TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Boxing · resolved market

Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $12 million?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Boxingevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,117,758
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,160,906

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,117,758 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 872 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Boxing is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Boxing
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa0f8…b80dbacked Yes42c265,073$110,119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154,954.03560%3 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick36cpaid+100.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4520…b562backed No59c161,001$95,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95,374.87425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-60.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5109…5e9cbacked No0c46,833$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.83100%0 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89cd…4d7dbacked No0c34,000$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid-13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb100…6461backed Yes32c26,989$8,556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,432.294740.4%19 W · 28 L+4.6wins+0.10per pick31cpaid+137.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9648…6825backed No43c24,393$10,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,369.7960%0 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x90ed…b5bcbacked No25c23,762$5,943 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,943.4160%0 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x38e5…95e7backed Yes42c19,936$8,353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,583.271136.4%4 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick28cpaid-20.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdef6…f63abacked No60c18,515$11,197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,197.0620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6bab…1292backed No56c13,618$7,626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,625.9620%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x72a2…7b65backed No61c13,260$8,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,033.54520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-73.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e3b…5d31backed Yes59c13,194$7,743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,450.46742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick25cpaid+62.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5dc4…99adbacked No57c12,459$7,132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,132.3720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b19…98f5backed No69c11,452$7,878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,877.85333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-58.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa881…cd20backed No0c11,396$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.79714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick1cpaid+73.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x70cf…f6cebacked No77c10,717$8,205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,204.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x04bf…7cafbacked Yes40c10,665$4,248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,416.81988.9%8 W · 1 L+3.4wins+0.38per pick51cpaid+77.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0a6d…1d0abacked No14c10,539$1,524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,524.391618.8%3 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick24cpaid-72.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcbd2…bfd9backed Yes45c9,942$4,453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,488.944100%4 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+142.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed No70c9,572$6,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,679.9714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.22per pick37cpaid-80.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb97…eee8backed Yes46c9,500$4,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,174.071656.3%9 W · 7 L+3.3wins+0.21per pick35cpaid+50%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0c7c…fd27backed Yes59c9,010$5,327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,683.22333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-43.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc14d…cbdbbacked No54c7,987$4,337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,336.51757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick66cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57e4…835ebacked No65c7,800$5,069 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,069.311717.6%3 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick28cpaid-68.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f2f…b226backed No58c7,645$4,428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,428.07633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick28cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ae…f471backed No64c7,515$4,797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,797.171241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-41.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd99f…4768backed Yes46c7,251$3,315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,935.733100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+92.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4440…959abacked No1c7,235$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.3120%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1eca…c945backed Yes28c7,150$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,149.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+257.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0af5…2470backed Yes51c6,850$3,495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,354.58977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick58cpaid+58.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b49…1f54backed Yes63c6,689$4,231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,457.81366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8628…d1e4backed Yes48c6,555$3,134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,420.874100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+74.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe2b1…7d2abacked No60c6,500$3,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,900580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+38.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d60…03d8backed No56c6,500$3,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,640119.1%1 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.16per pick25cpaid-88.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2c41…133ebacked Yes36c6,315$2,263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,051.58771.4%5 W · 2 L+3.1wins+0.44per pick28cpaid+215.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8797…bbbebacked Yes38c6,181$2,323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,858.15862.5%5 W · 3 L+3.0wins+0.38per pick24cpaid+102.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc636…5ef9backed No18c6,083$1,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,090.1730%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa5fd…36d1backed Yes29c5,999$1,766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,232.761145.5%5 W · 6 L+2.9wins+0.27per pick19cpaid+167.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa60e…d332backed No68c5,713$3,909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,909.13520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-67.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xac9b…d4c5backed Yes33c5,618$1,867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,750.6757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick40cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x126f…7137backed No56c5,536$3,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,125.47933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-51.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf841…6702backed No69c5,531$3,795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,794.66812.5%1 W · 7 L-3.0wins-0.38per pick50cpaid-77.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf7bd…2a37backed Yes43c5,504$2,343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,160.733100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+87%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe88b…f99fbacked Yes44c5,382$2,392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,989.82757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.18per pick39cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a2d…6db9backed No59c5,086$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x683a…3b03backed No59c5,000$2,925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,925944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-26.