NHL · resolved market
Spread: Panthers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe5c652045e0f790940c4e5e1be4c18e75fbc954dc998ad16079d0a20ecc85286
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Krakenof Panthers, Kraken
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,105
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,105 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Panthers | 31c | 2,555$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.05 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Kraken | 69c | 2,432$1,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.92 | 366 | 48.6%178 W · 188 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…f2cabacked Kraken | 69c | 800$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Kraken | 75c | 776$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.23 | 422 | 54.3%229 W · 193 L | +18.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf316…b6eabacked Kraken | 69c | 620$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba4…6de0backed Panthers | 34c | 597.33$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.53 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -3.7wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc4…5d47backed Kraken | 69c | 580$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Panthers | 33c | 428.97$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.56 | 183 | 44.8%82 W · 101 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Panthers | 26c | 337.78$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.69 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…9ae9backed Kraken | 69c | 323.19$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.19 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Kraken | 67c | 275$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.75 | 538 | 49.4%266 W · 272 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Panthers | 25c | 263$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.75 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b0…f879backed Panthers | 40c | 252.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67f0…2faabacked Panthers | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Panthers | 32c | 219.93$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.78 | 253 | 37.9%96 W · 157 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Kraken | 69c | 207$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.17 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Panthers | 13c | 204.1$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.53 | 218 | 56.4%123 W · 95 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Kraken | 65c | 147.13$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.5 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Panthers | 31c | 137.12$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.51 | 429 | 48.7%209 W · 220 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Panthers | 13c | 129$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.68 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Kraken | 67c | 125.4$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.3 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Kraken | 66c | 125.14$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.55 | 177 | 50.8%90 W · 87 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Kraken | 70c | 113.78$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.78 | 811 | 57.2%464 W · 347 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Panthers | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x011b…fcc3backed Kraken | 71c | 98.72$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.72 | 177 | 59.9%106 W · 71 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Panthers | 30c | 96.32$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.9 | 607 | 41%249 W · 358 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…a018backed Kraken | 71c | 95.77$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.77 | 215 | 60.9%131 W · 84 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…5925backed Panthers | 29c | 76.83$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.28 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Kraken | 70c | 72.81$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.81 | 542 | 60.3%327 W · 215 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Kraken | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 401 | 62.1%249 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Panthers | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Panthers | 31c | 47.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Panthers | 29c | 38.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5467…ffffbacked Panthers | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -7.6wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -20%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Kraken | 70c | 29.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 690 | 61.6%425 W · 265 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc53…6bd3backed Kraken | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 540 | 49.4%267 W · 273 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9856…7014backed Kraken | 69c | 24.4$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec66…e58fbacked Kraken | 69c | 23.19$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.19 | 336 | 60.7%204 W · 132 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49de…3986backed Kraken | 69c | 19.89$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07c9…9f5bbacked Kraken | 71c | 19.72$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 365 | 61.9%226 W · 139 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Kraken | 67c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.27 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Kraken | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Panthers (-1.5)this page
- Panthers vs. KrakenKraken won
- Panthers vs. Kraken: O/U 5.5Over won
- Panthers vs. Kraken: O/U 6.5Over won
- Panthers vs. Kraken: O/U 7.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.