NBA · resolved market
Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1e2a76095248661e342984ec1b84f71f35d86c26b3215e09d25431040fca13bc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Timberwolvesof Timberwolves, Warriors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $632,685
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $632,685 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 261 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Warriors | 51c | 150,000$76,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76,386.73 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Warriors | 51c | 105,199$53,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53,539.65 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Timberwolves | 49c | 100,000$48,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,500 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Timberwolves | 49c | 87,516$43,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,472.98 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Warriors | 52c | 60,831$31,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,632.2 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Timberwolves | 50c | 47,097$23,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,496.63 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Timberwolves | 48c | 40,000$19,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,925 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Warriors | 50c | 34,774$17,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,434.53 | 404 | 46.8%189 W · 215 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Warriors | 53c | 27,690$14,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,675.51 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Timberwolves | 47c | 26,169$12,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,742.21 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Warriors | 47c | 23,803$11,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,187.53 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Timberwolves | 50c | 20,482$10,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,176.95 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…276fbacked Warriors | 49c | 17,563$8,606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,606.04 | 231 | 47.6%110 W · 121 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Warriors | 54c | 16,667$9,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,000 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Warriors | 47c | 11,539$5,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,447.56 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf668…5c69backed Warriors | 51c | 10,659$5,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,426.95 | 363 | 59.8%217 W · 146 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Timberwolves | 50c | 9,417$4,754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,662.91 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Timberwolves | 54c | 8,640$4,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000.11 | 348 | 54%188 W · 160 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…1fb9backed Timberwolves | 50c | 8,560$4,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,280 | 316 | 43.4%137 W · 179 L | -18.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Timberwolves | 53c | 8,232$4,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,862.35 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Timberwolves | 49c | 8,000$3,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,080 | 296 | 50.3%149 W · 147 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…0924backed Timberwolves | 49c | 8,000$3,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,080 | 240 | 45.4%109 W · 131 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0865…3dffbacked Timberwolves | 56c | 6,894$3,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,048.19 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Timberwolves | 50c | 6,023$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,022.72 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Timberwolves | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 389 | 46%179 W · 210 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…a0d9backed Timberwolves | 48c | 5,001$2,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,575.52 | 274 | 55.5%152 W · 122 L | +15.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Timberwolves | 47c | 4,800$2,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,544 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Warriors | 52c | 4,791$2,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,491.11 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed Timberwolves | 53c | 4,297$2,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,019.77 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78bb…591fbacked Timberwolves | 52c | 4,120$2,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,977.6 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Timberwolves | 50c | 4,042$2,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,024.01 | 357 | 49.6%177 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Timberwolves | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Timberwolves | 51c | 3,922$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,921.56 | 266 | 37.2%99 W · 167 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Timberwolves | 49c | 3,474$1,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,785.06 | 381 | 43%164 W · 217 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Timberwolves | 47c | 3,120$1,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,653.6 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Timberwolves | 49c | 3,113$1,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,587.63 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Timberwolves | 49c | 2,962$1,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,516.9 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Timberwolves | 51c | 2,920$1,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,419.25 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Timberwolves | 51c | 2,900$1,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,408.98 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked Timberwolves | 47c | 2,500$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325 | 442 | 52.3%231 W · 211 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Timberwolves | 54c | 2,435$1,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,111.22 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Warriors | 51c | 2,406$1,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,226.96 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed Warriors | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 144 | 48.6%70 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf05d…ac5ebacked Timberwolves | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.98 | 251 | 55%138 W · 113 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x478e…0c83backed Timberwolves | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.89 | 193 | 46.1%89 W · 104 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Timberwolves | 48c | 1,895$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.37 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3d…55b3backed Timberwolves | 52c | 1,885$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$904.8 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 1,876$919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$956.76 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Timberwolves | 49c | 1,818$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936.36 | 487 | 51.7%252 W · 235 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9de4…7f2ebacked Warriors | 52c | 1,520$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.4 | 98 | 42.9%42 W · 56 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Timberwolves | 50c | 1,327$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.52 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…4a47backed Timberwolves | 50c | 1,302$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa4…9a4cbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 1,200$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.99 | 161 | 48.4%78 W · 83 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Timberwolves | 47c | 1,191$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.23 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01ba…b77abacked