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1dd…17b9backed No71c4,992$3,558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,55840%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x387e…56a5backed Yes25c4,909$1,224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,684.691428.6%4 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick23cpaid+9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3499…2858backed No1c4,620$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.24425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-68.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8383…cb59backed No43c4,548$1,949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,948.7840%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xed71…d7cebacked No44c4,445$1,968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,968.3540%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xea21…99ddbacked Yes40c4,311$1,712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,599.09850%4 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e1a…f6c6backed Yes47c4,263$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,263.242100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+87.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd72…b6c6backed Yes48c4,151$1,992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,158.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe21…65e5backed No64c4,130$2,655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,655.08250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-32.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x24c2…10cebacked No48c4,103$1,957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,957.110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf44a…2034backed Yes24c4,064$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,084.31862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick42cpaid+65.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa579…aad0backed No9c4,001$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.36633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-22%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f9…1245backed No62c4,000$2,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,480944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fde…095bbacked No72c3,638$2,616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,615.7420%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd444…aba5backed No66c3,602$2,361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,361.310%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes35c3,360$1,173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,186.942020%4 W · 16 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick15cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x44e6…9d9ebacked No61c3,257$2,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,001.151050%5 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x79d4…6d24backed No56c3,232$1,815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,814.61633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-49.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x26b2…4486backed Yes45c3,196$1,441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,754.92862.5%5 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.31per pick32cpaid+108.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed No0c3,165$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dfe…b3ddbacked No63c3,074$1,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,939.85560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a18…d1c9backed No68c3,000$2,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,034.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeff9…05fdbacked No71c2,836$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00040%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8b4b…541bbacked No66c2,831$1,857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,856.9110%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x439b…f412backed No71c2,810$1,994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,993.7820%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb74b…f6b7backed No57c2,800$1,592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,592540%2 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.25per pick65cpaid-34.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6956…d189backed Yes26c2,798$727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,070.974100%4 W · 0 L+2.6wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+349.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes33c2,785$917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,868.211520%3 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick22cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb357…b99cbacked Yes26c2,783$711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,072.21875%6 W · 2 L+3.2wins+0.40per pick35cpaid+209.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x63c6…43a5backed Yes80c2,764$2,209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed No68c2,754$1,874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,874.132240.9%9 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-34.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c8f…92bbbacked No35c2,667$934 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$933.56250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0cc8…8d7bbacked No75c2,667$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f0b…3607backed No2c2,642$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48da…0419backed No65c2,595$1,687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,686.63250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9cd…b120backed No68c2,563$1,730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,730.17714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.32per pick47cpaid-82%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcd96…cbdcbacked No58c2,558$1,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,479.771540%6 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+47.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x383a…a920backed No2c2,531$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0dd6…5f62backed No67c2,500$1,668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,668.2320%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd86e…ee3ebacked No64c2,465$1,576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,575.66633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-41.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6df6…8458backed No58c2,462$1,421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,420.99425%1 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.40per pick65cpaid-64.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x16fa…6d0dbacked No61c2,287$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,400250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb920…7922backed No41c2,270$921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$920.640%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb50…7bfcbacked No65c2,193$1,434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,434.48887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.28per pick60cpaid+54.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe26b…bee7backed No77c2,116$1,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,639.52714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick36cpaid-29.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x88ae…809abacked No49c2,037$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+143.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadb6…67fbbacked No79c2,024$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,60020%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x637e…c2b5backed Yes56c2,016$1,136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$880.031100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+77.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad4e…12f1backed No61c2,006$1,221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,220.57540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x527f…69a3backed No61c2,000$1,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,22020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6139…6b7abacked No33c2,000$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$670922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6828…1056backed No60c2,000$1,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,209.99812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick30cpaid-71.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3066…bdfabacked Yes37c1,905$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,205.052100%2 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+432.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa1e4…a26bbacked No77c1,900$1,467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,46710%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Boxing and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.