TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x93ba…5afb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
58
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: NBA, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 60 out of 100; worst Premier League at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT2853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami Open: Zizou Bergs vs Jenson Brooksbybacked Jenson Brooksby · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Miami Open, Qualification: Arthur Fery vs Yunchaokete Bubacked Yunchaokete Bu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Zadar: Stefano Travaglia vs Mili Poljicakbacked Stefano Travaglia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+68.9%+$20.66
Miami Open, Qualification: Jack Pinnington Jones vs Coleman Wongbacked Coleman Wong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+150%+$22.5
Zadar: Zsombor Piros vs Enrico Dalla Vallebacked Zsombor Piros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Set Handicap: Sinner (-1.5) vs Zverev (+1.5)backed Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
BNP Paribas Open: Jack Draper vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$20.56
BNP Paribas Open: Novak Djokovic vs Jack Draperbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Set Handicap: Medvedev (-1.5) vs Michelsen (+1.5)backed Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$24.92
BNP Paribas Open: Learner Tien vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Learner Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+102.6%+$51.3
BNP Paribas Open: Cameron Norrie vs Alex de Minaurbacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
BNP Paribas Open: Joao Fonseca vs Tommy Paulbacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
BNP Paribas Open: Sebastian Baez vs Jiri Leheckabacked Sebastian Baez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$42.5
BNP Paribas Open: Sebastian Korda vs Alex de Minaurbacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+56.3%+$22.5
BNP Paribas Open: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Corentin Moutetbacked Corentin Moutet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$15
BNP Paribas Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Zachary Svajdabacked Alejandro Davidovich Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+63.9%+$7.67
Thionville: Sebastian Ofner vs Jurij Rodionovbacked Sebastian Ofner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+69.5%+$10.42
Kigali: Stefano Napolitano vs Arthur Geabacked Arthur Gea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$15
BNP Paribas Open: Jacob Fearnley vs Damir Dzumhurbacked Damir Dzumhur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$30
BNP Paribas Open: Terence Atmane vs Grigor Dimitrovbacked Grigor Dimitrov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+78.6%+$11.79
BNP Paribas Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricardbacked Kamil Majchrzak · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+163.2%+$24.47
Dubai Tennis Championships: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+81.8%+$32.73
Dubai Tennis Championships: Arthur Rinderknech vs Jack Draperbacked Rinderknech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+150%+$20.78
Qatar Open: Arthur Fils vs Jakub Mensikbacked Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$17.81
Rio Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Francesco Passarobacked Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+61.3%+$6.77
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT1181.8%9 W · 2 L+3.2wins+0.29per pick53cpaid+54.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
NBA — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$31.22
Spread: 76ers (-3.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+89%+$31.16
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Pistons (-14.5)backed Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+82.1%+$41.07
Spread: Heat (-12.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+92.3%+$46.15
Spread: Clippers (-11.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+78.6%+$39.29
Spread: Spurs (-7.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+92.3%+$46.15
Spread: Hawks (-5.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+96.1%+$19.51
Spread: Thunder (-7.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Spread: Timberwolves (-8.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+92.3%+$68.89
Cavaliers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+71.9%+$24.15
All 11 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+82.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Juventus FC (-1.5)backed Juventus FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+69.8%+$13.96
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-02-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+96.1%+$9.72
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RB Leipzig vs. FC Augsburg end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will FC Schalke 04 win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$14
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+179.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Silver (SI) settle over $110 on the final trading day of January 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+179.8%+$35.07
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+86.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be a red flag during the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+86.9%+$17.38
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-02-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+41.7%+$9.02
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $20 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$80
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Panthers vs. Krakenbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oklahoma Sooners vs. Texas A&M Aggiesbacked Texas A&M Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.65
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.