Warriors | 51c | 1,141$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.01 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Timberwolves | 51c | 1,087$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.63 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd350…8ae8backed Timberwolves | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.83 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e0…d084backed Timberwolves | 49c | 1,021$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.83 | 224 | 47.8%107 W · 117 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Timberwolves | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.41 | 591 | 40.8%241 W · 350 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabde…d41fbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 1,010$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.2 | 419 | 47.7%200 W · 219 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9510…16dfbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.09 | 304 | 53.3%162 W · 142 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 629 | 48.6%306 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Warriors | 49c | 978.76$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.23 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Warriors | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Warriors | 47c | 939.78$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.66 | 378 | 42.9%162 W · 216 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6292…d254backed Timberwolves | 53c | 926.78$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.92 | 208 | 46.6%97 W · 111 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ac…2a18backed Timberwolves | 49c | 909.39$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.79 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d1…c15ebacked Timberwolves | 61c | 805.1$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.4 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Timberwolves | 49c | 744.37$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.63 | 576 | 50%288 W · 288 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Warriors | 49c | 739$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.43 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Timberwolves | 49c | 616$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.12 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd8…9908backed Timberwolves | 49c | 599.97$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.98 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8bd…463dbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 590.99$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.99 | 382 | 61.5%235 W · 147 L | +30.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4630…1968backed Timberwolves | 49c | 587.85$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.8 | 126 | 50%63 W · 63 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ede…6c27backed Timberwolves | 52c | 584$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.32 | 451 | 51.4%232 W · 219 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd62f…4857backed Timberwolves | 51c | 580.39$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.39 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed50…51adbacked Warriors | 50c | 500$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +3.7wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Timberwolves | 51c | 490.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.2 | 653 | 39.5%258 W · 395 L | -24.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…e73abacked Warriors | 51c | 490$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.9 | 210 | 45.2%95 W · 115 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…4856backed Timberwolves | 49c | 430.6$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.61 | 241 | 51%123 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f95…6972backed Timberwolves | 48c | 423.33$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.13 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb87…0335backed Timberwolves | 49c | 418.37$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.37 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9030…cf12backed Warriors | 48c | 416$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.68 | 120 | 46.7%56 W · 64 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8849…9a83backed Timberwolves | 53c | 406.81$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.81 | 561 | 54.5%306 W · 255 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…c3b9backed Timberwolves | 49c | 405.22$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.66 | 313 | 54.6%171 W · 142 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Warriors | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 517 | 53.8%278 W · 239 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked Timberwolves | 48c | 400$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 267 | 56.2%150 W · 117 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe393…f016backed Timberwolves | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 140 | 59.3%83 W · 57 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e2…5ec0backed Timberwolves | 49c | 400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcc…441bbacked Timberwolves | 55c | 363.48$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.49 | 117 | 36.8%43 W · 74 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca32…47f0backed Timberwolves | 57c | 340.9$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.88 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Timberwolves | 49c | 334.61$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.32 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Warriors | 49c | 331.24$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.73 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x190f…01f3backed Timberwolves | 49c | 324.49$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.49 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Timberwolves | 52c | 308.21$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.38 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Warriors | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 382 | 42.9%164 W · 218 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc04…f726backed Timberwolves | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 207 | 46.4%96 W · 111 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd947…9b61backed Timberwolves | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 287 | 51.9%149 W · 138 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Timberwolves | 47c | 299.99$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.99 | 354 | 44.6%158 W · 196 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Warriors | 47c | 292.32$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.68 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5)Timberwolves won
- Anthony Edwards: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 27.5Yes won
- Anthony Edwards: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Ayo Dosunmu: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Ayo Dosunmu: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
- Brandin Podziemski: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- De'Anthony Melton: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Donte DiVincenzo: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Julius Randle: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Kristaps Porzingis: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Rudy Gobert: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)Timberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. WarriorsTimberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. Warriors: 1H MoneylineTimberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. Warriors: 1H O/U 109.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Warriors: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Warriors: O/U 222.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Warriors: O/U 223.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Warriors: O/U 224.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Warriors: O/U 225.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Warriors: O/U 226.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Warriors: O/U 227.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Warriors: O/U 228.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.