Tennis · resolved market
Kigali: Stefano Napolitano vs Arthur Gea
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x27cd909e24f09c86fe8ed279d11c94a277e28baf7d10b4b864478de4d71cadef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Stefano Napolitanoof Stefano Napolitano, Arthur Gea
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $114,823
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $114,823 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 173 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Stefano Napolitano | 39c | 6,885$2,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,177.03 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Stefano Napolitano | 45c | 6,025$2,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,288.18 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Arthur Gea | 71c | 6,000$4,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,259.91 | 669 | 49.6%332 W · 337 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Stefano Napolitano | 43c | 5,764$2,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,273.14 | 813 | 49.1%399 W · 414 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2301…c95fbacked Arthur Gea | 70c | 4,966$3,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,470.22 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b96…b053backed Arthur Gea | 63c | 3,200$2,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,015.45 | 225 | 53.8%121 W · 104 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Arthur Gea | 57c | 2,995$1,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,711.69 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5c…4302backed Arthur Gea | 51c | 2,940$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9db1…d726backed Arthur Gea | 36c | 2,904$1,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,044.06 | 118 | 32.2%38 W · 80 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Stefano Napolitano | 61c | 2,547$1,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988.9 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Arthur Gea | 68c | 2,471$1,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,668.12 | 369 | 68%251 W · 118 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a53…505abacked Arthur Gea | 59c | 2,442$1,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440.59 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Stefano Napolitano | 47c | 2,345$1,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,236.43 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Stefano Napolitano | 53c | 2,135$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010.81 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Stefano Napolitano | 36c | 1,880$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,198.28 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ce…99f6backed Arthur Gea | 31c | 1,613$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 179 | 36.9%66 W · 113 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Arthur Gea | 73c | 1,591$1,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,161.42 | 655 | 58.9%386 W · 269 L | -32.1wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Stefano Napolitano | 47c | 1,526$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808.01 | 1,118 | 42.8%479 W · 639 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb691…b39dbacked Stefano Napolitano | 37c | 1,514$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$958.67 | 439 | 51.9%228 W · 211 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd9…544abacked Arthur Gea | 67c | 1,495$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.94 | 201 | 55.7%112 W · 89 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Arthur Gea | 40c | 1,365$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.89 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42ce…bdcfbacked Arthur Gea | 35c | 1,297$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.94 | 61 | 68.9%42 W · 19 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…4687backed Arthur Gea | 57c | 1,061$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 373 | 51.2%191 W · 182 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Arthur Gea | 60c | 1,036$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.33 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Arthur Gea | 63c | 1,019$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.27 | 632 | 47.6%301 W · 331 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Arthur Gea | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.7 | 576 | 45.5%262 W · 314 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Arthur Gea | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaddf…3db9backed Arthur Gea | 1c | 995.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f95…b08bbacked Arthur Gea | 68c | 900$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.77 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Stefano Napolitano | 45c | 795.12$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.54 | 175 | 52.6%92 W · 83 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e24…c746backed Arthur Gea | 73c | 762.24$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.92 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab0…b46abacked Stefano Napolitano | 40c | 744.59$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.59 | 237 | 35%83 W · 154 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Stefano Napolitano | 28c | 721.78$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.97 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Arthur Gea | 60c | 674.86$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.29 | 223 | 37.7%84 W · 139 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Arthur Gea | 59c | 666.43$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.09 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed9…9949backed Arthur Gea | 50c | 628.04$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.02 | 465 | 53.8%250 W · 215 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…f8d8backed Stefano Napolitano | 32c | 627.31$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.57 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…764ebacked Stefano Napolitano | 39c | 625.26$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.17 | 287 | 26.8%77 W · 210 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Arthur Gea | 66c | 607.2$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.75 | 186 | 51.1%95 W · 91 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed8…9dd0backed Arthur Gea | 32c | 600$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…8276backed Stefano Napolitano | 47c | 581.54$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.21 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3a…df40backed Arthur Gea | 48c | 550$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.5 | 238 | 47.1%112 W · 126 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4d…71c6backed Stefano Napolitano | 27c | 546.05$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.05 | 78 | 59%46 W · 32 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0866…a1d5backed Arthur Gea | 20c | 531.9$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.79 | 163 | 39.3%64 W · 99 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67b4…19acbacked Stefano Napolitano | 28c | 500$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf74d…9930backed Stefano Napolitano | 64c | 489.06$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.06 | 261 | 58.2%152 W · 109 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Stefano Napolitano | 27c | 444.71$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.64 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Arthur Gea | 38c | 438.53$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.14 | 387 | 39.3%152 W · 235 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x152e…8285backed Arthur Gea | 71c | 424.24$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.41 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 73cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Stefano Napolitano | 50c | 401.