TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Panthers vs. Kraken

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Krakenof Panthers, Kraken
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,146,505

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,146,505 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 605 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x37c1…c53abacked Panthers53c295,113$157,292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157,291.9351550.7%261 W · 254 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf195…8057backed Kraken47c234,492$110,532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123,960.025352.8%28 W · 25 L+4.4wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+26.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9976…67dabacked Kraken48c125,924$60,444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65,480.4619848.5%96 W · 102 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Kraken46c79,999$36,799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43,199.3248545.4%220 W · 265 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Panthers54c70,246$37,653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37,653.4836748%176 W · 191 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Kraken46c64,425$29,636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,789.6610050%50 W · 50 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Panthers53c63,869$33,531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,531.1548549.7%241 W · 244 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Panthers52c52,056$27,069 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,069.121,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x666f…9860backed Panthers0c40,810$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.819655.2%53 W · 43 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Panthers53c37,203$19,866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,866.2861950.1%310 W · 309 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Panthers52c34,870$18,133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,132.6324349.8%121 W · 122 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Kraken46c30,000$13,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,20061953.8%333 W · 286 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44fd…b634backed Kraken46c24,193$11,129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,064.281060%6 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Kraken47c24,082$11,319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,763.4656649.5%280 W · 286 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Kraken54c21,864$11,779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,085.3627448.9%134 W · 140 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Kraken46c21,687$9,976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,710.9879350.1%397 W · 396 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Panthers53c21,343$11,312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,311.8240351.9%209 W · 194 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Panthers53c19,465$10,271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,271.161,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29b1…f737backed Kraken47c18,750$8,813 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,937.528447.9%136 W · 148 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Kraken78c13,333$10,461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,871.5389636.9%331 W · 565 L-30.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Panthers53c13,208$7,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,999.9940356.3%227 W · 176 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x985e…6894backed Panthers0c10,830$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.838651.2%44 W · 42 L-5.3wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc1ae…f001backed Kraken47c10,810$5,081 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,729.314954.4%81 W · 68 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xebc7…4003backed Kraken46c10,000$4,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,40011553%61 W · 54 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1fe3…e0fdbacked Panthers55c10,000$5,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,50019051.1%97 W · 93 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Panthers53c10,000$5,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,30061748.5%299 W · 318 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Panthers54c9,926$5,374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,373.991,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed Panthers53c9,434$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00032151.7%166 W · 155 L-1.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Panthers52c9,239$4,838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,838.361,09250.4%550 W · 542 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Panthers53c9,000$4,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,77051045.5%232 W · 278 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebbb…4214backed Panthers7c7,625$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50012835.9%46 W · 82 L-7.9wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-26%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfb68…a240backed Panthers53c7,500$4,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,004.9950049.6%248 W · 252 L+16.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Kraken47c7,200$3,384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,81683652.8%441 W · 395 L+28.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Kraken46c7,191$3,308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,883.1122550.2%113 W · 112 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Panthers53c7,000$3,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,679.991,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b90…2194backed Kraken46c6,600$3,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,56415749.7%78 W · 79 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Kraken46c6,158$2,833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,325.321,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Panthers54c6,000$3,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,24022747.6%108 W · 119 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Panthers54c5,555$2,977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,977.4891945.6%419 W · 500 L-27.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9671…3a70backed Panthers5c5,555$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.971010%1 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick6cpaid+66.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x187b…26bfbacked Panthers55c5,000$2,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,75010145.5%46 W · 55 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Panthers36c4,750$1,729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,729.4960337.5%226 W · 377 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x607d…53a1backed Panthers54c4,630$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50013446.3%62 W · 72 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Panthers54c4,000$2,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,16039752.1%207 W · 190 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30a3…1943backed Kraken47c3,700$1,739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9612853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1526…c635backed Panthers55c3,636$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.8425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-50.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d21…abc5backed Panthers55c3,512$1,947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,947.1114837.2%55 W · 93 L-7.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-15.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Panthers46c3,500$1,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,619.9927048.1%130 W · 140 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Kraken77c3,463$2,667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$795.5157157.8%330 W · 241 L+12.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2166…9f7fbacked Kraken46c3,261$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,760.87250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d5e…7004backed Panthers9c3,229$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.698955.1%49 W · 40 L+9.3wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+16.