Boxing · resolved market
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $20 million?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb1046552920cce33ba1c0c9be48dd7b88a73b956e10de1adf1c796d0202ac05a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Boxingevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $484,837
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $458,471
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $484,837 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 187 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Boxing is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Boxing | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb44f…8c20backed Yes | 5c | 56,171$2,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,760 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 7cpaid | +130.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3b…5d31backed Yes | 5c | 37,076$1,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,896.59 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 25cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9df5…bb46backed Yes | 5c | 14,752$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14db…a7bdbacked Yes | 0c | 12,080$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8556…fad9backed Yes | 5c | 11,559$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e06…c72cbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8df9…468cbacked Yes | 9c | 9,064$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.44 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +97.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b53…366cbacked Yes | 4c | 7,600$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf20e…36d0backed Yes | 4c | 7,089$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 11cpaid | +176.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb982…0fc8backed Yes | 6c | 6,915$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc70…94e8backed Yes | 1c | 6,115$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9761…08f6backed Yes | 14c | 5,627$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 32cpaid | +136.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe08e…1d61backed Yes | 24c | 5,421$1,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,313 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 18cpaid | +87.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd27…2807backed No | 79c | 5,183$4,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,078.97 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e11…a19cbacked Yes | 6c | 5,179$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa40…8b4fbacked Yes | 7c | 5,116$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.7 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f8…b80dbacked Yes | 24c | 5,017$1,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,187.49 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd600…f2b9backed Yes | 8c | 4,561$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f69…69c5backed Yes | 6c | 4,547$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.74 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +94.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b91…ae77backed Yes | 22c | 4,545$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81c8…2632backed Yes | 6c | 4,291$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96f9…227fbacked Yes | 5c | 4,117$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 19c | 3,884$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.78 | 48 | 20.8%10 W · 38 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00e7…3a97backed Yes | 10c | 3,729$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.91 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +75.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 4c | 3,719$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 6c | 3,075$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.81 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…1c22backed Yes | 5c | 3,000$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b6…a2cdbacked Yes | 5c | 2,886$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.07 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.28per pick | 15cpaid | +109.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb74b…f6b7backed No | 73c | 2,800$2,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07ce…db5cbacked Yes | 8c | 2,539$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 18cpaid | +155.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81ed…59f5backed Yes | 26c | 2,243$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…59c7backed Yes | 11c | 2,241$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 13cpaid | +262.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcae8…81c0backed Yes | 9c | 2,230$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.45per pick | 22cpaid | +139.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6473…19f7backed Yes | 5c | 2,206$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.13 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +143.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4fcb…08fbbacked Yes | 24c | 2,067$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 21c | 2,000$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9589…f754backed Yes | 5c | 1,959$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.47 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dbc…18a0backed Yes | 9c | 1,942$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 31cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ae…f471backed No | 76c | 1,866$1,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.44 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44e6…9d9ebacked No | 76c | 1,829$1,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.87 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b49…1f54backed Yes | 33c | 1,810$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5e…3a87backed Yes | 3c | 1,785$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 9cpaid | +179.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…2800backed Yes | 6c | 1,778$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.44 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 31cpaid | +151.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae2…169ebacked Yes | 6c | 1,700$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f23…061ebacked Yes | 6c | 1,657$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…e216backed Yes | 7c | 1,647$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ea…4da1backed Yes | 8c | 1,556$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf603…82f1backed Yes | 16c | 1,555$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.37 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6978…08d8backed Yes | 11c | 1,545$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.95 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd152…bc57backed No | 80c | 1,510$1,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7c…fd27backed Yes | 27c | 1,493$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.47 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0b…883bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,491$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0e…3c46backed Yes | 5c | 1,489$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 16cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked Yes | 7c | 1,428$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.81 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…f99fbacked Yes | 22c | 1,426$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.32 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…ebbfbacked Yes | 5c | 1,387$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e77…8cbebacked Yes | 5c | 1,268$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.66 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.60per pick | 15cpaid | +431.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf44a…2034backed Yes | 26c | 1,222$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.48 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2afd…deb4backed Yes | 3c | 1,149$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.43 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed Yes | 7c | 1,127$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.39 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3433…da60backed Yes | 8c | 1,126$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b7b…0870backed Yes | 5c | 1,096$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +190.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47f5…934dbacked Yes | 3c | 1,079$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.93 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdcd…14f6backed Yes | 3c | 1,073$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.73 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ba…5afbbacked Yes | 8c | 1,054$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Yes | 22c | 1,052$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.25 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +137.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e8b…ed36backed Yes | 10c | 1,042$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…9652backed Yes | 12c | 1,010$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.1 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.21per pick | 44cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9518…c9e3backed Yes | 10c | 1,010$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 11cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01a…bf29backed No | 76c | 1,000$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd814…7f65backed No | 73c | 1,000$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x396f…7f78backed No | 66c | 1,000$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.68 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -19%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x453a…fdb8backed Yes | 5c | 976.6$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ebb…11a7backed Yes | 10c | 975.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Yes | 12c | 946.42$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2a…58afbacked Yes | 25c | 933.96$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 6c | 927.96$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.13 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682d…4cd6backed Yes | 5c | 926.19$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.62 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 18cpaid | +49%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf407…5e48backed Yes | 6c | 791.23$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 8cpaid | +400%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86b2…9612backed Yes | 3c | 749.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 6cpaid | +400%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ea…3793backed Yes | 7c | 734.68$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9702…1042backed Yes | 14c | 701.07$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea21…99ddbacked Yes | 8c | 695.46$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.41 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa579…aad0backed Yes | 4c | 691.82$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.08 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae8…0e50backed Yes | 9c | 688.58$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.04 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.29per pick | 37cpaid | +87.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc469…d1febacked Yes | 50c | 654.4$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed Yes | 3c | 634.68$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.77 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +101.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf82a…d221backed Yes | 4c | 587.26$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.38 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb15e…7ee1backed Yes | 5c | 553$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 4c | 533.42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4174…d1a8backed Yes | 19c | 527.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df4…0b15backed Yes | 19c | 515.02$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf62…9043backed Yes | 4c | 503$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…604ebacked Yes | 34c | 500$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.5 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34cc…2a6cbacked Yes | 3c | 499.26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8d…b895backed Yes | 5c | 490.95$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.82 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd800…cf78backed Yes | 6c | 487.21$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc168…5024backed No | 72c | 487$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.75 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2557…3653backed Yes | 10c | 482.02$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…83bcbacked Yes | 20c | 475.31$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +33%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Boxing and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $20 million?this page
- Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million?Yes won
- Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $12 million?Yes won
- Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $15 million?Yes won
- Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $16 million?Yes won
- Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $17 million?No won
- Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $18 million?No won
- Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?Yes won
- Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $5 million?Yes won
- Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $6 million?Yes won
- Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $7 million?Yes won
- Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $8 million?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.