.7wins	+0.11per pick	44cpaid	+24.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfc53…6bd3backed Oilers	46c	42.07$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.72	540	49.4%267 W · 273 L	-2.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Blackhawks	54c	36.18$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.54	456	51.5%235 W · 221 L	+4.4wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x239d…daebbacked Blackhawks	55c	35.1$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.3	91	56%51 W · 40 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	59cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc32…32f8backed Blackhawks	55c	32.85$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.07	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+1.0wins	+0.09per pick	55cpaid	+15.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Oilers	41c	32.45$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.02	470	24%113 W · 357 L	-44.6wins	-0.09per pick	34cpaid	-32.2%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Blackhawks	37c	32.06$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.89	214	63.1%135 W · 79 L	+16.9wins	+0.08per pick	55cpaid	+11%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6762…a9a5backed Oilers	51c	29.72$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.52	102	60.8%62 W · 40 L	+9.2wins	+0.09per pick	52cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Oilers	63c	28.55$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.63	345	38.6%133 W · 212 L	-15.3wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-20%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0ebb…1e6bbacked Blackhawks	57c	25.33$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.44	120	50.8%61 W · 59 L	-3.5wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc7e…70ecbacked Oilers	43c	25$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.25	203	50.7%103 W · 100 L	+5.1wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Blackhawks	57c	23.49$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.28	276	59.4%164 W · 112 L	+12.6wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6472…81e3backed Blackhawks	55c	22.38$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.31	53	52.8%28 W · 25 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x907d…2c9bbacked Blackhawks	55c	22.38$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.31	49	53.1%26 W · 23 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4aab…38ccbacked Blackhawks	55c	20.45$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.25	235	59.1%139 W · 96 L	+7.6wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e55…f5a3backed Oilers	77c	14.79$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.4	10	70%7 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	68cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Oilers (-1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event