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Kraken46c3,000$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,62089249.9%445 W · 447 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Panthers54c3,000$1,605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,60560249.5%298 W · 304 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb529…ad06backed Kraken46c3,000$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,620366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+37.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Kraken47c2,814$1,322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,491.5836648.6%178 W · 188 L-14.5wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Panthers54c2,778$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50031550.8%160 W · 155 L-11.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6239…1d79backed Kraken47c2,551$1,199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,352.067755.8%43 W · 34 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Panthers53c2,500$1,325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,32527243.4%118 W · 154 L-16.8wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb8cb…8f46backed Panthers55c2,500$1,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3754450%22 W · 22 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Panthers53c2,500$1,325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,324.971,08745.1%490 W · 597 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x250e…e864backed Panthers54c2,190$1,183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,182.64247.6%20 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x809c…eca3backed Kraken48c2,083$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,083.333046.7%14 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x33c9…6f9abacked Panthers55c2,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1002245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x25c2…cd02backed Kraken63c2,000$1,257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$742.933259.4%19 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb24d…76acbacked Kraken45c1,995$898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,097.251172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.20per pick53cpaid+38.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5b0e…b5f8backed Panthers55c1,995$1,097 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,097.25850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ad4…0d7bbacked Panthers55c1,990$1,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,094.5944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1287…59a8backed Panthers55c1,990$1,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,094.5757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+22.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x614a…ae38backed Kraken45c1,990$896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,094.5977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.26per pick52cpaid+50%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd8e2…0d15backed Kraken45c1,990$896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,094.5666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+33.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc462…0e3abacked Kraken45c1,985$893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,091.751154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd73a…c2bebacked Panthers55c1,985$1,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,091.75933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-36%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x322a…44cabacked Kraken45c1,985$893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,091.751070%7 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.20per pick50cpaid+37.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfa0d…f78cbacked Kraken45c1,985$893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,091.751266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+27.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8d8c…e26dbacked Panthers55c1,985$1,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,091.75742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x384b…079cbacked Panthers55c1,985$1,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,091.751040%4 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-27.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x01ff…3248backed Kraken45c1,980$891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,089742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a11…872dbacked Panthers55c1,980$1,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,089837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-19.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa29b…bec6backed Kraken45c1,975$889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,086.251353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc259…5175backed Panthers55c1,975$1,086 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,086.25933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-26.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b75…b1d3backed Kraken45c1,975$889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,086.25875%6 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+44.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb7c0…26ecbacked Panthers55c1,975$1,086 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,086.251050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2926…ed8ebacked Kraken45c1,965$884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,080.751450%7 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8646…a26dbacked Panthers55c1,965$1,081 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,080.751040%4 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91a5…9fc2backed Panthers55c1,960$1,078 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0781136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-30.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c04…aa40backed Kraken45c1,960$882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0781258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+14.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf270…b146backed Kraken45c1,955$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,075.251060%6 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick42cpaid+33.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8082…8dbdbacked Kraken45c1,955$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,075.251464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+22.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8795…8807backed Panthers55c1,955$1,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,075.25944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cda…e11dbacked Panthers55c1,955$1,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,075.251127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.7wins-0.24per pick52cpaid-51%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf6d9…25cbbacked Panthers55c1,940$1,067 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,067944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6587…a25abacked Kraken45c1,940$873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,067850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74ba…f301backed Panthers55c1,940$1,067 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0671040%4 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc584…a61bbacked Kraken45c1,940$873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0671275%9 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+38.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd657…5619backed Panthers55c1,930$1,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,061.5540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cbe…d1b7backed Kraken45c1,930$869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,061.51361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+27.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3b95…a306backed Panthers55c1,930$1,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,061.5825%2 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-46.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdcbf…971bbacked Kraken45c1,930$869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,061.5955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe61e…6f13backed Panthers55c1,930$1,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,061.5944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96c6…f1fdbacked Kraken45c1,930$869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,061.5966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+29.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.