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.74 | 982 | 40.1%394 W · 588 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd320…097ebacked Arthur Gea | 47c | 395.16$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.29 | 88 | 25%22 W · 66 L | -9.6wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Arthur Gea | 69c | 384.52$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.08 | 192 | 41.1%79 W · 113 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc635…9052backed Stefano Napolitano | 38c | 378.63$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.63 | 73 | 68.5%50 W · 23 L | +12.0wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4f25…8c36backed Arthur Gea | 71c | 372.09$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.34 | 53 | 73.6%39 W · 14 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 67cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Stefano Napolitano | 27c | 363.99$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.71 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Arthur Gea | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 415 | 44.3%184 W · 231 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Stefano Napolitano | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.14 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c3e5backed Stefano Napolitano | 29c | 339.99$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.39 | 1,076 | 55.5%597 W · 479 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac53…6133backed Arthur Gea | 71c | 322.75$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.15 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb3…9dfdbacked Arthur Gea | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 123 | 60.2%74 W · 49 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2757…55f0backed Arthur Gea | 36c | 302$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.72 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Stefano Napolitano | 48c | 292.37$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.38 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa56d…3053backed Arthur Gea | 57c | 289.65$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.29 | 217 | 65.9%143 W · 74 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa3…7e2ebacked Arthur Gea | 70c | 288.5$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.95 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73d4…dbd6backed Arthur Gea | 69c | 284.16$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.75 | 332 | 56%186 W · 146 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Arthur Gea | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,841 | 48.5%892 W · 949 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…1ab0backed Stefano Napolitano | 37c | 270.54$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.54 | 945 | 49.6%469 W · 476 L | -23.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Arthur Gea | 41c | 257$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.45 | 347 | 44.4%154 W · 193 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a0…92dfbacked Stefano Napolitano | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 296 | 37.5%111 W · 185 L | -15.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Arthur Gea | 63c | 254.99$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.64 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x903f…de5fbacked Stefano Napolitano | 39c | 237.05$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.6 | 168 | 30.4%51 W · 117 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Stefano Napolitano | 45c | 222.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.44 | 1,107 | 43.5%481 W · 626 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Stefano Napolitano | 28c | 216.79$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.09 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…91ecbacked Arthur Gea | 14c | 214.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Stefano Napolitano | 30c | 213.25$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.28 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Arthur Gea | 57c | 201$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.78 | 263 | 49%129 W · 134 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Stefano Napolitano | 30c | 200$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 430 | 42.8%184 W · 246 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x581f…9d8ebacked Stefano Napolitano | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc5…908abacked Arthur Gea | 73c | 200$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 587 | 53.7%315 W · 272 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97a0…da35backed Stefano Napolitano | 30c | 199.99$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139 | 479 | 46.3%222 W · 257 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a3…e59abacked Arthur Gea | 66c | 192.07$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 60cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Arthur Gea | 58c | 190.29$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.51 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Stefano Napolitano | 46c | 189.26$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.39 | 430 | 58.6%252 W · 178 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb87d…97aebacked Arthur Gea | 53c | 188.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.45 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb32…787dbacked Arthur Gea | 73c | 181.87$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.57 | 80 | 68.8%55 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Arthur Gea | 52c | 181$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.12 | 259 | 57.5%149 W · 110 L | +18.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e25…db26backed Arthur Gea | 63c | 176.43$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.51 | 825 | 60.5%499 W · 326 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Stefano Napolitano | 33c | 175.99$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.03 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Arthur Gea | 21c | 158.38$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.99 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84c7…bea7backed Stefano Napolitano | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.25 | 664 | 52.3%347 W · 317 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…8b6fbacked Arthur Gea | 72c | 153.66$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.64 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Arthur Gea | 52c | 153.04$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.33 | 537 | 52.3%281 W · 256 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda22…6d2abacked Arthur Gea | 66c | 152.04$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 353 | 44.8%158 W · 195 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…2101backed Arthur Gea | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,026 | 50%513 W · 513 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Stefano Napolitano | 36c | 144.41$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.85 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa677…9beabacked Stefano Napolitano | 36c | 140.65$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.54 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48cf…c7dfbacked Arthur Gea | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 194 | 52.1%101 W · 93 L | -13.6wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1912…ac60backed Arthur Gea | 53c | 133$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Arthur Gea | 43c | 130$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.06 | 790 | 52.9%418 W · 372 L | +24.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x430b…6e64backed Stefano Napolitano | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 204 | 47.5%97 W · 107 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kigali: Stefano Napolitano vs Arthur Geathis page
- Set 1 Winner: Napolitano vs GeaNapolitano won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.